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PaperclipPerfector  1yr ago (text post)   30396 thread views

Culture War Roundup for the week of August 21, 2023

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I predict there's a very high combined chance that it is not Biden vs. Trump by the time we get to election night.

Biden dies, everyone blue holds their nose and votes for President Kamala.

I'm convinced she's probably going to end up Pres by default. Now, that will be boring, in an awful, Nicola Murray sort of way.

Progressives really dislike her but the bigger deal is that nobody seems to like her that much. She has no base.

She was wrecked in her home state, it's not just name recognition. I honestly wonder if she'd be VP if Stacey Abrams was capable of winning an election outside of Star Trek.

She has a near lizard man’s constant approval rating, so even if they don’t hate her, they like her a lot less than joe.

Not sure where you're getting lizard man's constant from. Her gross approval rating hovers around 40%, way higher; her net approval rating is steadily in the negative 10%-15% range. And among blues (well, Democrats) in particular her net approval rating is huge.

they like her a lot less than joe.

Americans as a whole only like her a little less, and they also dislike her a little less; his net approval rating is in the same ballpark.

I can't seem to find aggregated multiple-source data for Harris' approval among Democrats in particular. Biden still has a net approval rating of nearly 60% there. If I look for specific polls ... Here's one from 2022 with details: in their metrics she was 82/18 favorable/unfavorable among Democrats, vs Biden's 86/14, or if we count the "lean towards" answers as neutral, that left her at 67/9 vs him at 71/6. 7 or 8 points difference might not be just statistical error but I wouldn't call it "a lot".

Hardcore progressives disliked that she was tough on crime in 2020, but the climate has changed on crime anyway.

Tulsi Gabbard decapitated her on stage by pointing out what she was doing as a prosecutor, when BLM was at it's peak.

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