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Israel-Gaza Megathread #2

This is a refreshed megathread for any posts on the conflict between (so far, and so far as I know) Hamas and the Israeli government, as well as related geopolitics. Culture War thread rules apply.

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Reports emerging that the USA is "pressuring" Israel to have a fully developed exit plan before invading Gaza to which Netanyahu presumably replied "Leeeeeroooooy Jeeeeenkiiiiiiins."

NEW: The Biden administration has privately been pressing Israel in recent days to flush out what its strategy is for the day after it completes its stated goal of eradicating Hamas in the ongoing Gaza war, a US and an Israeli official tell [The Times of Israel]

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his inner circle have indicated to their Biden counterparts that Israel has not yet come up with such a strategy and instead are more focused on the immediate goal of removing Hamas from power in Gaza, the US official says. (2/4)

But the US official cautions against this approach, saying that devoid a strategy for who will control the Strip if and when Hamas is removed, IDF is more likely to get bogged down in Gaza indefinitely, despite Israel insisting that it does not want to re-occupy the enclave (3/4)

[] National Unity chair Benny Gantz and fellow faction member Gadi Eisenkot demanded the creation of a Gaza exit strategy a upon their entry into the government and that they have tasked a committee with drawing one up. (4/4)

Meanwhile Blinken has reportedly been meeting with the Israelis for 8 hours.

Speculation abounds that this indicates that US intelligence is finding out that things are much worse in Gaza than we realize. There is very little information coming out of Gaza right now. Journalism seems to be dead, it's a black box in there, and whatever reports we get later are going to be urban myths.

I wonder what all this will amount to. I doubt this will achieve any credibility with the Arab world for saving Arab lives, even if it works to do just that. If it doesn't work, no one in Israel will remember Blinken's advice when they're trapped in the quagmire.

I have to wonder—are our official statements framing it as a lesson learned from Afghanistan, or is that just editors aware of the irony? Because “trust us; we’re experts on going balls deep in Islamic terrorists” has a certain credibility.

Afghanistan is a country the size of Texas. Gaza Strip is the size of New York City. Lessons learned from invading the former don't really apply to the latter.

Right, and Israel has a population comparable to NYC, while there are about a fifth as many Palestinians in the strip. Does that mean they have an edge over Afghanistan?

When the situation is so confused and entrenched, I think it’s better to err on the side of caution. Going in with an exit strategy is always a better idea than rawdogging it.

I've always gotten the impression that Israeli leaders are unusually frank in their statements rather than circumlocutory in the manner of the Chinese. So I picture that, in the room, Blinken is absolutely looking Netanyahu right in the eye and saying "We got the Goys to try this twice and it didn't work for them."