naraburns nihil supernum
7mo ago
(text post)
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Israel-Gaza Megathread #2
This is a refreshed megathread for any posts on the conflict between (so far, and so far as I know) Hamas and the Israeli government, as well as related geopolitics. Culture War thread rules apply.
Might Turkey join the fight against Israel? Former US Colonel Douglas Macgregor thinks they might. Obviously this would be horrible for Israel, the US, and NATO. Does anyone understand what is happening in Turkey well enough to know if this is a possibility?
This is the same Macgregor that's been predicting Russian forces having free run of all Ukraine east of the Dniepr Real Soon Now for the entire duration of the war? The one whose consulting firm got casualty and death estimates wrong by a factor of (E: at least) four? The one who likes to plug gold?
Yeah I don't think his thoughts are worth much. Maybe as some kind of entropy source for a prototype AI tasked with writing movie plots?
General observation, not connected to Macgregor's current comments, but throughout the Ukraine War it has blown my mind how many of these pro-Russian pundits have been incredibly, flagrantly, continuously wrong in their predictions and continue to be cited by the cynical, oh-so-world-weary geopolitically aware independent thinkers again and again as if nothing had happened.
throughout the Ukraine War it has blown my mind how many of these pro-Russian pundits have been incredibly, flagrantly, continuously wrong in their predictions and continue to be cited by the cynical, oh-so-world-weary geopolitically aware independent thinkers again and again as if nothing had happened.
This has been how the constant "Russia is about to run out of money/missiles/vodka/conscripts" articles have read to me, too. I see people citing sources which claimed the Russians would have run out of materiel last year and people just don't seem to care that they were outputting unadulterated fiction not even a month ago.
Sure, that's stupid too, but the Western pro-Russians very specifically tend to pride themselves as independent thinkers who aren't just platitude-repeating NPCs like the "Reddit" pro-Ukrainians, so the incongruency tends to look bigger to me.
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Notes -
Might Turkey join the fight against Israel? Former US Colonel Douglas Macgregor thinks they might. Obviously this would be horrible for Israel, the US, and NATO. Does anyone understand what is happening in Turkey well enough to know if this is a possibility?
This is the same Macgregor that's been predicting Russian forces having free run of all Ukraine east of the Dniepr Real Soon Now for the entire duration of the war? The one whose consulting firm got casualty and death estimates wrong by a factor of (E: at least) four? The one who likes to plug gold?
Yeah I don't think his thoughts are worth much. Maybe as some kind of entropy source for a prototype AI tasked with writing movie plots?
General observation, not connected to Macgregor's current comments, but throughout the Ukraine War it has blown my mind how many of these pro-Russian pundits have been incredibly, flagrantly, continuously wrong in their predictions and continue to be cited by the cynical, oh-so-world-weary geopolitically aware independent thinkers again and again as if nothing had happened.
This has been how the constant "Russia is about to run out of money/missiles/vodka/conscripts" articles have read to me, too. I see people citing sources which claimed the Russians would have run out of materiel last year and people just don't seem to care that they were outputting unadulterated fiction not even a month ago.
Sure, that's stupid too, but the Western pro-Russians very specifically tend to pride themselves as independent thinkers who aren't just platitude-repeating NPCs like the "Reddit" pro-Ukrainians, so the incongruency tends to look bigger to me.
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