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Culture War Roundup for the week of September 19, 2022

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I'm always suspicious of theories that conflate changes in observable group opinion with changes in the opinions of actual people. Comments are not polls, they are not proportional representations of the total quantity of people with each opinion. Maybe it's just that there are a large quantity of both pro-lockdown and anti-lockdown people, but whichever group seems to be losing keeps quiet out of fear of being criticized, while the winning group mouths off and pats each other on the back.

So we could easily see comments from a group seemingly shift completely as the environment changes, while literally no individual actually changes their own opinion or temperament. Or maybe individuals are changing their opinion because they are easily-led sheep, but we certainly can't conclude that just from the general feel of comments shifting.

I want to measure the posts by fans with different flairs in /r/nfl on a weekly in season and season by season basis, so we can use that metric as the baseline of "Winners patting themselves on the back, losers go into hiding and say football sucks anyway."

I've observed a large bias in the zeitgeist of even Reddit comments based on the topic of the starting prompt. It at least looks to me like confirmation bias at the headline level: even major subs can sound right-leaning when talking about things that generally flatter the right like the Kenosha trial.

It also depends on the character of the subreddit, I think. Some are contrarian enough that the top comments are almost always "here's why I disagree with the opening post," no matter its valence.

I may or may not be thinking of us.