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PaperclipPerfector  3mo ago (text post)   1621 thread views

Transnational Thursday for January 18, 2024

Transnational Thursday is a thread for people to discuss international news, foreign policy or international relations history. Feel free as well to drop in with coverage of countries you’re interested in, talk about ongoing dynamics like the wars in Israel or Ukraine, or even just whatever you’re reading.

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How would Trump stop the Russo-Ukrainian war in 24 hours? The obvious answer is that he wouldn't, but what if he actually tried? Are there any relatively plausible scenarios someone with Trump's temperament and reputation could try?

what if he actually tried? Are there any relatively plausible scenarios someone with Trump's temperament and reputation could try?

No. Ukraine won't cooperate for any peace plan that doesn't result in Putin's head on a platter for losing a war.

If the alternative is going forward on their own, wouldn't they have some hard decisions to make? They are somewhere between holding the line and being gradually attritted into nothingness with brazillions of Western dollars and weapons flowing their way -- "make peace or else" would be a powerful threat to anyone who's thinking at all straight.

It would be a dangerous move even by Trump standards, because if they decided to call the bluff (?) he would either look very weak (if bluffing) or look like he was personally responsible for the hordes of orc marauders overrunning Rivendell -- but I'd say it would be more likely than not to work.

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