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Culture War Roundup for the week of February 19, 2024

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Other countries have real problems. When their cities become hellholes ... or because they recently imported millions of people from cultures that hate them and don't care about their rules.

Isn't that what happened here? In 1972, King County was 92% White. In 2022, it was 63% White. We imported a bunch of people who are incapable of maintaining American civilization, and they vote with their coethnics for racial spoils. In Seattle, most of this is Asians, of various stripes, but it's also Mexicans, and more recently Africans.

People like this are the reason why Seattle is circling the drain. These are the type of whites who are committed to autogenocide, and who are responsible for the lamentable condition of the city today. They are the ones who deny that there even exists a problem, because to admit it would be to admit that their opponents are correct.

Unrelated side point: holy hell were there an insanely high number of transwomen on the West Coast. I encountered more in that week than I have in my entire life.

It's not unrelated, it's directly related. Both of these are the result of substituting ideology for reality. There's no such thing as a transwoman, and downtown Seattle sucks and is dangerous. Yet ideology demands that you pretend otherwise, that dozens of people shooting up on the street aren't hurting anyone, that you need to call that man, "ma'am." Ignoring the reality of one goes hand in hand with ignoring the reality of the other, because the ideology demands it of its believers.

And this is also why Portland is worse. It's worse on crime and it has more transvestites. These two things have the same cause. Their ideologues are more numerous, and more committed. For Portland, there's no Bellevue across the lake to act as a beacon of sanity and order. There's no lake to keep the indigent away.

That the problem could be solved almost immediately by a competent government (even without resorting to the most extreme methods) was perhaps, in fact, the point.

These people don't want a competent government, they want to decolonize the United States. They want to dismantle the cisheteropatriarchy. They want to tear down structures of oppression. They want, in short, to throw a tantrum and wreck their parent's house because they have no sense of civility, civic duty, responsibility, or history. Or, more likely, it's not their parent's house that their wrecking, but the parents of one of their friends, since they aren't local, and in many cases aren't even American.

I have lived in King County for the vast majority of my life. I have never lived in Seattle. I can vote for King County Council, and King County Executive, and for State Senator and Representatives, and Governor. And for my entire voting life, and for considerable time before that, every single person in every single one of those positions has been a Democrat.

Shout out to Rob McKenna, who was a Republican AG until he ran for Governor and lost to Jay Inslee in a close race. If he had won, things may have been different. To my great shame, I voted Inslee.

For the first time in my voting life, I'll be voting for a major party president in 2024, and it's not going to be for the Democrats. I'll be voting straight party ticket, too. But it won't matter. My home is being strangled by idiot gay race communists, and there's nothing I can do about it.

And now I've gotten all riled up.

Amazing to describe a bunch of Asians and Indians making $300K+ at Amazon and Microsoft as “incapable of maintaining American civilization.”

Aside from Bezos, Nadella has probably done more than anyone for property values in Seattle in the last 10 years.

The homeless are definitely a problem but it’s more fixable than this mindset of racial division that both you and the DEI people preach.

You can't blame me for thinking I'd be earning three times my wage without having to compete with that "bunch of Asians and Indians." That my grandchildren will earn less because of it, too.

That my parents earned less, too.

American civilization is one of colonization of the frontier. Wealth and technology, but also conquest on the margin. And yes, descent from the 13 colonies who threw in together against the crown. And not from the same people who chose otherwise (leafs).

I can blame you for being economically illiterate such that you think those high tech salaries from valuable companies would exist without having imported a lot of people with relevant abilities.

You wouldn’t make more if all the immigrant tech talent vanished because they aren’t what’s preventing you from having the relevant skills to have those jobs.

Zero-sum thinking is just factually incorrect here.

Just as Mexican aliens in the US drive down the employment prospects of native-born Blacks, so too do Asian aliens in the US drive down employment prospects of native-born Whites.

Zero-sum thinking is just factually incorrect here.

It doesn't have to be zero-sum in order to be a net negative me me and my kind. Also, it's not factually incorrect either.

While it’s possible for an influx of new labor to drive down wages for a short time or in a particular field without much of a barrier to entry, you’re just wrong, theoretically and empirically.

Think about babies. They start off small and helpless. All they do is consume for close to two decades, which isn’t helped by child labor laws.

But eventually, they will join the workforce, driving down the cost of labor. Right?

Except, workers are also consumers. So they work to earn money and then spend that money, which creates a demand for other people to have jobs.

A country with a high population growth rate from fertility has a very similar labor economics situation with one having the same from immigration.

Wages go up, on average, from increased productivity. Not restraining labor supply, which is ultimately self-defeating in a modern economy.

People get pissy over immigrants and over outsourcing, but ultimately it’s mostly just hating the necessary dynamism and creative destruction that makes the American economy so much better than any peer.

While it’s possible for an influx of new labor to drive down wages for a short time or in a particular field without much of a barrier to entry, you’re just wrong, theoretically and empirically.

Do you have anything to back this?

Except, workers are also consumers. So they work to earn money and then spend that money, which creates a demand for other people to have jobs.

A country with a high population growth rate from fertility has a very similar labor economics situation with one having the same from immigration.

Does remittances factor in this hypothetical?

People get pissy over immigrants and over outsourcing, but ultimately it’s mostly just hating the necessary dynamism and creative destruction that makes the American economy so much better than any peer.

So line goes up Meme and to hell with the rust belt. Without taking into account that that was the reason that empowered China and made it the menace that it is today.

The “anything to back this” is the explanation I go on to give. You can also read Cato, who also mentions the points that immigrants tend to take jobs we citizens don’t want, and that the large-scale entry of women into the workforce is another point of comparison for significant labor force changes.

It’s not a hypothetical, in other words. We can observe countries with different levels of population growth from births and immigration over time, as well as women entering into the workforce. What matters most is productivity. Scarcity of labor only drives up wages to the point a firm can afford.

Remittances aren’t a major variable and also foreigners buy US products.

The Rust Belt needs to adapt to a changing economy. Trying to lock in a given situation, changing factors be dammed, is the very definition of stagnation. I don’t want to end up like Europe thank you very much.

Empowering China was not a problem in pure economic terms, it was a problem in geopolitical ones. In a better world, we would had given more business to say Mexico/Canada/Brazil until China had demonstrated actual willingness to play nice with the US-led international world order. In other words, the Rust Belt can still get fucked for not being a competitive place to run a factory. Whining about it and trying to use government intervention to prevent the outcomes of markets, instead of doing a good job of competing for new industries, is some leftist bullshit that makes me very annoyed at today’s GOP.

That actually brings up another point. If you don’t let labor come to the US sufficient to keep up with hiring demands, you drive up the incentive to outsource production to where there is available labor.

So support free trade and sensible immigration policy. (I’m in the Tyler Cowen/Garret Jones camp, not the Bryan Caplan one.)

who also mentions the points that immigrants tend to take jobs we citizens don’t want

the part not mentioned at that point is "with those wages", always find it disingenuous when economists et al treat the situation as if economic incentives doesn't exist for this specific situation and the only way to have your toilet unclogged or burgers in your McDonald is by bringing more immigration, which is how you keep wages stagnant.

The second critique is that his model assumes that there is perfect substitutability between natives and immigrants within each skill cell. There are many reasons that immigrants and natives might not be perfect substitutes even if they have the same level of skill and education—for example, language ability (Lewis 2013)

What I think they are missing in this excerpt, that the common man perfectly understands, is that they don't need to be perfect substitutes, they just need to be good enough. With languages as similar as english and spanish are is not all that difficult to understand each other, after all spanglish is a thing.

If the assumptions behind Borjas’s model are appropriate for immigrants, in this case, implying that within education-experience cells men and women are perfect substitutes

this is the Damore Memo all over again, and even in the same career path Peterson mentions that women are less likely to ask for a raise.

Scarcity of labor only drives up wages to the point a firm can afford.

Really sure what does it matter with respect to "While it’s possible for an influx of new labor to drive down wages for a short time or in a particular field without much of a barrier to entry"? the level of elasticity of wages isn't in contention here.

Remittances aren’t a major variable and also foreigners buy US products.

why aren't they a major variable?, and foreigners may buy US products too, but if part of their wage goes to Mexico they will buy less than natives.

Empowering China was not a problem in pure economic terms, it was a problem in geopolitical ones.

And we aren't living only in a economic world, but one with geopolitical considerations too.

the Rust Belt can still get fucked for not being a competitive place to run a factory. Whining about it and trying to use government intervention to prevent the outcomes of markets, instead of doing a good job of competing for new industries,

It was shortsighted and a perfect representation of everything wrong with the "Line goes up" Meme mentality that economists et al are so fond of. Now we have a hollowed up Rust belt, a Nuclear power hostile to every value you hold dear and Cartels in your backyard. All of this with far reaching consequences like the fentanyl and homeless crisis.

If you don’t let labor come to the US sufficient to keep up with hiring demands, you drive up the incentive to outsource production to where there is available labor.

the hollowing out of the rust belt proves this isn't true. Outsourcing is a product of dramatically cheaper labor costs outweighing transportation costs and import taxes.

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