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I'm astounded you wrote that so unaware of the consequences you accidentally baked into your own "refutation".
Tripling the population with sub Saharan Africans is a fantastical pie in the sky scenario that won’t happen and was intended to illustrate just how mathematically implausible South African demographics in the USA are.
It is in the US. I am not sure it is true in the EU. The population boom in Africa and the population shrinkage makes that feel far more possible over there.
I think it’s far more of a real threat for them and one reason I think Europe might go hard right politics at some point.
The EU’s population is about half a billion. Do you think a billion people will immigrate from Africa to the EU? That’s what it would take.
It’s possible in the long-term.
https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2022/jan/20/by-2050-a-quarter-of-the-worlds-people-will-be-african-this-will-shape-our-future
4.28 billion Africans in 2100. 1-1.5 billion coming to Europe is possible since it will be wealthier. Europes population is stagnant or declining.
Without cultural change in Europe it would seem quite possible.
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