Some of the inner mechanisms are modelled, but on closer inspection of some videos not nearly as much of them as I'd thought. Fatal downgrade tbh, that was most of the appeal.
This in turn is a wild punch-drunk accusation. You have no idea what I believe or what my motivations are and are wrong in this case. (do we even have a single Trump-deranged person on themotte? how would they not go crazy and burn out immediately?) I am neither a Trump obsessive nor an Epstein obsessive, and that "70%" is not a strongly held immovable belief.
My (again loosely-held and not deeply researched) model was that Trump knew or kinda knew about Epstein's proclivities during the 80s and 90s, he didn't really care (considered and treated it as within the jocular class of "cocaine and affairs"), he thought he should get credit for his later hostility to Epstein (hence his comfort attacking others for Epstein-connections, drawing massive attention to it, until like 2019 -- not the behavior of a man who fucked kids with Epstein), but did not fully appreciate that he would be held little less guilty even by his base for not immediately turning him in until more recent rounds.
I took another look at the card and found it would be more implicating if real than I'd remembered, which does not fit that model as well, so I withdraw my tossed-off small-questions-thread-grade take for further review.
Worth noting:
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Roseanne was fired in 2018 during the 1st Trump Administration
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... for tweeting about how senior senior Obama Administration (and then Foundation) official Valerie Jarrett looked like she was from Planet of the Apes
I don't think that Obama admin pressure would have been necessary for her to be fired for that in the conditions of the time. It's certainly far from impossible that Obama admin pressure may have been applied anyway. Also, interpreted very very abstractly, it is almost definitionally certain. I can't tell which of these ways she meant it in.
GroundNews seems aight, I've recommended it to normies after repeated exposure from sponsorships though do not use it myself.
GoatGuns look kinda cool and I've considered getting one to fidget around with but probably won't.
Nebula and History of Weapons & War seem great but I have too much other great stuff in my backlog and I can't really organizationally afford another platform.
Which as I remember was actually some of theirs mishandling a flare
I saw this claim many times, linking the videos (there were 2-3) as if it were self evident. I literally could not see anything at all resembling that, watching them over closely several times. I think it was either a conscious bad-faith lie by many claimants, or else identifying the sparkling thing that fell out of the sky as obviously not a drone itself or a typical drone attack as we'd recognize it from frag-grenade-drop footage from Ukraine. But there was still no mishandling (or any handling at all) in evidence in the videos: a sparkling thing just relatively slowly fell out of the sky and exploded.
I saw some evidence it was an incendiary grenade but did not pursue it deeply. Moreover, evidence that it was a model of incendiary grenade in use by Israel, the US, and others (which I pursued even less deeply).
I also noted that its position, velocity and acceleration apparent in the videos really only seem consistent with having been dropped from not very high up and ignited only in the last moments of its descent (which wouldn't be consistent with a gun-fired flare).
On the balance of evidence I believe it was a drone attack
much older than last week
Yes I too remember that, and moreover I remember seeing it before. Perhaps it was a re-creation or a leak. What happened last week was official and mattered for that.
This hoax
[take withdrawn for being insufficiently-considered]
I think that the misinformation made a difference to how events are unfolding. I think that this in particular would not have happened without it.
Just as an autistic matter of documenting events as I have witnessed them occurring.
Of course it's all just a forgettable skirmish in a much larger war that's still in its preludes, in which a whole lot will be lost in the foam.
A detail worth noting in the monologue he's being fired over, which I have no idea how much it mattered in the official machinery behind the scenes in this and which I'm reasonably certain will not matter in its narrative fallout, but which was the primary outrage animating the cancellation campaign:
"We hit some new lows over the weekend with the MAGA gang desperately trying to characterize this kid who murdered Charlie Kirk as anything other than one of them"
This was on Monday (Sept 15th), which was after the bullet engravings were public ("hey fascist! CATCH!", public on Sept 12th) but before the chat transcripts in the indictment were public ("I had enough of his hatred", public on Sept 16th).
In that interval (and perhaps still?), there was a very active and successful misinformation shitstorm on lib social media to frame the available evidence (including, remarkably, "hey fascist! CATCH!") as smoking gun proof that Tyler Robinson was right wing and in particular a groyper, which it's extremely likely that Jimmy Kimmel's writers (and perhaps Kimmel himself) were stewing in.
What happened last week? I mean this literally, it's was such a deluge that I feel like I forgot significant things in it. Asking here to sanity-check.
- Charlie Kirk assassination, world-altering shitstorm, the swings of the manhunt
- Iryna Zarutska murder, up-to-genocidal frenzy, progressive release of ever-more-uncensored video
- Russian drone incursions into Poland
- Nepali zoomer revolution, burning down parliament and beating ministers, Discord election
- Israel bombing Qatar
- Greta flotilla drone attack
- Trump Epstein birthday card
Is that it? Was there some more israel/gaza stuff? Trump admin actions? Some other twitter culturewar flareup that seemed to matter?
The important part is he was caught because he (massively) fucked up, not because the police caught him. That is well within the realm of possibility here. Even in 2025, even with whatever Palantir or whatever gets them, the police don't yet seem to have magic powers, and even someone who apparently couldn't think straight enough for "don't hang around in public with your face visible when you're the most wanted man in America" to be an overriding priority, seemed to have otherwise been successfully getting away.
bro
8d ago
Mangione got caught by being extremely retarded. What was it... he went to a busy McDonalds 1 state over in the middle of the day, wearing the same clothing and backpack, removed his mask, and had the murder weapon and a manifesto on him.
bro
8d ago
I don't know what your heuristics are. If it's a game you would like at all, there's enough of it that it's easily worth $30. It's the pinnacle of most of the genres it's attached to, a masterpiece in almost the traditional sense (one very competent guy polished it for 8 years, it's a completely realized coherent vision), and very fun.
Probably 15-20 hours to beat the part of the game that most people will stop at (having greatly enjoyed their time with it), and 100+ hours to optionally go beyond that if you still don't want to put it down.
The supposed "RNG problem" is a skill issue tbqh. I found that keeping a list of tasks and theories loosely sorted by likelihood, and playing each run flexibly with "I'll start out aiming for X but will pursue something else if that's where the rolls go", I was never bottlenecked to grinding on a single theory until very late in the game (much later than you would have gotten by your description), and almost every run moved at least something forward.
And by that point
But then again I just loved the basic drafting game and would take any excuse for another run. This would probably still be GOTY for me just for the main gameplay loop without most of the stuff beyond the first credits-roll.
Full-strength no caveat endorsements for recent releases:
You should play them if you haven't.
Probably referring to the Ming treasure voyages. It's a fun little meme but I don't think it seriously applies. Chinese civilization is not going to randomly commit suicide in this era, certainly not more than everybody else is.
Off-topic, mostly just posting because some people who will be drawn to this thread might enjoy this and not have seen it:
Shane Gillis and Steve Gerben on Late Night with Seth Myers
Cumtown-adjacent Shane Gillis dragged his favorite jewish punching bag along with him into a mainstream national spotlight, and it went well.
There is a stark contrast between MSSP's fate vs Cumtown/TAFS (I am very comfortable calling with high certainty right now that Adam Friedland will not become "The Joe Rogan of the Left", for reasons already well explained by others in this thread), that... is not actually that surprising after reflecting on the personalities involved, but is still pretty crazy to see for people who've watched both from the early days.
Comparable vibes: Tabernis - Alveus Umbrae, original music on bagpipe + drum by French guys dressed as medieval beekeepers.
What is the best way to follow the Xiaohongshu excursion (short of signing up for and immersing yourself in it directly)? Is there a good window into it that has emerged yet? Some twitter or youtube account sampling it representatively?
Low-key, low-volume and secretly. Not posting like it's a 7th job and doing 4h groyper spaces every night a year after being discovered.
Do you think that Adrian Dittmann is Elon Musk?
I haven't seen anything remotely convincing, certainly not any of the things people are breathlessly pointing to as proof.
I am almost certain he is not.
Surely if you are on trial for assaulting a stranger that showed up at your door to confront you on the grounds that you feared for your life, and then barely a month later an armed murderer shows up at your door calling your name then murders your neighbours dogs when you don't answer, that is going to help your defense.
bro
9mo ago
ctrl-f "parasites"
ctrl-f "strife"
At minimum, that doesn't contain quotes that have been reported as being in the manifesto. Possible it's a supplementary piece of writing, but no particular reason to believe that without some corroborating bits. There's already been a hoax youtube account etc.
Roseanne clarifies -- she claims that the Obamas directly pressured the studio to fire her:
QT @BarackObama
Further, she has claimed in the past that she was tweeting about Valerie Jarrett in the context of criticising the Obama admin's Iran deal which she knew Jarrett was associated with. She now seems to making a harder claim that the Iran deal part was significant to her firing:
QT @JackPosobiec
I don't personally find that very easy to believe, though I don't discount it 100%. The 1st claim I don't know, but it is not helped by the 2nd.
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