DradisPing
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User ID: 1102
DradisPing
1d ago
One strong argument against insider trading is that using the market you can profit off of any volatility. We want to stop insiders from having a motivation to create volatility.
DradisPing
4d ago
Venezuela has been holding elections since 1831. There have definitely been hiccups, but it has a long history of elections being the default. That's not the case for Libya, Syria, Iraq, or Afghanistan.
I'm cautiously optimistic. The most likely outcome is an interim government followed by elections. Sure, it's possible that a Maduro successor might win. But I don't think that's likely given how aggressively Maduro was banning opposition politicians.
It's a little confusing. There are a bunch of plausible influencing motivations.
Trump is well known to have an ego problem. It seems like war hawks have been able to sucker him into various actions by promising him easy wins that will cement his legacy.
DC people operate on presidents with an isolate and control access strategy. The more anti-intervention elements in the administration don't have the pull or reputation to counter the hawks.
Rubio also wants a big win to base a 2028* run on.
More specifically, China has been aggressively building it's influence in Latin America for the past 20 years. They've been key figures in keeping Maduro's government running with loans.
Trump came in with the goal of rolling that back, with things like reasserting control over the Panama canal as key parts of it.
Ousting Maduro and having the new government renege on the China loans as illegitimate would be a big loss for China.
Closer to home, Maduro had a lot of help from NGOs when he was flooding the US with his undesirables. They presumably guaranteed that there would be no consequences for Maduro. Now they will be seen as radioactive by other Latin American governments.
Domestically it solves a bunch of the court cases about Venezuelan TPS and deportations.
DradisPing
5d ago
The remains of any costal civilization 10,000 years ago would have been wiped out by the sea level rise.
For a more specific theory I'm fond of the Azores as Atlantis.
DradisPing
5d ago
The price per pound of a broiler chicken compared to beef has been going down for the past 30 years. It's about 30% of the price now, but was 50% of the price back in 1990.
Chicken tenders are a relatively valuable part of the chicken, so I'm guessing that tenders would have been too expensive for fast food.
DradisPing
13d ago
There were some big changes to the H1B program announced this month, https://www.uscis.gov/newsroom/news-releases/dhs-changes-process-for-awarding-h-1b-work-visas-to-better-protect-american-workers
Applicants will have their applications weighted based on salary for the job occupation code and location. Devil is in the details, but they are trying to change things.
DradisPing
15d ago
It was settled under Biden.
DradisPing
17d ago
The other thing is that a teenage girl in casual clothing can enter or leave a hotel / condo building with attracting any attention. If she enters or exits in an evening dress then clearly there's some sort of event she's attending.
DradisPing
17d ago
I've only seen Glass Onion. It came off as shallow and hateful. Johnson seems like a theatre kid who smokes too much weed. The big twist was that the disruptors weren't smart and only got rich by stealing from a genius black woman.
DradisPing
17d ago
The USSR was funding a lot of left wing groups. They did this throughout the west. Irish groups got / took more money because Ireland was seen as opposing the UK and thus NATO.
When the USSR ended the money dried up, but wealthy Muslim governments & individuals took over funding anti-Israel activism. So many left wing groups pivoted to focussing on Israel.
DradisPing
18d ago
It's safe to assume that every two way communication method widely used has been used to ask a girl out.
DradisPing
22d ago
A recent photo of Steve Bannon mucking it up with Adam Schiff would be much more noteworthy.
Noam Chomsky has always been an armchair revolutionary. In terms of concrete political activity, Bannon doesn't take him seriously and Chomsky probably doesn't take himself seriously.
DradisPing
27d ago
Look into Jonathan Haidt's "the elephant and the rider" model. Most people don't operate in a hyper-rational fashion, motivated reasoning is the norm.
DradisPing
28d ago
I really think that all countries should just deny entry to any Kick streamer at the border. Sure you'll be getting false positives, but it does seem about as bad as having a criminal record.
If Maduro had had people watching the prediction markets closely he could have used the info to go hide in a bunker.
It would have been interesting if the insider trading had ended up self defeating.
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