BANNED USER: /comment/193024
HlynkaCG
old man yelling at clouds
Failed repeatedly in his attempts to die a hero and has now lived long enough to become the villain.
User ID: 659
Banned by: @cjet79
HlynkaCG
old man yelling at clouds
1yr ago
There's little to wonder about. Libertarians are generally incapable of building or capturing institutions because one of the defining traits of a Libertarian is "does not play well with others" and there in lies the rub becaues cooperative action really is our "killer app".
HlynkaCG
old man yelling at clouds
1yr ago
Cancel Culture over whether Lon Horiuchi was a hero or a villain definitely happened, which is part of why I roll my eyes at the suggestion that this is a recent phenomenon.
I don't think this invalidates my point so much as demonstrates just how far Democrats conception of "moderate" has moved in 30 years.
As many have pointed out, Donald Trump's policies and rhetoric where basically those of a 90s centrist. That he appears "Far Right" in contrast to most journalists and politicians today is more a comment on them than it is him.
HlynkaCG
old man yelling at clouds
1yr ago
I defy anyone to explain this as a positive or neutral indicator.
Don't tempt the devil.
Given the preponderance of Utilitarians, Aeithiests, and Accelerationists on theMotte there is a very real possibility that someone will take you up on that.
HlynkaCG
old man yelling at clouds
1yr ago
Is classwork actually primarily measuring IQ?
Given that IQ is chiefly a measure of academic potential I'd say probably yes. Where things get sketchy is in trying to map IQ to things like reasoning ability, social awareness, memory, erudition, etc...
HlynkaCG
old man yelling at clouds
1yr ago
If Bill Clinton and Al Gore are right wing in your book, consider for a moment that your model of the political spectrum is woefully miscalibrated.
HlynkaCG
old man yelling at clouds
1yr ago
As I said to another user, I think this says a lot more about how far "the center" has moved to the left than it does anything else]
HlynkaCG
old man yelling at clouds
1yr ago
One, you're conflating moral objections with legislative action.
Two, I didn't say it was the sole province of progressives, I was pointing out that support for censorship has always been a component of the progressive platform and the narrative being repeated by the OP and others in this thread that progressive democrats have always opposed censorship and conservative republicans always supported it only for the positions to flip in response to Trump is either deeply ignorant, or dishonest revisionism.
HlynkaCG
old man yelling at clouds
1yr ago
Why does the discussion around Ivermectin sound so much like the discussion around GameStop stock?
Because both are cases where the initial narrative was heavily influenced by "experts" in the media who were subsequently shown to be not only lying but to have a strong financial and political motive to lie.
HlynkaCG
old man yelling at clouds
1yr ago
On the subreddit where scores were hidden, negative scores were very rare. I wonder if it's a difference in the audience or the system.
I was just thinking the same thing.
HlynkaCG
old man yelling at clouds
1yr ago
And now they're keeping this disaster in the news for months to come with the prospect of bilking thousands of billable hours from leftist billionaires and money laundered NGOs to engage in blatant lawfare over a free plane ticket to a sanctuary city, after refusing to pay for a single hotel room for a single migrant? The "Democrats want illegals to have more rights than you, and then charge you for making them look at a poor person" ads practically write themselves. This is "Umbridge as a comic book villain" territory.
Well that's the Trick isn't it? The Texas and Florida Republican State Committees are explicitly banking on the DoJ and Democratic party establishment being too mind-killed by "Trump Derangement Syndrome" and their own racism to recognize what this looks like from the outside.
HlynkaCG
old man yelling at clouds
1yr ago
Russia has 2000 tactical nukes to Ukraine's 0. There's no level of grit or clever Western technology that can stand up to firepower of that magnitude.
You say that, but...
What do you think happens after Russia Turns Kiev Odessa and Lviv into mushroom clouds?
HlynkaCG
old man yelling at clouds
1yr ago
I think you, like some of our mutual acquaintances, have been putting too much stock in the Russians With Attitude Podcast without adding the requisite pound of salt.
HlynkaCG
old man yelling at clouds
1yr ago
Every war in history has ended in a negotiated settlement in which the winner keeps the territory and prizes they took. The exceptions are things like Troy, Carthage, and Berlin... and the Ukrainians aren't making it to Moscow.
The opening premise is false and thus the rest of the argument is false.
HlynkaCG
old man yelling at clouds
1yr ago
It is not a foregone conclusion that Russia wins.
No it is not, but it's important to remember that there a sizable contingent of Red Diaper Babies amongst the "Gray Tribe" who's belief in Materialism, IE a rational world ruled by inductive reason, requires the Russians to win.
HlynkaCG
old man yelling at clouds
1yr ago
That strikes me as perhaps the best case scenario for Putin in such circumstances.
HlynkaCG
old man yelling at clouds
1yr ago
Production is irrelevant when the time to produce the stocks is measured in years,
The history of WWII stands in direct rebuke to this thesis
HlynkaCG
old man yelling at clouds
1yr ago
Twitter is full of shit, Descriptions of an inevitable Russian victory and claims about how "Kiev is only days away from collapse" have become the new "two weeks to flatten the curve", no one who's been paying attention actually believes them.
HlynkaCG
old man yelling at clouds
1yr ago
...at which point the best case for Putin and his supporters such as yourself is the one @sliders1234 outlined above.
More likely scenario is that the Sejm finally says "fuck it" and lets the polish army of the leash. I've got a bunch of meat-space friends in the polish military and they've been itching to retake Kaliningrad and march on St Petersburg for years now and who are you to claim that they should not
HlynkaCG
old man yelling at clouds
1yr ago
Why are the Red Diaper Babies amongst the Gray Tribe? chock it up the the academic mindset and the shit I'm always going on about Hobbes vs Rousseau.
Why is it important? It isn't in the grand scheme of things, but it does explain why rationalists in general and mottezens in particular seem to skew pro-Putin and pro-CCP despite their ostensibly libertarian backgrounds.
HlynkaCG
old man yelling at clouds
1yr ago
I think you're are seriously underestimating the likely response. If "never get involved in a land war in Asia" is the first rule of war "never underestimate mongrelized rednecks' willingness to fight" ought to be the second. World Wars one and two could have been avoided by heeding such advice.
HlynkaCG
old man yelling at clouds
1yr ago
You say "none of even the serious pro-Ukraine people expect them to win the fight." and I ask define "win". The Fins "lost" the winter war by all official accounts, but that's not how history remembers it.
You talk about "high energy announcements" I ask who, when, where? Because the way I remember it is guy's like you Shakesneer, Cimafra, AlphanumericSprawl Et Al predicting Kiev's collapse and Moscow's inevitable victory "any day now" for 7 months now while at the same time I was getting derided for suggesting that any Russian incursion into western Ukraine would likely end in a bloodbath. You might disagree but I'm feeling pretty validated in my priors, where as yours appear to have been thoroughly falsified.
Ditto so called the claims of so-called "intellectuals"
Continuing, 200 - 500 deaths out of 1.5 million or so aint nothing, but it aint exactly something either. Yet somehow Zelensky admitting after the fact that that the ISW's initial estimates of Ukrainain casualties in the first few weeks of the war (despite those estimates being substantially higher than the official tally) were largely accurate is somehow supposed to to prove the Russia partisan's claims that that the ISW is hopelessly biased in favor of Ukraine. I don't see it.
You say
The enemy is always on the run... except none of the "Dangerous" regions ever seem to become safe regions, and there are a shocking number of offensives that get uncomfortable.
and I reply that the first statement is a patent falsehood, I get that as a Canadian and as a pot-smoker you have difficulty with long term memory so I will remind you that back in March the city limits of both Kiev and Kharkiv were under immediate threat not so much any more. as for the latter statement it is trivially true because all offensives get uncomfortable.
HlynkaCG
old man yelling at clouds
1yr ago
Because the soviets were in many respects "the great white hope" and this vibe has been carried over to neo-soviets like Putin. Couple this with the rationalist attachment to inductive reason IE that the side with superior numbers/weapons must win. that the underdog must loose, and you explain the rationalist support for Russia.
That said, if I wanted to be uncharitable I'd explain it away as a general affinity for technocratic authoritarianism amongst the intellectual class.
HlynkaCG
old man yelling at clouds
1yr ago
Superior discipline and firepower have, when taken together, a geometric effect on overall military strength, well trained, well equipped troop, will stand up to many more times their lesser brethren than linear arithmetic would seem to indicate.
-Col. Corazon Santiago
Indeed, this is why Libs of Tik Tok is so despised amongst the intelligentsia. She's not generating content or perpetrating hoaxes herself, she's just holding up the mirror and that's the last thing a lot of these people want.
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