MollieTheMare
No bio...
User ID: 875
MollieTheMare
2mo ago
There's a drawback in the whole "pilot suicide" issue, but pilot suicides are a lot less bad than ramming attacks and are in some ways easier to stop.
This doesn't even seem to be that big of a problem in the US. The largest differences from the Germanwings flight being:
- There are always two people on the flight deck now. Even when one pilot has to take a relief break a flight attendant steps onto the flight deck. Even if the FA has no idea what is going on, the added sense of shame from committing the act in front of another person is a strong deterrent. I also assume the FA would at least notice when the plane starts calling out "Terrain terrain. Pull-up Pull-up."
- Roughly (1,000 + 500) + 1,000 flight hours to fly a 737 or A320 size aircraft. Through a combination of rATP, ATP, and scope clause/regional captain restrictions. There would have been substantially more time to detect the Germanwings pilot unfitness with US airline levels of flight hour requirements. He only had 630 hours at the time. This would barely be enough to fly a clapped out Cessna 172 on pipeline patrol in the US.
- The FAA making it practically impossible to hold a first class medical after a severe depressive episode like the Germanwings pilot had. There's some argument for allowing pilots with minor problems to seek help, but not everyone is suited to every job. You've got to draw a line somewhere.
MollieTheMare
2mo ago
If you are getting a decent bolus of protein at each meal 1g/kg is not hard to get to and not 'a lot', especially while bulking. Especially if you at not vegetarian/vegan. One pound of chicken thighs is ~110g of protein. If you are lifting adult male and weigh 110 kg (243 lbs), eating a quarter pound of meat at four sittings shouldn't be that hard to do. With 3-4 feedings a day having some evidence for being more effective than one giant meal. It's tough to imagine a muscular 243 lb male that would have a hard time eating a quarter pounder honestly.
It's not even that expensive, about $2 a day against a real median personal income of about $115 per day in the US.
If prepping meat is too annoying, protein powders are supper cheap. Whey being the most common, mixing well, and with all sorts of flavors. Plenty of slower digesting and vegan options too, if that's what you're into.
MollieTheMare
1mo ago
absurd amount
IMO the practically available volume is the biggest advantage of using a wheel-less bag. On a standardish 22"x14"x8" (~55x35x20 cm) international carry-on size bag, one with no wheels can easily have 25% more interior volume than an identically box constrained wheeled bag. Especially those four castor bags you are losing a full 3 inches off of the bottom of the bag. People also underestimate the volume used for the collapsing handle and structure to transmit the load to the wheels.
In practice for me, this means that I can fit a "normal" amount of stuff in a max size personal item 18"x14"x8", and never have to worry about being forced to pay for a carry-on or have my bag gate checked.
MollieTheMare
1mo ago
Good luck. Generally the more delayed the more soreness onsets.
MollieTheMare
3mo ago
The quote the full model names in appendix A.1, but it's really such a short paper that it's worth at least scrolling through before discussing.
- O3-MINI (HIGH)
- O1-PRO (HIGH)
- DEEPSEEK R1
- QWQ-32B
- GEMINI-2.0-FLASH-THINKING-EXP
- CLAUDE-3.7-SONNET-THINKING
While surprisingly poor performing, it's not entirely out of line with my own experience experimenting with this class of models. They do seem to hallucinate at a very high rate for problems requiring subtle but extremely tight reasoning.
I've had a Totes 731 Stormbeater Golf Umbrella for more than a decade now. Literally caught it on the fly while riding my bike. It's one of those things where you hand just goes up to protect your face, then you realize you caught it and wish it was on video so people would believe it actually happened.
As you might surmise from the fact that it was flying free in a storm, the venting on large umbrellas does not make them perfectly wind proof. I would say that Beaufort 6 still holds "umbrellas used with difficulty." It has a fiberglass or carbon-fiber shaft, I'm not aware of any cane handle umbrellas that have a fiber reinforced shaft. Hope you can find one if that's a hard requirement, but they are pretty common on "golf" umbrellas. I think the canopy arms are also fiber-reinforced plastic on the 731. The tip is hollow plastic, and showing through after a roommate "borrowed" it without asking, and then decided to use it as a walking stick after the rain stopped.
The durability for regular use I wouldn't know, despite it being 15+ years old. I essentially only use it if an elderly relative is visiting and I am walking them to the car in the rain. My wife would normally hold her own umbrella or wear an overcoat. I guess I might go out and greet her with the mega-umbrella if she comes home and was not expecting rain. What is the etiquette now amongst the youths, do men still shelter their dates under a shared umbrella? Or is this just an entry way umbrella you would grab if you need to take the dog for a walk?
Edit: After looking around a bit I think this might be the same umbrella with a traditional handle: https://drivegoods.com/products/totes-jumbo-umbrella I don't see that model on the Totes' website, so it might not be in production anymore though.
MollieTheMare
3mo ago
Ah, I'm not OP. I've tried O3 High, O1 Pro, and QwQ. For the paper they have the prompts and grading scheme on the corresponding github. USAMO questions are hard enough you definitely need some expertise to grade them accurately. I'm far from being capable of judging them accurately.
Very qualitatively, the current crop of LLMs impresses me with the huge breadth of topics they can talk about. But "talking" to them does not give the impression they are better at reasoning than anyone I know who has scored >50% on USMAO, IMO, or the Putnam.
MollieTheMare
2mo ago
Anyone want to speculate on the following:
- Who will win the Navy Next Generation Air Dominance F/A-XX program award?
- Why is the Navy NGAD program pronounced NJAD?
- Who's idea was it to name both the Air Force and Navy programs NGAD, despite being separate programs?
- Will the plane be designated F/A-45 to go with the F-47? Surely unrelated to any other 45th and 47th.
My guesses:
Northrop Grumman, It would be crazy to put all our eggs in the Boeing basket at this point. My had cannon is that Air force doctrine is that GIF is pronounced with a hard g, while the Navy pronounces it with a j. Seems like it might be vestigial from DARPA, apparently there was never a meeting where everyone sat down and agreed the situation was ridiculous. I'll make a book at even odds for bets of any size of worthless, fake, imaginary, and untracked internet points.
MollieTheMare
5mo ago
Could you just choose to do it?
This is what confuses me about this whole thread. I feel like if went through a year long dry spell I could, more-or-less, shag anything. Strong physical attraction would not at all be a requirement in that case. Assuming no drastic shift in libido on my part, no extreme physical deformities, not morbidly obese, no disturbing fetish stuff. Is it possible that the porn use is actually excessive, and it's killing the ability to perform when it's time to get it on IRL? It seems like it's too late now, but what would have happened if OP just initiated at month 6, then closed their eyes and though of "England"? Is that less healthy than relying on porn 100%?
MollieTheMare
2mo ago
I think I'm on a liquid diet for a while
Do you have a go-to for a liquid diet?
I find Hule Black acceptable if prepared in a blender and given a few hours to hydrate. I wouldn't say it tastes good, but it's not as offensive tasting as some of the bad reviews would suggest. The ready to drink is convenient, but has worse macros for some reason.
I've never been brave enough to try a chicken, broccoli, and OJ blender shake. I have met at least one person IRL who's tried it though, so it's not just a meme. Claimed it was fine. I imagine you can sub cooked rice or oats and bone broth for the OJ carbs.
MollieTheMare
2mo ago
MollieTheMare
3mo ago
I'd consider adding some basic cardio like a daily 30 minutes walk if you aren't getting that in already.
Depending on how your schedule works out, breaking it up into several short sessions might even be better for you.
For big four lifting there are basic resources like the book 'Starting Strength' which contains beginner routines.
To supplement that I would add The Barbell Prescription: Strength Training for Life After 40. It's a bit like Practical Programing, but for the 40+ crowd. I would also recommend some type pulling, probably chins or pull-ups, to make it a big five.
MollieTheMare
2mo ago
I do generally think bicycling is superior to running as a form of cardio for weight loss. Most people who are overweight are also not good enough runners to minimize the impact or avoid repetitive stress injuries.
For serious road cycling there is also a social aspect that bicycling has over other forms of cardio. It's possible to ride with a group that will push you, but by utilizing the aerodynamic draft sucking doesn't hold up the group. You have to be much more closely match to keep pace running. You can also hang out in a peloton where you are relatively strong and replace some of the idle chat you would do in a bar. For what I assume are work schedule reasons, fast group rides are often at dinner time. If you get sufficiently thrashed, it's possible to just be too tiered to cook and eat a proper dinner after a ride. From personal experience, replacing dinner with a 2-3 hour group ride and a protein bar 4-5 times a week is good for like 4 lbs/week. Probably not optimal for health, sustainability, or performance though.
I fucking love guns, I want to turn a boar into pink mist with .50 bmg
I know you're being hyperbolic, but if you want to pass for being fully assimilated into American gun culture you have to be more nuanced than this. Full auto and .50 BMG are the types of things you do as a rental on a weekend to Nevada. You use them to obliterate a junk car or washing machine. Even with physician money it's just to impractical to do all the time. You'll almost never see this kind of thing at a normal range in the US.
More Platonicly American methods of hunting hogs:
- Still hunting with a lever action rifle chambered in something like a .44 Remington Magnum
- Night hunting with night vision optics on an AR platform, .223 Remington
- Hunting from a helicopter with "Fortunate Son" playing in the background, probably .223 Remington again
I don't consider hog hunting to be the most American form of hunting though. For me the form of hunting that is most characteristic of the American ethos is elk hunting. Probably with something like a .300 Winchester Magnum or one of the other big 30's.
I always thought one of the paradoxes of climate science was that (1) climate modeling is sound enough to project far into the future and determine magnitude, causality, and predict ecological, social, and economic impacts. And (2) geoengineering would be too dangerous because we don't know what the long term effects will be. That's probably not the exact phrasing of the IPCC or other consensus positions, but I don't think it's unreasonably far off either. Very speculative, but I suspect some of the skepticism of climate activism is that the solution always seems to be more socialism, rather than we would like to spend 0.005% of GDP to spray some calcite into the stratosphere.
MollieTheMare
1yr ago
MollieTheMare
2mo ago
I've never tried soylent, but had a coworker who switched to hule. He's the one that told me about it. I think Hule Original is probably the closest. It doesn't have a bunch of sugar like soylent but I think does have artificial sweeteners, if that matters to you.
I replaced lunch with Hule black. For sure saves time over meal prepping, and is very macro friendly.
MollieTheMare
4mo ago
I believe the "standard" practice in this situation is to use a movable chicken coup called a chicken tractor. You move the tractor from spot to spot in the yard as the chickens exhaust the forage the tractor is over. Feed would still likely be needed, though less. This is what @orthoxerox was referencing with the need for a movable enclosure.
The eggs may not count as "free range" if the chickens are raised this way, but it's arguably more humane than exposing them to predation. Chickens are a type of roosting fowl and tend to exhibit less stress if they have a place to safely roost at all times. As @SteveAgain mentioned modern chickens were bred from birds that can fly into tree tops to roost, it seems this instinct isn't completely gone with modern breeds, they just can't make it to tree tops.
MollieTheMare
11mo ago
While I still have antipathy for people that absolutely can grasp what they're signing, it's just obvious that many people really don't understand what they're signing up for and don't understand the basics of financing.
I'm sure it could never work. But I've thought for some time that the just action for some fraction of student loans would be to transfer the obligations from the student to the university, for any student who filed for financial aid and was required to take remedial sub-"college" level algebra by the university that they were enrolled in. Like the university as an organization knew (1) that person has no way of understanding exponential functions and therefor compounding interest (2) would need to undertake a compounding loan in order to pay for the tuition. If you know a person does not have the capacity to understand the considerations of a contract, I find it highly unethical to enter into such a contract with them. It also seems preposterous to be charging US university level tuition for material that's available from a $2.50 workbook at your local grocery store checkout. I've laterally seen students learning to reduce fractions in a top 50 usnews ranked university.
MollieTheMare
2mo ago
You couldn't do it the way the germanwings guy did it but the SilkAir way would still work.
Was there ever confirmation on how the SilkAir guy did it? I thought he managed to pull the CVR breaker at some point, but the NTSB thought that it was most likely he found some excuse/waited for the FO to leave the flight deck.
It looked to me like all of the incidents on regularly scheduled passenger service since 1997 allow for at least the possibility there were not two people on the flight deck. As I mentioned below, this is not currently allowed in the US. I guess for the 1994 Royal Air Maroc Flight 630 the co-pilot wasn't able to successfully intervene, and in JAL Flight 350 the intervention did not totally prevent the loss of life.
Still seems like the effect of the door is marginal compared to the other measures that have since been taken to limit the risk.
MollieTheMare
6mo ago
For example, maybe 2 workers lift the oversize bags.
I think this is probably it. In the US the standard is set by the NIOSH Lifting Equation which sets the starting threshold for required two person lift at 51 lbs. The airline probably faces liability if they do not mark bags over 50 lbs as oversized.
From the marginal fuel consumption point of view, most xUS airlines do set a limit on carry-on baggage weight too. Lufthansa for examples sets it at (iirc) 9 kg. They don't normally enforce it, but I have seen people being asked to weight their carry-on baggage after moving items from overweight checked bags on Lufthansa in particular.
MollieTheMare
7mo ago
Were you searching from a clean browser over a VPN? If not, it's likely that your hit was due to Google Personalized Search. Where a site you have visited in the past that contains a rare keyword is much more likely to be promoted to the top of the results it returns. I'm not sure it's confirmed, but it's possible they use browser fingerprinting for "personalization" as well now. So even on a fresh IP with no cookies, their browsing history linker is able to determine the "user" to personalize for.
MollieTheMare
8mo ago
In reference to the prime 137:
When I die my first question to the Devil will be: What is the meaning of the fine structure constant?
- Wolfgang Pauli
Primes are pretty freaky.
MollieTheMare
8mo ago
Really shows how easy it is to mine out a one in a thousand result.
By my calculation the raw probability, assuming 50/50 odds per trial, is about equivalent to a z-score of 3. As a heuristic for correcting for mining and p-hacking effects, there is a tongue in cheek expression that's something like "50% of all 3-z results are wrong."
Or maybe :
Should pop up a menu on every screen to select projector settings.
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