No_one
Underemployed Slav. Likes playing Factorio.
User ID: 1042
No_one
1yr ago
It won't be the rich. Not nasty enough as a class.
The moment you invent a replicator that can fit in a large building or a big ship, some sect or ethnic group, somewhere is going to think, "gee, I don't need the rest of you, I'm going to wipe you out with weaponised smallpox and mop up with kill bots and you won't know what hit you".
Countries can't do this, they'd get nuked if they tried something funny with biowarfare. Small groups, on the other hand.
No_one
1yr ago
Soviets invented linear programming trying to get central planning to work. I believe there was even a Nobel prize involved.
Did it work?
I get it that you don't get it, but what they don't tell you is that at the moment there isn't enough LNG exports in the world to keep the heat on in Europe and industry working.
That is, it'd take 40% of world's LNG market, where traditionally EU didn't figure much, and the currently the entire spot market for LNG.
Let's not forget Biden was against increasing fossil fuel production.. Although that may be changing.
Which Russians know because unlike journalists they can do elementary research, so they were almost certainly banking on getting some sort of deal during or after the winter. Rolling blackouts, possibly outright blackouts and a collapsing economy which is going to translate into everyone getting poorer are likely going to force Europeans to rethink things.
By 2025 there's going be enough LNG terminals to allow for keeping the lights on, at a much higher cost than previously, but until then, EU is screwed.
Of course, this is assuming no one "smokes around flammables" to use the annoyingly stupid idiom for war-related sabotage now in vogue. The Iranian copy of a Israeli suicide drones Russia is now using in Ukraine has a 20 kg warhead. Almost certainly wouldn't play nicely with LNG infrastructure which tends to go 'boom' in a impressive manner. It's also quite hard to detect and impossible to defend against unless you're willing to station automated flak guns all around critical infrastructure.
No_one
1yr ago
What inflation per year and how many hours of winter rolling blackouts do you think are going to be needed until Germans reconsider buying gas from Russia ?
Hell, in this situation they may even start reconsidering nuclear power. Which, let's remind everyone against used to produce as much energy yearly as all the nat-gas plants were producing in recent years.
No_one
1yr ago
Many years until those pipelines to China are built.
At the moment, the gas fields that were supplying EU are thousands of km away from nearest China pipeline connection. The pipelines to China are from much smaller eastern fields.
All the gas that went to EU has nowhere to go. Unless they start with selling LNG, too.
No_one
1yr ago
And are unlikely to be able to expand that much while under sanction.
Yes. Chinese are completely unable to build gas liquefaction machinery. It requires high tech industry such a backward country cannot possibly manage to build.
No_one
1yr ago
It's nonsense of course. The problem of planning is mostly related to individual knowledge and preferences.
No matter how complex a system of linear programming would be, how could it take that into account ?
No_one
1yr ago
It probably wasn't Russians.
Looks like Americans, given that their naval assault ship was right on the spot this week.
However, just now Poland and supposedly also Bulgaria have asked all their citizens to leave Russia, so quite possibly it was done by Poles, who have capability. All you need is an unimpressive ROV and some explosives and timers.
As someone not enthusiastic by AI panopticon nonsense or humanity going extinct, I'm liking this new development as it makes it look like the great atomic cleansing is getting more likely. Given a good nuclear war, mankind may even survive the 21st century. Can't get replaced by AI and bots if your tech base is early 20th century.
The Ministry of Foreign Affairs advises against all travel to the Russian Federation due to the war in Ukraine and the recognition of Poland by the Russian Federation authorities as an unfriendly state.
Attention is drawn to the suspension of direct flights between Poland and Russia and the very limited opportunities to travel to/from Poland, the lack of or extremely limited access to funds located in Poland (e.g., the inability to use Polish payment cards), as well as the actions of local services, such as arbitrary detentions, cell phone searches, and the potential impossibility of leaving Russia if one holds dual citizenship.
Due to the significantly reduced size of the Polish diplomatic and consular staff in Russia, the possibility of providing direct consular assistance to Polish citizens is very limited.
In the event of a drastic deterioration of the security situation, border closures or other unforeseen situations, evacuation may be significantly hampered or even impossible.
We recommend following the announcements on the Ministry's website and on the websites of Polish missions in Russia and reporting your stay in the "Odysseus" system.
We recommend Polish citizens remaining on the territory of the Russian Federation to leave its territory by available commercial and private means.
Translated with www.DeepL.com/Translator (free version)
No_one
1yr ago
We don't need to give Russia any more reason for saber rattling
You just gave them the pretext to blow up the North sea pipelines that supply quite a lot of gas to EU,though.
Breaking precedents hath its consequences.
No_one
1yr ago
First, they have to be able to pin it on you, which right off the bat is doubtful.
This isn't a fucking court of law.
They don't need to 'pin it on you'. They only need to know they didn't do it themselves to get really pissed off. This was way beyond petty sabotage, delivering fairly big bombs to a precise spot on the seabed requires a navy or an extremely foolhardy private company.
No_one
1yr ago
Except US insiders (NRO, Sikorski) are chortling. The threats were made on record by the US president.
It's completely inconclusive.
If chortling is not enough, you have to look at who profits. Not Russia, which was expecting Germans to crumble after some weeks of Africa-tier 'load shedding' by the power utilities.
No, US benefits here by making it impossible for EU to renew gas supplies even if Russia were to win or there was some peace treaty.
The entire fucking continent is going to become irrelevant.
The continent has been irrelevant since it lost WW2. Economically EU could never compete on account of not being energy independent and not having the scale or more friendly business environment of the US.
EU itself is a fucking joke, with cargo-cult education policies, inability to keep out unproductive riff-raff such as North Africans and blacks, inability to have a solid energy policy, etc. It's been a joke since it came into existence, because the same cretins were in charge. Any university teacher not in pedagogy could have told you that the 'Lisbon strategy' and 'Bologna process' which herded everyone with IQ above room temperature into universities, were just pure BS.
Maybe as a west-slobbering Russian you had some rosy glasses on, but in all metrics that mattered EU and Germany specifically was coasting on past accomplishments. Apart from former WP countries it can't even claim it's safe.
No_one
1yr ago
If you think people are going to be less mad when a solution to the energy problem is off the table, think again. Germans may be cucks but after some weeks of freezing their asses off Africa style (few know that most cold-related deaths happen in the tropics) that may change. Banks in western EU have been preparing for riots since summer started.
No_one
1yr ago
To be honest, it's amazing how nobody bombs infrastructure of this sort all the time.
US set a new, very expensive precedent. Expect small drones flying into LNG liquefaction facilities, time bombs going off near pipelines, that kind of thing.
It's really not hard for a navy to drop a half-ton time bomb next to a pipeline.
No_one
1yr ago
escues EU and German economy
Nothing short of imminent mass production of nuclear reactors that could be used to provide heat and boost electricity production by replacing burners in thermal power plants could 'rescue' the EU economy. Last I heard the only EU company making such is just building their prototype for non-fission testing. Expect mass production in 2030. I'm almost certain EU never gave them a cent and has no interest in the design either.
Providing weapons to Ukraine is going to get a lot, lot harder when companies making components are going out of business, economy is in a downward spiral and there are rolling black outs and population is looking for someone to blame.
No_one
1yr ago
Poles have no oil rigs and associated industry and probably no divers that skilled outside of military.
Of course, they might have done it. Just yesterday told all their citizens to leave Russia, so who knows.
No_one
1yr ago
Their punishment? Nothing.
Only because US is equally culpable. The virus that leaked was paid for by the US NIH.
No_one
1yr ago
Those last six months cause most of healthcare spending. By making people die of pneumonia earlier..
Still, nah. It was just incompetence and hubris.
No_one
1yr ago
Way, way beyond their capabilities.
The explosion was 2.3 on the richter scale according to Swedish seismologist. Probably the size of a truck bomb.
No_one
1yr ago
Please do prove me wrong if you can find anyone more reliable than he said/she said Twitter.
Potus swearing that it's going to be wrecked, not enough?
No_one
1yr ago
The ones who had motivation to blow it up. Russians control one end of it, Germans control the other. They have no reason to blow it up because they control the pumping stations.
Ukraine or USA has reason to blow it up and doesn't control the pumping stations.
No_one
1yr ago
Lmfao.
I get tons of downvotes when I point out 'sanctions' are no such a big deal when the country with half of the world's industry and the world's most rampant IP theft program refuses to sanction Russia on account of it being its biggest ally.
Cope & seethe, cope & seethe. Keep the downvotes coming.
No_one
1yr ago
In the U.S. weapons industry, the normal production level for artillery rounds for the 155 millimeter howitzer — a long-range heavy artillery weapon currently used on the battlefields of Ukraine — is about 30,000 rounds per year in peacetime.
The Ukrainian soldiers fighting invading Russian forces go through that amount in roughly two weeks.
That’s according to Dave Des Roches, an associate professor and senior military fellow at the U.S. National Defense University. And he’s worried.
Even Russia is probably getting low on ammunition and they were making far, far more per year and stockpiling in anticipation of a conflict.
US never planned for something like this:
Just to state it another way and make sure it sinks in - the US has already provided as many 155mm shells to Ukraine as it produces in SIX YEARS.
Russia - according to western defense officials - have fired as many shells over 1-2 day periods as the US produces all year.
Expired certificate, you can just ignore it.
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