The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
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User ID: 174
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
9d ago
There's a lot of hype and bluster but it doesn't appear different in kind than the sort of omnibus bills that have become common. Section 174 is the big win. The SALT deduction cap is a lot of sound and fury signifying little; some house-poors in California and NY/NJ will benefit, but most of those who would benefit from a higher cap will have incomes too high to take advantage of that. I think it ended up being a $40,000 cap up to $500,000 in income, phasing back to $10,000 by $600,000, but the numbers changed a lot and that may not be the final. Reducing the clean energy stuff is all good; getting Tesla (or Tesla buyers, depending on incidence) off the tit is good, cutting off the various scammers is even better.
but also singularly terrified of the massive increase to the ICE budget... It definitely looks like trump is making a military force loyal to him personally because he doesn't trust the loyalty of the existing forces.
This is just TDS, I'm afraid. ICE is not personally loyal to Trump, and getting more money in a budget will not make them so. If they are loyal to Trump as President and other existing forces are not (perhaps having been captured in the march through the institutions), then that's a bad situation and increasing their budget is probably a good thing.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
16d ago
Nerds were the first to have access to online conspiracy content.
Almost tautological because of "online".
Jet Fuel Can't Melt Steel Beams!
The Jet A open air burn temperature is 1,030 °C, considerably less than the melting point of even lower melting point steels. Alas, sneering at the actual TRUE things conspiracy theorists find is pretty typical for deboonkers, and demonstrates they are merely accepting authority rather than thinking.
Muh Magic Bullet!
That's a lot older than online conspiracy theories.
I want the old America back where children were born without marriage, didn't try to change their gender, and got all the vaccines their pediatrician recommended.
There were a lot fewer recommended vaccines.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
18d ago
Unfortunately Republicans have no solution to the problem of marriage. Neither party does, because the Overton Window only contains solutions that don't work.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
29d ago
There is payoff for "defection", and it's not even prisoner's dilemma payoffs. If you're "nice" and let people in front of you who you could have beaten out, they will typically be slow and sluggish drivers who hold you up. If someone aggressively cuts you off, they will typically want to be going fast and won't hold you up (but not always, the asshole who cuts you off and slows down is prevalent, though his natural territory is Pennsylvania)
The common thread between LA and NJ is there's just too damn much traffic.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
15d ago
That's the proposal. The answer to "I know this guy is going to do something bad but I can't prove it in court, so I want to take away his rights anyway" is "no". That's true whether it's liberty, speech, or guns.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
28d ago
"This is not liberty, this is license" has always been a tyrant's excuse.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
1d ago
Child support payments are part of modernity, not social conservatism. Anyway, if people are discussing them they are discussing obligations owed to (in practice) women; the usual complaint here seems to be the obligation is one sided. (Which it is; the child support payments are owed even if the money is not used for the child or if visitation and/or joint custody rights are denied)
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
26d ago
Iran and Israel is a special case because they can't reach each other to invade (and if Israel could, they don't have the manpower). And Israel probably isn't trying to decapitate; they're probably not trying to topple the regime (which would lead at best to chaos), but incapacitate it technically. Israel and Gaza is probably a better view of what it looks like when one side is totally outclassed. And Ukraine/Russia for near-peer fights. Total war, WWII style, is still off the table because of the nuclear spectre; a fight between China and the US seems like the only way to get that in the near term, but it will look different than any of the current conflicts because it will be far more about naval forces at least at first.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
29d ago
If only there were other transportation methods that scaled better.
Indeed, there are not. If you think NJ traffic is bad, NJ Transit brings whole new levels of bad.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
14d ago
I haven't seen good faith engagement from you in ages in this conversation. You clearly imply that some infringements on the right to bear arms is reasonable but you don't want to admit what that is then you later try and imply that you don't. Those are incompatible and you must pick.
Yes, I've said that an infringement is reasonable if it's a process similar to a felony conviction. And I've said that involuntary commitment is nothing like that. You keep telling me that then I have to solve the problem of people who were involuntarily committed and released buying guns and killing people, or accept that involuntary commitment loses gun rights. And I keep telling you that no, I do not have to solve that problem; that some bad people will get guns is an unavoidable consequence of having a right to keep and bear arms.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
18d ago
Fixing or at least freezing the decline of the economy for young men without advanced education is the “stop digging” part by at least making the economic landscape not maximally hostile to family formation.
Do the Republicans have a credible plan for that? I haven't seen one. (No, tariffs aren't going to do that)
If you’re able to get housing costs to stop rising or even fall, do the same with the asset bubble
The good news is housing costs are set to turn around for demographic reasons. The Silents and older boomers are already dying.
and put upward pressure on the lowest quintile or two of wages by creating a tight labor market
Creating a tight labor market drives up inflation and erases the gains.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
17d ago
The fundemental problem the hereditarians face is that thier entire edifice rests on an assumption that biology, psychology, and anthropology are not only rigourous and mechanisistic, but sufficiently understood that outcomes can be manipulated in a near deterministic manner. This is manifestly not the case.
It's also not required. No manipulation is necessary to observe heritability.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
1d ago
A cabinet secretary does in fact speak for the administration within their area of responsibility. They do not speak for the "woke right" (which itself is just a snarl term). That's like saying something Eric Adams says should be attributed to the progressive left (or to the Democratic Socialists of America, for a concrete group).
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
8d ago
The cuts to science funding seem likely to do major damage to American R&D, cause a mass exodus of skilled workers to Europe, and give China the opportunity to get even farther ahead of us in key fields such as battery development.
The damage was done. The science funding was being used for woke first, climate alarmism second, and any useful science well after that. Politico did an article on the "scientific refugees" moving to France; those identified included only a climate historian, a climate scientist and his wife "who studies the intersection of judicial systems and democracies".
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
16d ago
After losing this expungement case, the next step is probably to go for a second amendment challenge in federal court.
No point. The appropriate District and Circuit courts uphold all gun regulations and the Supreme Court has said they don't want to hear it. We've hit the end of the line for gun rights; in as much as they exist they exist in Red states only.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
17d ago
There may be room between those positions but there's no stable position between them. The center cannot hold, and has not, and we have reached the stable equilibrium of "she may withhold sex for any reason at any time and his only permissible recourse is a divorce in which he loses most of his assets and future income".
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
18d ago
You've fallen into a pattern of thinking that prevents solutions. "We need to make young men rich and successful" before they can have families is not really a viable plan. It will always take time to become rich and successful, at least in relative terms; setting up a system where men are most successful in their early 20s seems unlikely (and even if it could happen, would put a crimp in family formation)
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
13d ago
If you believe, as I increasingly do, that most of our societal ills with corruption and collapse of state capacity revolve around the mass importation of high time preference demographics incapable at a genetic level of pursuing generational projects, deporting them is not only a solution, but the only solution.
Unfortunately, at least in the US, that's not going to work, for 13/52 reasons.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
16d ago
This man has been convicted of no crime.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
20d ago
yet I'm increasingly falling in the delenda est camp just because the Israelis have proven time and time again that they are unwilling to compromise on their monomanic obsession to capture and subjugate
The Israelis withdrew from the Sinai; they withdrew from Gaza as well.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
21d ago
AOC has concluded that a president ordering an airstrike without congressional approval is grounds for impeachment. Fetterman thinks it was the right move. Both are, I suppose, on brand.
I suppose AOC would be (tautologically) right if she had the votes, but she doesn't. As I read it, the War Powers Act only requires notification after the fact in this case.
On the one hand I don't think Iran has provided the US sufficient reason to attack them (at least not one that's recent and public). On the other... eh, Iran's government sucks and I'm not going to lose sleep over it.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
10d ago
Doesn't resurrection entail a new body being created? The old one seems pretty irrelevant.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
13d ago
Safe Injection Sites. And the provenness of their effectiveness is certainly disputed. As is that of enforcement, as the 80s drug war showed. And rehab is a joke.
The_Nybbler
In the game of roller derby, women aren't just the opposing team; they're the ball.
28d ago
Freedoms come with responsibility, as they say
The "they" who say this are generally authoritarians, who sometimes write unintentional parodies of Bills of Rights in the form of paired statements of the form "You have the right to do X, you have the responsibility not to do X unless we say it's OK".
Wishcasting, as has been going on with respect to Iran since the waning days of the Reagan administration. Most likely they're reaching a non-representative set, with religious Iranians being more likely to eschew their survey. Islam tends to the more strict, not less, from the bottom up; any moderating influence comes from a "degenerate" (or Westernized) elite, which Iran lacks (largely because they killed them or drove them out in the Revolution)
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