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The_Nybbler

If you win the rat race you're still a rat. But you're also still a winner.

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joined 2022 September 04 21:42:16 UTC

				

User ID: 174

The_Nybbler

If you win the rat race you're still a rat. But you're also still a winner.

8 followers   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 04 21:42:16 UTC

					

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User ID: 174

Is the slippery slope really a fallacy?

Eugene Volokh wrote a paper arguing how the answer could be no.

I would say that not only is it not a fallacy but many slopes are slippery. If A->B and A->C and A->D and so on to A->Z, you cannot consistently support A and oppose Z... and it is likely that eventually you will not.

Most people never would be that dumb. With this kind of scam, as soon as the mark shows too much awareness, the con moves on to the next mark.

Charlotte Cowles

Her errors were not financial. Oddly, they were social. She trusted a random cold caller who had some of her easiest-stolen personal information and was running a con.

There have been communitarian Communists, but nearly all modern Communists are out for themselves. They're not looking forward to the glorious future where we all pull together; they're looking to the glorious feast they would like to make for themselves of "the rich".

With or without a nuke, Iran is not an existential threat to the United States. However, the fallout (more figurative than literal, but some literal) from the nuclear destruction of Tel Aviv would be rather ugly, compared to the current war.

which will potentially prevent Iran from making Nukes.

Yeah, that's the only goal potentially making the war worth fighting. But it IS a rather big deal.

The open daytime transits in the past few weeks were more of a show of force rather than a necessity to transport oil.

And also a chance to give Iran a chance to prove that it would adhere to a settlement by not shooting at them. Iran proved the opposite.

The margarine I use definitely claims it's butter. (It's not butter. It contains butter. I don't care what the USDA says)

I don't know much about Ocean County (though I assume you're referring to Lakewood), but I'd expect any such law to be taken advantage of by local networks of corrupt people, whether that was intended or not.

Central Command was playing word games in that tweet, as the operation was supposed to be a secret. They were not literally escorting ships through. They later said, according to the New York Times on May 31s.

“Though U.S. forces are not escorting, we continue to communicate and coordinate with commercial ships seeking to freely and safely transit the Strait of Hormuz, a critical international corridor for regional and global economies,” Capt. Tim Hawkins, a Central Command spokesman, said in a statement on Saturday.

I think the actual point of the law was to allow lefty NGOs to get homes, though whether they'd move Democrats into them in a reverse-gerrymandering maneuver or just resell them for profit in an ordinary corruption maneuver could go either way in New Jersey.

The US accepted an MOU that people swore amounted to total victory for Iran. Then [B]Iran[/B] through its actions demonstrated it didn't think the MOU was total victory. Iran still thinks it can get unconditional surrender -- the US goes away, Iran tolls the straits, Iranian proxies attack Israel and Israel just takes it, and Iran gets back to the job of building a nuke for Tel Aviv. The US does not appear to be interested in this deal, but neither is it interested in invading Iran. So we've got this dynamic stalemate. Iran can't keep the straits closed, but the US can't keep them 100% safe either. Every time Iran attacks shipped, they get bombed more.

Iran can still win, though. They can simply outlast Trump, and then President AOC or Al-Sayed gives them everything they want. This does assume Trump doesn't decide to do a decisive attack, or if he tries Congress and the courts stop them.

The straits are open, but at higher risk than they were before the war. Iran can hit ships, and occasionally does. I don't think anyone's paying tolls except those using the Iran route to pick up Iranian oil, and I'm not sure about them. Not sure about insurance; most of the non-Iran traffic seems to be Gulf-owned ships which are presumably locally insured, though the Greeks still seem to be in there too.

Denying that "chicks dig jerks" has been a feminist staple for decades, yes.

You can't hedge against total financial catastrophe unless you have at least Larry Ellison "make my own self-sufficient villain lair" money and ability; you have to do it in the physical world, not the world of finance. So there's no point in trying. If some less-than-catastrophic event where Anthropic is successful happens, those SWEs get rich just like in earlier tech booms.

Wouldn't the pursuit of a judgment from the second mortgage (or bankruptcy proceedings, if they're taking that route) just lead to the house being sold?

Primary residences have some protection against bankruptcy, though this trick probably works better if you have a relative exercise the right of first refusal.