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WhiningCoil


				

				

				
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joined 2022 September 04 23:24:47 UTC
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User ID: 269

WhiningCoil


				
				
				

				
6 followers   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 04 23:24:47 UTC

					

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User ID: 269

Verified Email

Who cares if the model is accurate? Its not supposed to be. It exists so that when Biden gets the most votes in history again, you can point to the model and call everyone asking questions an election denier.

  • -21

Congratulations, you just made the worst argument in the world for the millionth time. "You don't care? That makes you a bad person."

I don't care because I already lived through worse in 08, assorted points during Obama where we nearly "broke the buck", COVID, and most recently at points in 2022 where all the gains of my portfolio were wiped out going back to 2017. These tariff hiccups don't even take my portfolio back to the beginning of 2024.

Also, it's not a loss until you sell. Which if you do, you're a chump. Panic selling the bottom is how they get you.

I don't care about daily stock market swings because they are fucking retarded, and you shouldn't either.

  • -16

LOL, oh no, this forum. And it's many diverse views. So diverse the mods keep contriving new and creative reasons to ban me for mine.

This forum has more or less outlived it's usefulness, and effectively radicalized me against it's own principles. All I see anymore are liars using arguments as soldiers to trick the other side into not believing their own lying eyes.

  • -11

People keep talking to me about "civil war"

Only if we're lucky.

That was the argument. I can add 6 paragraphs largely repeating myself if it helps. I've had to resort to ChatGPT to please you guys before, I can do it again. Although I think I still have my copy of Dilbert's Desktop Games which had a bloviator. That aught to be good enough.

I mean, I get that, but I don't.

Like, I get that if we're talking about a court case. Diving into the minutia of which legal arguments the Supreme Court will agree with, and which justices will go which way. Less so when it comes to individual court cases, like Rittenhouse, although I understand they are good drama and lightning rods for the culture war. I certain dove all in on some of them.

I get it when it comes to hot conflicts like Ukraine and Russia, and debating tactics, strategy and capabilities. Especially because reality quickly asserts itself.

The tariff discussion though... all I know is that all the same talking heads who've been wrong about everything insist tariff's will destroy the economy. They quote that the last time we did this was 100 years ago, and that simultaneously that's how we know it's a terrible idea, but also that the world has changed so much tariffs won't work like they used to when Trump brags about how great they were 100 years ago.

Fact of the matter is, Trump is a singular figure in history. He doesn't compare to anyone else. As well, these tariffs, coming from him, with the state of the world being what it is, is a singular moment in history that cannot be compared to any other. 10 years from now, some people might rise to the top as "having been right about the Trump tariffs". Some of them might have even done so on purpose! But I would also not be shocked if they lead to outcomes nobody predicts and nobody gets it completely, or even half right. You might as well be arguing about the next number at the craps table.

Sure, I wouldn't care either if I didn't have hundreds of thousands invested in the market, like millions of other people do through various retirement accounts.

Maybe I read too much into it. That just pattern matched to "millions are suffering and I care like a good person should". And I refute both points. Retirement accounts are not lost in a day unless you sell the bottom like a hysterical woman, and we've seen worse event in recent memory, much less living memory.

No you're right of course. I'm sure you will be able to phrase your wish in just the right way on the monkey's paw.

Blowing up being called "silly" and getting laughed at into a "personal attack" is textbook butthurt. I don't make the rules.

Don't tell me I'm not LOLing. I just woke up my sick wife with my LOLing, and the dog too. I LOLed in a deep, throaty way, from deep in my gut. It was the LOL of a man deeply satisfied, and you can't take that away from me.

Edit; I mean, seriously. If you are about to mod in so silly and unserious a fashion, so much so you can already anticipate how I'll object (because it's true), but you plow on ahead anyways, and then you get all butthurt for your deserved mockery, just hang up your hat dude. You're cooked.

Man, these next few years are going to finally be a referendum on Keynesian versus Austrian economics. Or maybe referendum is the wrong word, but a test. On the one hand, you have the notion that deficits can pile up forever, inflation is required to prevent a deflationary great depression, government spending doesn't cause inflation, etc. On the other hand, you have the ideas that if we balance the federal budget, pay down our debt, reduce regulations, and tax foreign goods, we can keep wage growth above inflation and everyone will be better off. If this plan gets bungled, or is executed perfectly and just plain doesn't work, that's it, Keynesian economics until the end of time.

Personally, I'm rooting for the later case. Trumps first term saw corporate taxes slashed, regulations slashed, minimal inflation, historic wage growth (though that was a low bar), and that included the beginnings of waging a trade war with China. And this was despite "all the economist" saying it would ruin the US economy. So on the face of it, I'm not terrified of what happens with more of a trade war, especially given the aggressive spending cuts Trump's admin has been performing, and the regulation cuts, and hopefully even tax cuts I'm anticipating. I'd say if Trump 45 was a preview of things to come, there is a decent chance Trump 47 will be even better.

LOL. "Liar" is on the same level as "Nazi". I mean I know Nazi has been thrown around so much it's been severely devalued, but I don't know it had fallen all the way to "Liar". Good to know, good to know.

Going bald isn't the end of the world but it's pretty traumatic. People get hair transplants that look terrible or wear a hair systems to cope with it.

And some people accept their fate and choose to get jacked. Because fat and bald sucks. Fit and bald is a definite look though. All in all I'm pretty happy with my choice.

Right? The current market cap of BTC is $2T-ish. The US National Debt is $36T. This much money, what's a car cryptocurrency? I'm sure our government has wasted $2T on worse things.

I threw down probably 30 to 40 turrets snd they make quick work of them.

Why would they care? This is winner take all. I'm seeing scattered reports of trucks pull up with 100,000's of ballots in Philly and Detroit. There will always be a legion of empty suits claiming this is all totally normal and you are all the bad things if you ask questions.

I've been balls deep in Mechwarrior 5 Clans. It's a bit rough around the edges. I don't think the meta is as balanced as MW5 Mercs got after 6 DLC or whatever it was. Also I'm not really sure they captured the raw supremacist attitude of Smoke Jaguar. It's still pretty amazing though. A peerless revisit of MW2's rough timeline.

Yeah, Ubuntu was going to be my first choice because it seems so ubiquitous and stuff like Steam claims to only support Ubuntu. But a friend of me talked me out of it because Ubuntu began gathering telemetry or something? And a lot of the places I used to see evangelizing Ubuntu shifted to Mint?

I donno man. I'm an outsider looking in.

Yeah, I don't think Mechwarrior 1-4 are ever getting released again. For a time Mechwarrior 4: Mercs got a free re-release, but the "free license" for that has been withdrawn, and it's no longer distributed officially. MW3 is actually the only one I haven't replayed to completion in recent memory. Perhaps I should make that my next retro project.

You know, that really strikes at the duality of it for me. I don't want to be fucking around with arduino components like electronic legos, but then the ecosystem of all electronic components is so vast and wide and deep that you really are just adrift.

My dream for a time was to build my own 8-bit computer with some cheap 6502, VGA output and synthesizer audio as a fun learning exercise. But it turns out nobody makes VGA chips anymore? Or audio? Basically everything is SOC, and every project you see along these lines has a legit 8-bit Z80 or 6502, and then uses an SOC as a co-processor for it's VGA and sound, or has you using 20-30 year old salvaged chips.

I've largely ignore all the tariff talk the last, jeeze, two weeks? Three weeks? It's just repetitive top level posts really adding nothing over and over and over again, everyone so certain they know what's going to happen.

Nobody knows what's going to happen. Did anyone know this would happen? Does anyone know what happens next?

I'm just so tired with everyone's vapid obsession with tariffs. To the point where it feels like a psyop. I've repeated my criteria for the Trump administration, and my hesitancy to rush to judgement too quickly. I'm waiting until the mid terms to see if my life has gotten better, or worse. I don't care about twitter post, I don't care about stock market swings, I do care about inflation, but in the "Has my pay risen faster than my grocery bill" sense and not a "Here's how the federal reserve is lying with statistics" kind of way.

Can we all reflect, for a moment, about all the breath and ink that has been feverishly spilled over this topic the last two weeks, to come to what? Do we even know what this point is supposed to represent? Or what tomorrow's tweets will be?

We've had topic bans before, and honestly I wouldn't be opposed to a month long ban on tariff discussion. Or putting it into it's own thread. Might as well be arguing alternate histories as far as I'm concerned.

Delayed onset muscle soreness. Pretty normal, sucks a giant unwashed dick.

none of the identity politics garbage like in the reboot

It's quaint, and it's not exactly the weapons grade ID pol of today, but having a white nerd obsessed with an angry black woman definitely played to a certain stereotype. Actually knew two nerds of the 80's/90's from school that went on to fulfill exactly that stereotype. Some sort of arbitrage between dating markets at work.

Of course, this is nothing new. In "Crime and Punishment", Raskolnikov kills a pawnbroker because he believes he can transcend moral law to bring about a greater good. 500 pages later, he learns this was wrong and finds Jesus.

Does he learn that it was wrong, or does he realize that he can't and he is better off finding Jesus? I mean Raskolnikov's central thesis, that might makes right for certain people (with Napoleon as a central example) doesn't necessarily get disproven by the end of the novel. Only that he is no Napoleon.

tangent2

I can tell everyone read to the same point, got triggered, and didn't continue reading. So I'll repeat myself.

The problem is that suddenly, thanks to the internet, literally every single line of code needs to become a hardened attack surface. "Exploits" didn't matter in a pre-internet age, and I also question how much Rust will really address them. I doubt at the end of the day a Windows written increasingly in Rust will prove more secure than a Windows written in C. I think Rust is necessitated more by the falling skill level of corporate programmers than anything else, and I also doubt it will remediate that problem. If anything treating Rust as a panacea for a lack of skill will only make the problems worse. Less buffer overflow exploits perhaps, still plenty of attack surface for malicious actors to abuse.