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bro


				

				

				
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joined 2022 September 05 20:25:55 UTC

				

User ID: 700

bro


				
				
				

				
0 followers   follows 3 users   joined 2022 September 05 20:25:55 UTC

					

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User ID: 700

What happened last week? I mean this literally, it's was such a deluge that I feel like I forgot significant things in it. Asking here to sanity-check.

  • Charlie Kirk assassination, world-altering shitstorm, the swings of the manhunt
  • Iryna Zarutska murder, up-to-genocidal frenzy, progressive release of ever-more-uncensored video
  • Russian drone incursions into Poland
  • Nepali zoomer revolution, burning down parliament and beating ministers, Discord election
  • Israel bombing Qatar
  • Greta flotilla drone attack
  • Trump Epstein birthday card

Is that it? Was there some more israel/gaza stuff? Trump admin actions? Some other twitter culturewar flareup that seemed to matter?

The important part is he was caught because he (massively) fucked up, not because the police caught him. That is well within the realm of possibility here. Even in 2025, even with whatever Palantir or whatever gets them, the police don't yet seem to have magic powers, and even someone who apparently couldn't think straight enough for "don't hang around in public with your face visible when you're the most wanted man in America" to be an overriding priority, seemed to have otherwise been successfully getting away.

Mangione got caught by being extremely retarded. What was it... he went to a busy McDonalds 1 state over in the middle of the day, wearing the same clothing and backpack, removed his mask, and had the murder weapon and a manifesto on him.

I don't know what your heuristics are. If it's a game you would like at all, there's enough of it that it's easily worth $30. It's the pinnacle of most of the genres it's attached to, a masterpiece in almost the traditional sense (one very competent guy polished it for 8 years, it's a completely realized coherent vision), and very fun.

Probably 15-20 hours to beat the part of the game that most people will stop at (having greatly enjoyed their time with it), and 100+ hours to optionally go beyond that if you still don't want to put it down.

The supposed "RNG problem" is a skill issue tbqh. I found that keeping a list of tasks and theories loosely sorted by likelihood, and playing each run flexibly with "I'll start out aiming for X but will pursue something else if that's where the rolls go", I was never bottlenecked to grinding on a single theory until very late in the game (much later than you would have gotten by your description), and almost every run moved at least something forward.

And by that point you should have certain RNG-biasing unlocks, reliably abundant rerolls, and be able to draft ~whatever you want most runs

But then again I just loved the basic drafting game and would take any excuse for another run. This would probably still be GOTY for me just for the main gameplay loop without most of the stuff beyond the first credits-roll.

Full-strength no caveat endorsements for recent releases:

You should play them if you haven't.

Probably referring to the Ming treasure voyages. It's a fun little meme but I don't think it seriously applies. Chinese civilization is not going to randomly commit suicide in this era, certainly not more than everybody else is.

Off-topic, mostly just posting because some people who will be drawn to this thread might enjoy this and not have seen it:

Shane Gillis and Steve Gerben on Late Night with Seth Myers

Cumtown-adjacent Shane Gillis dragged his favorite jewish punching bag along with him into a mainstream national spotlight, and it went well.

There is a stark contrast between MSSP's fate vs Cumtown/TAFS (I am very comfortable calling with high certainty right now that Adam Friedland will not become "The Joe Rogan of the Left", for reasons already well explained by others in this thread), that... is not actually that surprising after reflecting on the personalities involved, but is still pretty crazy to see for people who've watched both from the early days.

Comparable vibes: Tabernis - Alveus Umbrae, original music on bagpipe + drum by French guys dressed as medieval beekeepers.

What is the best way to follow the Xiaohongshu excursion (short of signing up for and immersing yourself in it directly)? Is there a good window into it that has emerged yet? Some twitter or youtube account sampling it representatively?

Low-key, low-volume and secretly. Not posting like it's a 7th job and doing 4h groyper spaces every night a year after being discovered.

Birthday paradox + a bit of parasocial mimicry.

Do you think that Adrian Dittmann is Elon Musk?

I haven't seen anything remotely convincing, certainly not any of the things people are breathlessly pointing to as proof.

I am almost certain he is not.

Surely if you are on trial for assaulting a stranger that showed up at your door to confront you on the grounds that you feared for your life, and then barely a month later an armed murderer shows up at your door calling your name then murders your neighbours dogs when you don't answer, that is going to help your defense.

What's going on with Chrystia Freeland? Rats v sinking ship?

ctrl-f "parasites"
ctrl-f "strife"

At minimum, that doesn't contain quotes that have been reported as being in the manifesto. Possible it's a supplementary piece of writing, but no particular reason to believe that without some corroborating bits. There's already been a hoax youtube account etc.

A lot of "Ted-pilled" people, probably the majority, consider themselves so while simultaneously being people he would have really liked to kill in particular.

https://caroline.milkyeggs.com/

I don't recall much about it, I don't think there was too much straightforwardly juicy stuff, besides these two bits that most made the rounds

He has a Manifold account

His Twitter lists have some familiar posters on them, and he follows SSC on Substack. Viewed as one big jumbled pile at once, his online detritus reads as much TED-pilled as ted-pilled, but it might be informative to see when several of the slightly more suggestive bits of it were actually from. He went quiet online 5 months ago.

Those helicopters do seem to be parked on Runway 10/28 at Greenville Downtown Airport (ie as opposed to a taxiway). I think that video was taken from roughly here, looking north.

There is another runway at the airport. You can also hear what I think might be a plane taking off or landing in the video.

The organization he mentions ~speaking on behalf of in the video, Greenville Aviation, posted this Instagram Story:

We need to clarify a few things.

A video was posted making some false accusations about operations happening at GMU.

Yes, there were some helicopters parked at GMU, but they in no way interrupted any of our distribution efforts. They were parked on an inactive runway, and were completely out of the way. They are no longer staged here as of today.

As for drops being made, we no longer need volunteer pilots or planes, but thank you again to everyone that has volunteered so far.

A completion model called gpt4t-lu-test just appeared in OpenAI's API Playground (and presumably the OpenAI API generally), and it's not documented anywhere (including in Pricing), and ~nobody seems to have noticed yet. It doesn't seem to even be instruction-tuned, and will gladly complete a meth recipe etc.

As far as I know, OpenAI has never allowed any public access before to a GPT-4 base model, but that seems like what this is.

What is this, and what does the lu there stand for?


update: gpt4t-lu-test is no longer available as a completion model, but now as a chat model, that seems at very shallow first glance to just be a normal GPT-4 chat model (guardrails and all). I guess I caught a brief misconfiguration.


update: Now gone entirely.

Employee claims misconfig, and nothing special. I buy that because it seemed unlikely they would be doing something interesting off of Turbo at this point.

Here's a couple other people who had anything to say about him before today (you have to manually click "Search" unfortunately), all on the /r/volunteersforukraine subreddit. As a cautious heuristic I'd consider any random person who had anything at all to say about him before today to be more credible than any random person who has anything at all to say about him after today.

Bonus from that search: here's a reddit account of his that nobody else seems to have found yet.

He was also in a NYT article in March 2023

The thing about western volunteers in Ukraine, which is a scene I've looked into before, is that anybody can just show up and do and claim whatever, it's all incredibly ad-hoc, and it massively disproportionately attracts high-agency crazy people.

I linked xcancel because it's currently a functioning way to read twitter without an account, it's a straightforward mirror of twitter. I've never encountered popups on it, though it has a single layer of bot check redirect thing that kicks in on new visits or every few hours of use.

2 months ago:

Warning about Ryan Routh: he is not, and never has been, associated with the International Legion or the Ukrainian Armed Forces at all. He is not, & never has been, a legion recruiter. He is misrepresenting himself and lying to many people.

Though it does seems he was in Ukraine at some point

Wild claims on his twitter seem consistent with him being a high-agency crazy:

#pnhhaiti I have thousands of Afghan solders that wish to serve for the Haiti national police at cheap wages. 1000 with passports ready to fly.