dr_analog
top 1% of underdog fetishists
No bio...
User ID: 583
dr_analog
top 1% of underdog fetishists
2hr ago
To believe in US defeat you have to believe the US is so squeamish that we'll beg Iran to re-open the SOH and in exchange offer to let them build nuclear weapons with impunity.
Stabilizing the strait may be costlier than we would like and somehow we'll do this public good alone, as usual, but not as costly as letting Iran have nukes.
I casually mentioned during a group run today that we cured fatness (because they were talking about a future dystopian Wall-E world where everyone would be fat) and like each of the 5 people I was running with said something negative and shitty and propagandized about GLP-1s.
I almost said "it worked awesome for me I lost 35 pounds and improved my run dramatically after struggling with dieting for like 20 solid years" but decided not to say anything.
There's still a lot of GLP-1 racism out there.
dr_analog
top 1% of underdog fetishists
20hr ago
You don't have like a normal genetic counselor in town/city that your prenatal care person can refer you to?
I had high hopes given the premise and the buzz but the only Black Mirror episodes I enjoyed were 'Striking Vipers' and 'Hang the DJ'. The rest were too boring or dumb.
It's probably my fault.
dr_analog
top 1% of underdog fetishists
23hr ago
As an early Wolf3d, Doom and Quake FPS PC gamer I always kind of sneered at Halo as one of those console gamer things that were beneath a man of culture like myself.
Sounds like I missed out.
dr_analog
top 1% of underdog fetishists
1d ago
Just thought you'd appreciate the irony of reflecting on this comment from 2 years ago given that SBF got 25 years while Ulbricht was set free.
dr_analog
top 1% of underdog fetishists
1d ago
This is 2+ years now (so, a year late) and I'm not named RemindMe Bot but I thought I'd mention he got a lot more than a slap on the wrist. And considerably more than the at least 10 years I predicted.
dr_analog
top 1% of underdog fetishists
4d ago
I was in a hot tub the other weekend arguing with a French man about politics while his wife was hopped up on fertility pills and flirting with every available man at the party, she was really into one of my best friends whose chest she kept asking to feel. The man argued with me that Trump's North Korea policy was disastrous, and I remember what North Korea was like before when they were launching missile tests every few months and nobody could solve that perpetual crisis.
So. Is the implication that people with the wrong political opinions are a bunch of cucks or what?
I mostly agree with your political assessment but this seems inflammatory.
dr_analog
top 1% of underdog fetishists
4d ago
If I was a tin pot dictator I would find Trump extremely intimidating at this point
dr_analog
top 1% of underdog fetishists
4d ago
I'm not sure but I think the "problem" is we would be indifferent to Iran and at peace with them if not for Israel setting the agenda so even doing #1 and #2 were immense cost for us and to little benefit for us.
It was not very America Firsty.
dr_analog
top 1% of underdog fetishists
4d ago
I suppose I'm in the minority to say I think it's good to establish the precedent that if we find negotiating with your leadership very annoying and the international community has little sympathy for them, we'll either abduct them and put them on trial in NY or blow them up while they're in their house.
dr_analog
top 1% of underdog fetishists
5d ago
I'm not that old but I think aside from the tan suit controversy Obama had the best aesthetics in living memory? Europe was so gosh darn proud of us.
dr_analog
top 1% of underdog fetishists
7d ago
You're betting against other people though. The marketplace/exchange doesn't care how much you win.
dr_analog
top 1% of underdog fetishists
8d ago
I mostly only saw Trump announce insane thing, people sold off expecting the crisis to deepen and then lock in a loss when Trump backpedaled.
dr_analog
top 1% of underdog fetishists
8d ago
Trump announces something insane and then the stock market hits an all time high after a brief freakout, which may or may not involve a backpedal. It's been like 9 times so far. Did you predict that?
I was reading Catch-22 on my subway commutes in NYC. Then 9/11 happened in the middle of it.
So I had this feeling of being at war, but not really sure who we were at war with. People randomly bursting out into tears sitting next to me. Overhearing some of the most jingoistic stuff ever. Huge delays because people were hallucinating suspicious packages and people everywhere.
The book suddenly felt very, very relevant.
The absurdity of war and bureaucracy. The true believers intersecting with the grifters. The loyalty oaths. Before 9/11 the book came off as a work of almost gonzo journalism and afterwards read like an autobiography.
I probably would have abandoned it out of boredom if not for 9/11.
dr_analog
top 1% of underdog fetishists
12d ago
So. Why can't the US just get bored of blowing stuff up, declare mission accomplished and then leave without resolving the SOH?
Is Iran going to impose a permanent toll on the SOH anyway? Are they actually able to do this long term? Why didn't they figure this out until this month? Presumably they should have done this all along?
Something doesn't quite add up.
dr_analog
top 1% of underdog fetishists
13d ago
If this goes on longer, the environment lobby should be really happy. There should be quite a significant drop in fossil fuel use globally. Definitely better than the effort that goes into doing Earth Day. Reminds me of Genghis Khan and being the "greenest invader" in history.
Trump: warrior for climate justice
Wait I fucked up the percentage math. I thought "20-50 out of 1000, that feels like the right number. oh but he wanted a percent that's 0.2-0.5% right?"
I meant 2-5%
Bah!
dr_analog
top 1% of underdog fetishists
15d ago
My q: How many professional, actively managed funds beat their benchmark index over the course of 15-20 years? Guess at a percentage/range.
My guess is
One Billion Jews
Recently, Gad Saad was on the Joe Rogan Experience and he asked the host how many Jews he thought there were. Rogan responded one billion, or 500 million minimum, conservative estimate. There are in fact about 20 million Jews. Rogan was off by a factor of 25.
Ha ha. But to be fair if you're not used to doing Fermi estimates you can get tripped up like this.
I asked Claude to challenge me on some that I might be similarly dumb about but I've spent enough time in this kind of community that all of the low hanging fruit, like murder rate in the US or percentage of federal budget that goes to foreign aid has been picked.
The ones that busted me hardest were estimating the age of Proto Indo European (
I ask you, fellow Mottizens, do you have facts that we should all know that would probably punk us if we tried to estimate? Tip: you can make something a spoiler by surrounding it with two | characters on each side (check the preview).
So if Iran doesn't want nukes then why is giving up enrichment such a deal breaker for them? They'd rather apparently be all killed than negotiate on this.
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