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greyenlightenment

investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...

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joined 2022 September 04 18:26:17 UTC

blog https://greyenlightenment.com/

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greyenlightenment


								

								

								
								
								

								
							
					
 
				


				
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...

				
				
				

				

					2 followers  

					follows 0 users  

					joined 2022 September 04 18:26:17 UTC
				


				
					

					
blog https://greyenlightenment.com/



				

				

				

				

				

					

					

					
					
					

					
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	 Hot Bump Top Bottom New Controversial Comments
	



		

	






	

		
		

		
		
	

	

  







		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of September 5, 2022
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
Some Hispanics can pass as close to being white, and the other groups are tiny relative to US pop. So about 1 Asian for every 3 Blacks, which seems about right from what I have observed.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of September 5, 2022
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					


Market manipulation (which is ILLEGAL) is why the position didn’t work.




It's not unprecedented  at all for illegal manipulation of affect stock prices. It happened  during the 90s and early 2000s. Maybe a heuristic as simple as closing out a short position when it doubles in relative size would have saved them . But nope. They stayed in way too long and paid for it.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of September 5, 2022
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
Substack..true, you have to build your audience, but a lot of people are having success with it. I think writers for top and mid tier publications still make decent money though.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of September 5, 2022
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					


Terry Goodkind.




Terry Goodkind's life is interesting. He began writing in mid-life without any otherwise demonstrable talent. Nowadays it's more of the opposite, in that top performers start early or are identified early in life.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of September 5, 2022
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
Queen Elizabeth II died ..no need for a link...the story is everywhere, as you would expect. One of the longest reigning monarchs ever ,beginning shortly after the Second World War, in 1952, during what was the pinnacle of the British Empire. In the 70 years that followed saw Britain go from being a superlative world superpower to losing most of its colonies, save for some tiny islands. [Although Britain lost India in 1947, so it was already well into decline.] Economically, after the war it was easily surpassed by the US , and even more ironically, by Germany and Japan. I think it shows the power of capitalism and innovation. Just having a lot of territory or having a big military is not enough if you lose the technological or capitalism arm's race. Britain is having so many problems now, such as inflation and gas shortages..it goes to show how bad things are elsewhere compared to here.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of September 5, 2022
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
Reddit  is very stealthy about this sort of stuff. A comment deleted by an admin looks like any other deleted comment. There is nothing that stands out about it that suggests action by an admin.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of September 5, 2022
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					


ms. Have you seen the stats on child movie stars? Olympic athletes?




No mention of the control group. Yeah, some child stars have mental problems as adults, but without a control group it's not like we can draw moral guidance from this . Celebrities, rich people  may have fucked up personal lives, but so do plenty of normal people, too.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Why Is Legacy Media Like This?
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
Off-topic, but how many unique visitors/day do you get from this blog or unique visits per article? I have never used substack, I am wondering what sort of traffic a substack blog like your brings in . I am trying to also find a way to estimate traffic from visible engagement such as likes & comments.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of September 5, 2022
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
LGBT rights and covid vaccines are the two issues that the left has no tolerance for dissenters, much more than other issues. I dunno why this is. These are the major third rail issues. Vox Day for example had his blogspot banned after a decade of otherwise non-stop attacking of the left, including even borderline antisemitic stuff and the whole SFWA controversy, only because of posts critical of the  Covid vaccine. That was the final breaking point.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of September 5, 2022
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
he's clearly not healthy enough for the job, but if he was to win and drop dead it would not be that big of a deal anyway. this is not the POTUS


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Forecasting Newsletter August 2022
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					


$25k tournament by Richard Hanania on Manifold Markets.




A lot of stuff in the 30-60% range which means few have any idea. I think predicting political stuff is hopeless . I have yet to see anyone who can do it well


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Godwins Healthcare - Cost Disease in the Medical Industry
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					


My last hospital bill was $5880. Of this, insurance paid $3952.60, leaving me with a total adjusted bill of $1927.40. That’s a lot of money. I’m lucky enough to make six figures so I can afford it, but imagine how a minimum wage employee would experience being hit by this bill, which would be over a month of their income after taxes. Also, consider that a lot of minimum wage employees don’t have health insurance, so instead of paying the reduced bill like I am




They would get Medicaid, or some other form of charity care.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of September 5, 2022
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
Conservatism would not be able to reconcile this with belief in god. Critical theory is inherently non-theistic ..it believes that power structures can be subverted through reason. Conservatism also is inherently exclusionary: rather than trying to change society, it will create its own institutions, like churches, schools, home schooling, catholic schools ,etc.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				The Motte and the future
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					


Seriously, have you ever gone back and tried to read an old weekly culture war thread with its thousands, potentially tens of thousands of comments? It is an unnecessary slog if you are looking for something and don't have a link. And sometimes you 'continue reading' and go back only to find that you've lost your place. It just makes you say, "I blue myself."




How much of old stuff is worth reading? Do we want to be reminded of coivd and lockdowns again or Russia takes which aged poorly? I want to move on.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Why Beliveing Untrue Things is Often Good
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
LW is so big that the odds are close to 1 that its been covered there


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Bugs, Suggestions, Small Comments, And Site News
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
Clinking on submitted links goes to "https://www.themotte.org/post/xxxxxxx" instead of the link itself. Getting to the link requires a second click.  On reddit you only needed to click once.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of September 12, 2022
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
I think this is a symptom of economic abundance more so than a surrogate for children, given also that many families also have pets. Dogs in particular can be expensive and time consuming. You are  not going to get a dog unless you have some disposable income and free time.  I hear a lot also about the loneliness epidemic in America. Maybe pets are a solution to it. Maybe also vanity too.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of September 12, 2022
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
I think the good news is in any industlrized society, including ours, there will always be a certain % who will wants to have children despite careerism and other issues. Like most individual differences in life, there is probably a genetic component  to it in that some people are wired to want to have a lot of kids and others are not.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of September 12, 2022
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					


it does seem like making the world nice for children is a lower priority than dog parks, dogs relieving themselves on public property, automobiles, allowing crazy vagrants to roam the streets, library worker unions, teacher's unions, squeezing every bit of life expectancy from the gerontocracy, etc




It would seem as if pets, dogs in particular, have too many rights, and people have too few rights. Long sentences for non violent offenders, boys overly  disciplined in school and by parents,  yet dogs are allowed to be defecate in public .  It does strike me as an inversion of a functioning society.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of September 12, 2022
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
Pretty much. "collapse will  come but it won't be my problem" Kids are low status unless you are in Hollywood. Then it seems to be reversed.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of September 12, 2022
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					


Edge case 1: There exists a minority of SJers who like dunking on people enough and believe conservatives are evil enough that they will adopt a hostile approach to conservatives even when this is net-negative for the SJ movement. This is separate from SJers who honestly believe that being hostile and censorious is the most effective way to advance the movement's goals; those people (a majority of SJers TTBOMK) do believe they are making the world a better place. Obviously, this is not especially unique to SJ (any moralistic ideology will attract these sorts) and this definitely is a relatively-small minority, but I'm a pedant.




I don't think they care about convicting people or creating a movement. It's more of a 'comply or face the consequences' sort of thing. It's the opposite of how democratic American politics works, which is about compromise. It's the opposite of the OWS movement too. The OWS protestors seemed more receptive to criticism and debate compared to BLM, which got them nowhere while BLM is still a thing .It shows how might can make right. (Obv. it's much easier to get CEOs and banks to adopt vague DEI slogans than to fundamentally restructure their businesses).




TTBOMK




?




[Citation: I turned down being a dorm RA at my university (a paid role insofar as RAs are not charged rent, and a role I was already somewhat fulfilling unpaid because our dorm had no RA) because I would have been required to recite SJ ideology to my dorm. I can imagine that another non-SJer less committed to honesty than I might have taken the job.]




Unless the job paid well, I too would turn down any job that requires assimilating SJW ideology


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of September 12, 2022
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
Manufactured hype/conflict, similar to all the talk about Andrew Tate , who also blew up. Marketers figured out rather rather than buying billboards and ad spots, which are easily ignored, you somehow entice 'influencers'  to talk about your product, even negatively. You plant seeds of debate, not sales pitches, on all sorts of communities, like reddit and on twitter, like "What do you think of X?" or "X is so bad/racist...let's talk about it!!". Generally, for this you want to target smarter communities, because of positive correlation between IQ and social status and the size of one's social network.  Negative press is always better than no press (unless it's rap3 or ped0plheia or something), and negative press is also more likely  to be viral because people are more receptive to bad news than good news. The key though is making sure the product is actually good, then the bad press is replaced by good, viral/organic word of mouth.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of September 12, 2022
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					


The right-wing whining in particular gets to me, and another motivation here is I don’t want to end up like my friends… I don’t feel particularly oppressed by leftists. They give me a lot more free speech than I would give them if the tables were turned. If I owned Twitter, I wouldn’t let feminists, trans activists, or socialists post. Why should I? They’re wrong about everything and bad for society. Twitter is a company that is overwhelmingly liberal, and I’m actually impressed they let me get away with the things I’ve been saying for this long.




This is interesting. Mr. Hannania always has incisive insights. I think from a business standpoint Twitter knows it must strike a balance  between speech and censorship. Speech is more profitable, so more censorship would hurt profits, beyond edge cases like overtly taboo stuff. Having opposing tribes clash with each other means more ad views/clicks, more engagement overall. Also, Twitter's approach may be worse because they will let you build a large following and brand and then pull the rug, after you have invested so much time on the platform, when being banned from the onset would be be better. Twitter will let you get a way with a lot, until they decide they that have had enough of you, and then --poof-- gone, like Nick Fruentes, Trump, or James Lindsay.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of September 12, 2022
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
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				Culture War Roundup for the week of September 12, 2022
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
The right has its own communities and territory, like churches, Fox News, some podcasts, and such, but it failed to lay any inroads in tech platforms, hence why it's so far behind. And alt tech is not good enough unless somehow Facebook + twitter meet a similar demise as Myspace, which strikes me as very, very unlikely. It missed that chance. I think right wing communities may be more inclined to censor compared to left-wing ones, but that would limit their success. Instead, the left's approach is to minimize  censorship early on and then censor later after gaining key market dominance.