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miras_chinotto

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joined 2022 September 05 01:38:45 UTC

				

User ID: 348

miras_chinotto

certified low iq

1 follower   follows 1 user   joined 2022 September 05 01:38:45 UTC

					

No bio...


					

User ID: 348

Destroying the statue was teabagging the outgroup plain and simple. The moderate voice in every statue controversy has consistently said something to the effect of "move them to a museum" which is what happened here. What this event (moving to a museum and then destroying it) shows is that there is no quarter to moderates in the culture war. It's very much in line with the friend-enemy distinction principle.

As a southerner who was on team "move them to a museum", I'm genuinely disgusted.

Suppose you are managing a very basic, but busy archive that adds dozens if not hundreds of new documents per day.

How many school libraries could this possibly describe? I think you and many others are conflating school libraries with public libraries. The latter are relatively large and provide all manner of community services and I could imagine a 2 year degree program could be necessary for managing such a thing. The former are small and often staffed by community volunteers or teaching assistants. I am not convinced that grad school or even a bachelor's is necessary for this function.

Without a computer

How many libraries of either variety do you think there are in US that don't any kind of computer or digital inventory management? Regardless, you could probably learn such an organization system in your bog standard 30 hour technical training class.

This touches on why I'd rather not vote for Trump, but will if it comes down to it. I don't know why anyone expects Trump to put together a more competent staff than the first time (where his people seemed notoriously ineffective and disloyal). That's not to mention the backstabbing and constant undermining from his own party leadership.

From a culture war POV, I would gleefully root for someone punishing DNC bad actors and the embedded bureaucracy, but I don't see anything that makes me think Trump would be capable of doing so. That said, if Trump were to win, it would at the very least signal something to my outgroup, and short of an actual decisive victory, that may have to suffice.

It's interesting to me that DeSantis (my preference) pitched himself as a competent and respectable Trump-like figure, and yet that hasn't won him much ground so far. I would think that would unify right wing voters, but apparently not.

I have nothing charitable to contribute to most of this. I find 99% of the speculation about this conflict to be in bad faith and based on very little in the way of facts (which as faceh points out, we don't have and can't separate from non-facts reliably or quickly). I find myself intensely frustrated with the expert class and their endless essays and videos that at this point seem clearly to be little more than self aggrandizement and wish casting.

That out off my chest, I would like to point out that over the last couple of months Prigo had made a few videos that seemed increasingly unhinged and paranoid. He was complaining about the contract negotiations with the MoD falling through and them straight up refusing to communicate with him about it and he was convinced the MoD was going to assimilate and take Wagner from him when the contract ended (I believe in July). With the current rumors of Prigo's deal with Putin and Lukashenko consisting of cash, voluntary exile for Prigo and his men who mutineyed, and assimilation of the rest of Ukraine-front Wagner into the MoD, I think it is quite likely that this entire event was the result of a banal contractual dispute mated with (justified) paranoia and personal enmity with the military bureaucracy. Yes, yes, I know, it's a lot more boring than it being some 4D chess by Putin or [long philosophical argument on the inherent inability of those subhuman Russians to self govern because of reasons].

As you point out there are still some very big questions left here. There were videos at the time of Rostov's occupiers denying that they were Wganer. There is the effectively painless penetration of Russia almost to Moscow in just hours despite this being exactly the kind of thing Russia has been worried about, preparing for, and strategizing over since the czars. I don't know what to speculate other than that I do not think it was 4D chess, but once Wagner mobilized, it may have been used that way for a variety of reasons (did Putin's very close relationship with Prigo keep the MoD from raining hellfire on them until a settlement could be worked out?) Will there ultimately be a shake up with the MoD in the next months? Will Belarussian Wagner open up a new line of attack into Ukraine? Where were the Rosgvardiya, who report directly to Putin in my understanding, in all of this and why is the death toll almost non existent?

As someone with fairly extensive geophysics experience, GPR is pretty meh and I've always found it weird that it's treated as though it was anything other than a very noisy form of sensing that can only tell you when the subsurface material changes (and even then, the depth and size of the change is hard to ever be sure about). Geophysics is inherently very unreliable when it comes to trying to identify small changes below the surface and I'm very much not surprised that these graves are false positives. Plenty of the actual papers that back up the use of the GPR for this purpose found as much and similar uses, like detecting utilities or animal burrows or cavities is just as unreliable. The effectiveness of GPR also depends on the materials involved, which can reduce your penetration to mere inches.

One of the major problems win any homelessness related study or homeless census is that they only interact with the homeless in shelters and the most agreeable ones on the street. The ones in super-camps in the woods or parks are beyond the resources of most organizations and cities to locate, let alone survey. Additionally, the homeless are obviously highly mobile and move around a city throughout the day, so visiting a particular freeway overpass camp won't capture data about any one in a food tent, public library or a block over panhandling. I don't see why this particular paper is supposed to have solved these sampling issues.

It comes down to one thing, as it always does in these race swapping arguments: good faith.

You can easily argue that race swapped characters can be fun and entertaining in plenty of movies and in many cases, the casting can appear to be meritocratic - the best actor gets the role, regardless of race.

I don't think any of the people who complain about race swapping in 2023 think that the swapping is being done in good faith and I would have to agree because frequently these actors are actually incredibly bad and the meta-promotional material for these shows and movies is dominated by "only a racist wouldn't like this" messaging. Not to mention, that in my experience, blue tribers are frequently anti-meritocratic, or at least are willing to argue against it on equity grounds so you're left wondering "based on their declared and demonstrated values, are they making these swaps in good faith?"

Which is the whole point behind SOLs. There is no way to mount a proper defense.

There are two or three points really. One is, as you say. That it's more or less impossible to ensure a fair trial 20 years after the crime. Another is rooted in the cultural desire for a speedy trial to prevent the process from eclipsing the punishment. And thirdly, it incentivizes law enforcement to pursue justice quickly instead of sitting on an inconvenient case.

All three are represented in the Masterson case.

Idk do you really need librarians as such in 2023? What exactly do they do that some lower level admin without a corresponding graduate degree would be able to do?

Is there much evidence that the presence or lack of presence of a librarian or library has much of an effect on student outcomes?

Well, GPR works based on reflecting em waves, so it runs into the same issues that pure electric geophysical methods and purely mechanical geophysical methods run into. Mechanical challenges like scattering or interference from voids, thin nonrepresentarive layers, layer inversions, boulders, etc. Electrical challenges like water content variations, voids, salt/contamination, etc. They are also generally way lower resolution than the layman would expect.

Electrical methods are generally more sensitive to moisture content, and in my experience, are more likely to detect a change in moisture rather than material (material and moisture are generally correlated). And that's kind of the thing with most geophysical methods, they're telling you when a material changes and by moving your sensing equipment you can see how that change is related to space.

There are GPR "suitability maps" for the US that show vaguely where you can expect GPR to be accurate. I haven't seen one for Canada though, but GPR would be usable in areas with similar surface geology.

This shouldn't be surprising. There have always been interest groups and think-tanks taking funds to study all manner of issues that they argue will become a Big Deal. And then, when tire meets the road, the people who are actually in charge of things disregard these nerds and play it by ear and make their decisions based on whatever their existing biases are.

A really good example of this was Covid where some 30+ different organizations in the US government had plans and preparation for a potential pandemic. The US had even been praised as being the most prepared country in the world for such an event by the Nuclear Threat Initiative and WEF prior to Covid. And when it mattered, the US more or less just did whatever was politically/tribally expedient every step of the way.

It's such a consistent phenomena that sometimes I wonder what the point is in funding super niche organizations like Yud's.

I'll read this later, but do they have more argument/evidence than just that some apparently very visible Russian assets happened to pass through similarly visible diplomatic and intelligence locations? Do we know how they're doing this? Do these assets pass near locations that don't report Havanah syndrome?

Not that I judge much credibility for the US intelligence apparatus, but I surely rate them less likely than 60 minutes to go "Russian boogeyman did it."

Does anyone know what the current legal landscape looks like for MBE (or women owned or diverse ownership) requirements on public works? It (awarding city/state/federal money to minority owned firms who cannot win contracts on their own) seems plainly worse than even Affirmative Action in universities and yet I don't think I've heard of any groups working to dismantle this.

Also worth noting this is another element of US public works cost disease. Everyone is quick to point out ballooning consultant fees but loathes to acknowledge how 10+% of public spending by cities and the like ia often required to be given to MBEs as subcontractors (which generally suck).

Is that how lawsuits are typically brought? That thing reads like a reddit schizo post. I find myself constantly surprised how how loose lawyers are with their language in contrast to how precise engineers need to be to limit their risk exposure.

Starting a new job in two weeks. Pretty excited because the comp is so much higher than I have now. I'm anxious that I'm totally unqualified (it's a drastically different role than I've had for the last 5 years), but can you imagine not taking a risk like that?

The downsides* are that I'll struggle and require half a year to figure out the basics if the job. The upsides are that I'll be challenged and forced to learn new things and I'll be paid more for it. The unknown-sides are that I'm not sure what it means for my career trajectory afterwards. Seems irrational not to take the risk.

*leaving out the failure and firing scenario since I think it carries way too much psychological weight for how unlikely it probably is.

So what is the intended usage pattern here? Are we supposed to keep 99% of the posting in the round up thread or treat it more like a typical reddit sub/forum?

As an engineer, I've worked under several different principals and every one of them had a different set of specialties, priorities and quirks.

My favorite was very "wild west" and valued constructability and cost for the client above typos, minor errors, unclear language. One of my most eye-opening experiences with him was catching him on the phone leaving a deposition for a lawsuit with tens of millions in the balance. He non-chalantly told me not to worry about this technical question I had because the risk was low and the factor of safety would more than account for it. This was the highest ranked chief engineer in one of the largest companies in our niche in the world.

My second favorite mentor was more or less the opposite and fit the mold of your overly-detail oriented, micro-managing engineer. His emphasis was on details, specificity and minimization of liability at the expense of client goodwill. The right answer is the right answer, after all, feasibility be damned.

Any way, that's a lot of lead up to say that you're missing another interpretation of the situation: you're not necessarily better or smarter than your leads, but have gained some kind of detail-orientedness from your last one and eventually may learn something yet from your new lead (hard to say, but maybe delegation to technician types? Alternatively, he could actually be useless, not enough info to determine). TL1 may have this trait in over abundance and TL2 may not have it at all, in which case having a healthy-but-not dysfunctional quantity of this trait may make you a better, well-rounded programmer than either. Have a little self awareness and communicate with TL2 and this may work to the benefit of both of you.

It doesn't fit the tone of the Motte at all, but our own marsey derivative would be weirdly appropriate given the reason for the diaspora and the rdrama roots of the place. I mean, who doesn't like marseyposting?

That's part of what I find perplexing about it. If the neocon/establishment part of the party had been paying attention to DeSantis since he won his governorship, I do not think they would be so quick to back him. I think "anyone but Trump" has clouded their judgment, and perhaps you're right that being endorsed by that part of the party is clouding the judgement of the "anyone but neocons"/populist part of the party.

It's documented that some groups do use bots to push narratives. Search "Hillary Clinton correct the record" and you'll find no shortage of articles about her PACs spending millions on users to adversarially engage with any posts criticizing her.

I'm having trouble finding the exact article I'm thinking of but the WHO engaged in similar funding of online accounts to combat covid misinformation.

If your assumption is something like "why would anyone waste resources on social media botting/shilling, it must not be happening", then perhaps you should revise your priors accordingly since bots and shills are used to shape narratives around even utterly meaningless shit like Meghan Markle.

Maybe apart from appointing SCOTUS justices

It's weird you just toss this seemingly self-refuting statement in there. His SCOTUS picks yielded a conservative win that they've been working on and spending inestimable resources on for almost 50 years in Dobbs. And there's at least an outside chance that affirmative action could take a hit in the upcoming SCOTUS slate.

Indeed. Credibility matters. You don't get to push fake nonsense and expect people to believe you afterwards.

It makes me think of some US political spat I can barely remember. I think some congressman made an incondiary claim that was proven false, then responded by saying something like "yeah but they would if they could". Like, no dude, you don't get credit here. You lied.

For whatever reason, Desantis has been utterly unwilling to criticize Trump

Well, he has definitely avoided total war with Trump, but he has criticized Trump on several issues including abortion, covid policy, his handling of the capitol riots, and (obliquely) attacking him as not critical enough on gender issues. So I'm not disagreeing with you on principal, merely on the degree.

I suppose that could be part of the problem though. They seem to be avoiding directly attacking Trump, presumably to avoid alienating MAGA folk, but that in itself doesn't signal to those people that you are any better than Trump on the issues they care about. Sort of a reverse version of the "extreme in the primary, moderate in the general" formula aspirant presidents stick with. This is looking like a good example of why that formula is so prevalent.

Perhaps it's like black Friday models of TVs and they produce cheaper, lower quality candy for the season knowing people will be buying a ton.

I kind of doubt it though. Most of these kinds of candies I liked as a kid taste awful and cheap to me now as an adult so I think it's more likely a matter of taste.

Seems like a poor choice by Chesebro. $6K to make it all go away seems like a pretty darn good deal to me.