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Ukraine shells Russian border regions, destroying power plants, and assassinates people near Moscow; at the moment, it's one of the most militarized countries on Earth with millions of fanatical defenders. Ukrainian representatives tell Musk who provides their state with critical infrastructure to fuck off. Ukrainian decision makers consider Europe not humoring Russian demands a matter of personal, national and perhaps ethnic survival.
Come now. Baltic sea isn't the Moon, 350 ft isn't that deep and 100 kg TNT isn't a lot.
Did you miss that part that a lot of Ukrainians live in Russia, and Ukrainians still can enter Russia without a visa, while Baltic sea isn't full of Ukrainians boats/subs?
No. Did you miss that Russia (and particularly Moscow) has one of the highest proportions of cops to civilians in the world, whereas the Baltic sea is, well, a sea, and only significantly observed by NATO members and soon-to-be members?
More directly: this is a silly objection. There is no need to fill the sea with boats to carry out a small diversion, and there was apparently no need to involve local Ukrainians in any known operation in Russia. The presumption of complexity of such an operation is unfounded. We can list reasons to argue that one or the other kind of attack is a priori "easier" till we're blue in the face, but ultimately both are trivial for a nation state like Ukraine, so this is not a helpful criterion to narrow down the list of suspects.
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Off-topic for subthread but since you are here:
Was Elon Musk actually on Myrotvorets or is the screenshot fabricated?
I believe it's fake. Haven't seen the posting. If you enter Musk into their search, it says he was not put up there yet but they are "working on that" (it's the standard form. The whole site is absurd).
Ukrainians are, individually, extremely rude and disinhibited in their nationalism, but this isn't institutionalized. SBU wouldn't just put an American benefactor like Musk on a kill list, even though many on Twitter would welcome it.
I saw people saying that he was on there very briefly. It might be a Russian psyop of course but they put children and Roger Waters on there. So they might as well have put Musk before someone with a brain gave them a call.
The furthest I've been able to trace this has been to an Intel Slava Z telegram post of the only screenshot of it that seems to exist (2 minutes before the Eva Bartlett tweet of the same screenshot, that Musk later responded to), and I'm not fluent enough in the russian side of the internet to look any further than that.
There are no public archives of it:
https://archive.ph/https://myrotvorets.center/*
https://web.archive.org/web/*/http://myrotvorets.center/*
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