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naraburns  nihil supernum  6mo ago (text post)   27957 thread views

U.S. Election (Day?) 2024 Megathread

With apologies to our many friends and posters outside the United States... it's time for another one of these! Culture war thread rules apply, and you are permitted to openly advocate for or against an issue or candidate on the ballot (if you clearly identify which ballot, and can do so without knocking down any strawmen along the way). "Small-scale" questions and answers are also permitted if you refrain from shitposting or being otherwise insulting to others here. Please keep the spirit of the law--this is a discussion forum!--carefully in mind.

If you're a U.S. citizen with voting rights, your polling place can reportedly be located here.

If you're still researching issues, Ballotpedia is usually reasonably helpful.

Any other reasonably neutral election resources you'd like me to add to this notification, I'm happy to add.

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With Harris shaping up to receive 10-15 million fewer votes than Biden in 2020, has anyone here updated with regards to the chance of fraud in 2020? This graph is floating around Twitter: https://x.com/zerohedge/status/1854144250562429081

Is Harris truly so unpopular that 15 million Democrats just stayed home? Or was the overwhelming shift to mail-in ballots in 2020 the key to Biden's victory, giving barely motivated Dems an opportunity to fill in a ballot and mail it out rather than drag themselves to the polls? Republicans in several swing states managed to pass legislation tightening voting laws -- maybe that helped? Or is America simply not ready for a woman president (much less a "black" woman president)?

No.

I thought fraud was quite unlikely in 2020 on account of all the audits which found nothing. I still think it was really unlikely. We’re not talking about a few hundred fraudulent ballots flipping PA; this is a gap of millions. That doesn’t happen without leaving a trail.

Trump 2020 was running as an incumbent in a bad economy. Biden 2024 was running as an incumbent in a bad economy. Harris 2024 replaced that with a sort-of-incumbent in a bad economy. In hindsight, it doesn’t seem so surprising that she underperformed.

It wasn't actually a bad economy though.

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