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Culture War Roundup for the week of December 2, 2024

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At least hospital administrators pay attention to how much things cost.

In many cases, doctors literally do not know how much the treatments they provide cost. This means that they simply don’t do any cost-benefit analysis. They will prescribe an expensive brand-name drug instead of a generic drug that does basically the same thing for no reason other than because they heard about it more recently.

Why is it the physicians job to know what things cost? A hospital will literally have hundreds of employees whose full-time job it is to figure out what things cost and deal with insurance companies, who are always changing things constantly. Even a small practice will usually have 2-3 employees minimum who spend most of their day figuring that stuff out.

It's entirely orthogonal to providing good medical care.

We do cost benefit analysis all the time, but it is in terms of the risks and benefits of a given intervention, wouldn't you rather us be focusing on that?

If you're not capable of doing it, then you need to figure out a workflow so that someone who is capable provides a price. This is a part of basically every other service in every other industry; it is not impossible.

To go to the auto shop example, you could equally imagine a mechanic-head praising the beauty and sanctity of the Art of Motorcycle Automotive Maintenance, and how carefully he considers the non-monetary risks/benefits of a given intervention, saying that in his view, the price is entirely orthogonal to providing good automotive care. He could be so educated and experienced that he thinks it would be an utter waste of his time to even put together estimates. I would say that perhaps he is right on all those points. I still want a price. I want it as a routine matter. Maybe he will have some customers who literally don't care, who have a unique, historical vehicle and a fat bank account, and they just want the artistic approach, damn the costs. But as a routine matter, I don't care how beautiful you think your orthogonal things are; you are running a service business where the customer needs to know the costs/benefits. It is doubly important in the medical domain for them to be informed of the costs/benefits if they're going to give informed consent.

If you need to structure your workflow so that a different employee is up front assembling the estimate while the genius mechanic is spending every minute of his time on his craft, so be it. You have people that do that stuff anyway. Do it up front, not after-the-fact. Keep your patient informed. Just give him the damn price.

There are multiple parallel problems here.

The cost is fundamentally unknown. It is reasonable to determine what the average cost of a thing is, but that is not helpful information because when we leave the average the costs can become profoundly immense. More people are upset with an estimate that is off by multiple orders of magnitude than by no estimate at all, and that will happen.

To torture your mechanic analogy, it's like if you go to buy a car and ask for a Corolla, but 5% of the time you get a Bentley whether you want it or not.

The average cost is not necessarily known to your doctor. If I'm your surgeon I know what my professional fees are and how long my average case takes. I probably know the billing codes used, if I'm business minded I may know something about the average cost of supplies, instruments, and equipment. However a run of the mill routine surgery requires a team of 40+ people between the office visit, PAT, pre-op, intra-op, PACU, and post-op. It is unbelievable how many hands are involved and it is incredibly difficult to keep track. You immediately start running into problems like "cleaning staff are a critical part of the OR and are a cost to the hospital but are not usually considered a part of the surgery, is that a cost or is it not a cost?" or "does this facility charge by the minute for anesthetic gases or use a flat fee" both options are viable, your anesthesiologist probably knows, your surgeon probably doesn't. Keep track of "costs" is a full time job with an entire department just for the OR. Your surgeon might be able to say "your surgery probably costs 10k" because they asked someone in a billing meeting what all the averages on the spreadsheets said, but nobody wants to have a 20 minute conversation about how much of an oversimplification that is.

Additionally that is fundamentally not the surgeons job and does nothing to improve the surgeons provision of medical care. We evaluate whether to perform a case or not based off of the medical risks and benefits, not the cost. This is part of why healthcare is expensive in the U.S. but most people prefer that to the alternative.

Doctors wear a lot of hats. Things like increased regulatory burden and the dance with insurance below mean that you have of multiple departments involved in figuring out how to deal with the above. We already do a lot of things like that slow us down and prevent us from actually spending time with patients. Making it worse is not desirable to us or our patients.

The cost is irrelevant, which disincentivizes processes involved in streamlining all these things and makes it useless for your doctor to know and be able to relay to you. Almost all procedures are paid for by insurance or involuntary charity care by the hospital, with a small rarity of actual self-pay. Getting insurance to pay for something involves complicated negotiations where they try and pay you less than "cost" so you exaggerate cost as much as possible in hopes you don't actually lose money. It is not uncommon for the payment mix to end up being something like medicaid reimbursing 80% of cost, medicare 85% and private insurance 110%. If you mostly care for medicare and medicaid patients you go out of business (which has happened a lot lately) or require government bailouts. This is why the sticker price is so insane, and hospitals will almost always drop 90% of the bill if you end up being cash pay. You have to negotiate with the insurance company and that involves the "official cost" of a gallbladder removal being 100k instead of 5k or whatever.

A surgery has more in common with a government procurement and bidding process than getting a car repaired.

Even more simple things like an office visit are a pain in the ass to figure out. Unless you are doing very specific types of PCP practice or outpatient cash Psychiatry you are taking insurance. Therefore I don't know what the visit costs. I know what my billing team will try and charge for my time, they'll use the specific office visit billing code, I'm told to make sure to put X and Y thing in my note so they actually cover the work I did, but then I know that even the insurance company is supposed to pay for that code they'll make a big stink about it and require hours of the billing teams time going back and forth to make sure that its not worth it to actually get paid for that, even though the other insurance company always takes it if I put in X and Y, so my office staff will adjust the coding and bill you for the down coded visit even though that's not what I did and that's somewhat illegal, and your sister will get billed the actual billing code because she has "better" insurance.

All kinds of asinine shit like that happens for the most routine interaction with healthcare.

This is why psychiatrists are like "dude just pay me 100 an hour and we are good" and why there are now multiple forms of primary care that avoid working with insurance.

"What's my rate for a visit" is never a viable question because every insurance company pays me differently and its constantly changing year to year and I'm effectively only paid for by insurance.

  1. This is false, as we've already discussed.

  2. I don't care whose job it is. Every single other industry has figured out how to do this basic business practice in a decent way, and many times, there is division of labor.

  3. This is the most pernicious, absolutely atrocious lie that is the core reason we have such a disaster of a medical industry. You cannot believe that anyone will read this entire thread branching from the OP and think that this a remotely reasonable response. Sure, if we just accept that everything is broken with insane prices that don't mean anything, then nothing means anything and we're doomed to dysfunction. We can do better.

  1. "Your surgery will cost anything between 4,000 and 5 million dollars, as those are the minimum and maximum recorded prices we have charged in the last ten years." Is not a satisfactory answer. "The median price for the surgery is 5,000 dollars" is not viable either because patients will sue if it's wildly off that. Either way the cost doesn't matter, it's almost entirely removed from how much the hospital gets paid or collects.

  2. This like a governmental procurement process. The person who has knowledge of everything is the head of the OR or billing department, not the person who is on the ground doing the thing. You can't have the head of the FBI come down every time and explain what the cost of an investigation is, the individual agents sure as hell don't know, why would they need to?

  3. Healthcare systems (including doctors) are the victims here, victims of a predatory insurance industry and unhelpful overregulation that needs to be replaced with functional regulation or needs to be understood to be reducing the amount of and increasing the price of care. Don't blame us doctors and nurses are leaving the field and hospitals are shutting down because insurance companies are winning the battle. Blaming us helps them collapse the system faster.

  1. C'mon man, you did better in the linked comment. You already gave a vastly better answer. Did you forget what you said yesterday?

  2. You cannot seriously think that every other industry that has solved this problem requires the head of their billing department to generate every price. How do you think other industries solve this problem?

  3. I'm not blaming you. I'm just asking you to do basic business practices in a decent way, just like how everyone else does. You can do this. You really can.

Healthcare is like aviation and nuclear in that bad outcomes are considered unacceptable, therefore there is a ton of regulation and complexity that does not exist in other industries, there is also more variation in health care than aviation and nuclear because people's bodies are variable and much of the more complicated stuff cannot easily be standardized.

It is its own entity not like other economic segments and intuitions brought in from elsewhere have a tendency to be incorrect. This is why companies like Amazon, Google, and Apple all tried to start healthcare projects and bailed out. This is why PE firms buy hospitals, crash them and then just sell the land. This is why Theranos happened. Healthcare doesn't work the same way as everyone else. Maybe it should but it doesn't.

Part of that, and something you really need to simply address is "who the fuck cares about the prices" the prices are made up, they don't matter, insurance pays and insurance NEVER actually pays the price. There is no value to you in knowing what the price is, and as given in an example in my last post sometimes the prices DOESN'T EXIST.

There is no cash value for my professional time if I don't see cash patients and what the insurance company will give me for my time is a big fat question mark.

Look, I get it. You want it to be one way. You want to just keep everything the same; just stop all the change; just go into work, do a good job at doing your job, close your eyes to any dysfunction and make no changes to your mindset concerning the entire conceptual schema of the industry. That's fine. That's natural. Parts of it may even be commendable.

...but as the old saying goes, things that cannot possibly keep going the way they're going, won't. Change gon' come. I've seen this in industry after industry after industry. This is an industry that just had two different bills passed by two different congresses and signed by the last two presidents (one of whom is coming back in and may be interested in taking another bite at the apple) specifically because this stuff is a problem. The purpose of this entire thread is because a notable CEO was shot dead in the streets of NYC, possibly because of frustration with these problems; news outlets are reporting people cheering this. It's not always regulation; sometimes it's in other forms. Sometimes, the industry cleans itself up. Sometimes, there's just a shift in the case law. Sometimes, there's a disrupter. Sometimes, new regulations get dropped like bombs. And I get it, that last category is scary. I don't like a lot of new regulation. You know full well that I'm aware that it is often done shoddily, with all sorts of unintended consequences. This is the least-preferred solution in my mind. But everyone knows the medical industry is broken. Everyone knows that it can't keep going on forever without change. You know that it's broken when you say:

the prices are made up, they don't matter

I've heard industry after industry swear up and down about how unique they are, how they have to do things differently, how they can't possibly change things. A silly little example from the last few months is real estate. Oh Sagan, the kicking at the goads, even after the details of the settlement became clear. You should have seen the levels of broken people's minds were; how they were constantly talking about ways to try to get around the new rules, how they simply could not conceptually wrap their minds around the fact that they couldn't just operate the same way that they always had, how their industry is a special snowflake and their special needs will always shine through. You saw some of the smart ones figure it out reasonably quickly, and sure enough, they started doing the obvious things to follow the new incentives and improve their business. I'm sure some of the folks who kicked too hard or weren't smart enough to figure it out or were simply broken by the conceptual change are struggling right now; some might already be out of business.

Change will come, no matter how unique you think you are. You really have an opportunity now. You can change your conceptual schema, evangelize the change in mindset, and begin to fix what you can in your corner of the big problem. Maybe it'll be a lost cause for the purpose of avoiding some dumb regulation, but that's your opportunity. I'm just sounding the warning, like I did long ago for IoT. We saw how that worked out when they didn't heed the warning, banking on swearing up and down about how unique they were and how things had to be different for them. They probably liked the regulation they got less than they would have liked the alternative opportunities they previously had in front of them.

So, in the spirit of helping you get a head start, a leg up on your competition for when change comes, so that you can adapt, optimize, and make bank, rather then ending up broken, conceptually lost, and possibly out of business, let's really think about what you can do. You gave an answer yesterday about the cost of a gallblatter removal. Perhaps you forgot that answer today, but I'm guessing you didn't. Think about your previous answer; what was wrong with it? I liked it; I thought it was pretty good. If you didn't forget it, I sort of have to believe that you consciously or unconsciously chose to change your answer to a less good answer. Perhaps reflect on why you might have done so. What were your motivations in trying to be less helpful? How do you think it will affect people's (possibly including potential customers') impression of you as a person or as a possible topic expert when they see that you are choosing to be less helpful than they know you can be? How do you think the mindset of choosing to be less helpful will affect your business if/when change is imposed on your business or industry?

Additionally, I suggest you seriously study how other industries manage to solve this problem. All of them do it. There are a variety of solutions. Can you think of any? If the only one that you honestly can think of is to have the head of the billing department personally perform every single estimate for every single procedure for every single patient, how do you think that will affect your business's ability to adapt to changes? If regulation comes, could your lack of insight into how these problems are typically solved leave you lagging behind the competition in adapting to the new environment? Could it even pose an existential threat to your business?

I suggest you consider these things, because some of your competitors will. They will not only survive and make money; they will thrive and eat your lunch. You have a great opportunity now.

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