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ZorbaTHut  1yr ago (text post)   31253 thread views

Culture War Roundup for the week of October 17, 2022

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There wouldn’t be evidence he is out of Ukraine, because it’s wartime where secrecy of the location of an assassination target is paramount. The question is (1) does it appear he uses a green screen (2) is it more likely that NATO places him in Poland or keeps him in Ukraine. Per 1, many of his videos look a lot like a green screen to me.

It’s not some elementary variation of “absence of evidence”, because we should expect that if he were in Poland, we would not have evidence of that, like how we didn’t have evidence that Bin Laden was in Pakistan (amplified by 100, because NATO is in charge of his location)

  • -13

No, it absolutely is elementary absence of evidence. NATO also isn't in charge of shit; they get to fund Zelensky, they get to cut him off if for some reason they're sick of him, but they don't get to tell him where he is or isn't supposed to hang out on a given day.

Yes they are. They fund everything, they get the decisions.

  • -18

They don’t get to just stop funding everything. Assume that pursuing the war is in US/NATO interest. Suppose they make a decision, and Zelensky (or whoever is also taking part on Ukrainian side) disagrees. They cannot just withdraw their funds and their support: this would damage Ukrainian’s strategic position, and reduce the chances of successful military outcomes. It would be cutting their noses to spite their faces.

This does not mean that they have no say in what Ukraine does. They do, but so do the Ukrainian rulers.

When Zelensky disagrees, Zelensky is out.

  • -10

That sounds like a testable hypothesis. Has Zelensky disagreed with the NATO line before?

Not on anything of significance, to my knowledge. The Ukrainian military command controls the guys with guns and is in direct communication with NATO at all times. If Zelensky decides he now wants to surrender, do you really think his NATO handlers would let him, or that the guys controlling the army will simply obey? The military has previously made decisions without his input, let alone consent

Not on anything of significance, to my knowledge.

Then you are not knowledgeable on this topic.

Nice source!

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