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ulyssessword  4d ago (text post)   1463 thread views

Canada Federal Election 2025

Today is the day!

Poll aggregator: https://338canada.com/

Live results: https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/federal/2025/results/

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This is right on -- comparing some riding level results with 2021, it looks an awful lot like significant NDP support went to all the way to the Conservative side this time. Of course votes are fungible, so there was maybe some 3-way swapping -- but it Liberals did not pick up anything like all of the NDP losses, and somehow it's much easier for me to imagine a pissed-off NDPer voting for PP than a long-term Grit shifting that way. (to be replaced by a centre-leaning NDPer presumably)

but it Liberals did not pick up anything like all of the NDP losses

The problem is that the Conservative side does, from an economic standpoint, what the NDP is supposed to be doing far better than the NDP itself does... and from a social policy standpoint, the Liberal side does what the NDP does but better.

There's no room for them in Canadian politics now that they're as polarized as US politics are (by the same forces that resulted in that polarization).

I think I agree -- if they'd kept up with the rural wing instead of going all-in on urban progressivism, gay/gun stuff, etc there might be a small niche for them. Very candidate dependent though.

there might be a small niche for them

Of course- if the Western Leftist party returned to being the Western Leftist party there's obviously still a niche there.

The problem is that the Western Leftist party is unwilling or unable to meaningfully distinguish themselves from the Eastern Leftist party, and so trying to outcompete the Eastern Leftists on destroying Western culture in general is- in a shocking twist- not an election winner in the West.

If the West were its own country, as it should be, this would be a natural political progression. But it's not, and Westerners are (when you look at the election map) clearly more focused on having a West to begin with rather than whether left or right should rule it.

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