So there's an Australian federal election today (the polls in the Eastern states close in 20 minutes), and apparently we have top-level posts for Five Eyes federal elections.
So, here's a top-level post for the Australian federal election. Polls are predicting a Labour landslide (thanks Obama Trump, we really needed all that friendly fire), but we live in the age of Shy Tories so one can never be 100% sure.
I just voted; below the line all the way (I would have voted above the line, except for the whole "I like the Nationals a lot more than the Liberals" thing), and I didn't even get to eat democracy sausage afterward. So now I'm cranky and miserable, though that might also be because I've been up for 24 hours or so.
One Nation didn't actually show up at the polling place I went to, which was odd; they did last time, though it moved a few streets over.
I think I voted lower on the Libertarian Party than I otherwise would have due to not realising they were the Liberal Democrats and/or vaguely recalling something about a joint ticket with Clive Palmer. Whoops.
I rate myself as like a 3/10 on engagement this election; I'm usually more active about pushing civil defence, even if it's basically yelling at a brick wall.
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Notes -
Liberals on suicide watch. The opposition leader lost his seat which shows what a bloodbath this is. (Ironically it looks like the Greens party might lose their leader too).
Massive swing to the Left, partially due to a failing of the conservative party to resonate with voters and also the Trump tariff effect.
Many right wingers on my twitter feed taking it badly.
Yeah, the Liberals have been annihilated. And it has almost entirely been the Liberals; the Nationals lost I think one seat compared to last election (specifically, after Andrew Gee defected from the party mid-term and became an independent, they failed to take it back from him). Meanwhile, the Liberals have lost most of their heartland and while they still do have more seats than the Nats, a lot of those seats are ones that are actually significantly rural/regional but just have the Liberals there for some reason (e.g. they're in SA/WA, where the Nationals aren't really a thing).
A lot of this is blowback from Trump, obviously, and thus not really permanent, but in some regards it looks like the most plausible Coalition path back to power involves Sydney/Melbourne/Perth being arbitrarily erased from the cosmic whiteboard.
But if you wipe out the capital cities, then what is the point of the Liberal Party or Labour? Can't prop up housing market if the houses are vaporized!
Seriously, I don't understand the result at all. I guess everyone decided the economic meltdown wasn't Albanese's fault and that his promise to lower power prices (when they then rose) was fine at the time. Or perhaps it's demographics = destiny time.
Bizarre how Reform seems to have ignored the anti-anti-incumbent trend, they're somehow not tarred by association with Trump despite Farage being closer to Trump than most.
I think it really just comes down to Dutton’s lack of like-ability to be honest. More vibes based voting from the eastern seaboard urban population.
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