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I'm not 100% sure if it's schizophrenia specifically, but Freddie de Boer actually is psychotic. Hence, I'm inclined to read the specious chaos theory as "his meds aren't working as well as we'd like" rather than "he's lying".
It is not schizophrenia, it is bipolar disorder. Psychotic episodes happen in bipolar sufferers during intense manic or depressive episodes, they aren't a constant companion for Freddie, his primary issues are mood related. Also anti-psychotics aren't a floodgate keeping the crazy at bay based on the dose. They block dopamine receptors, a better way to think of it is as telling the under siege town guards there is a ceasefire so they stop shooting at shadows.
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I generally dislike commentary on FdB that boils down to "he's off his meds." He (with some justification) gets really sick of having that thrown at him.
That said, he does seem really... off lately, and that includes responding to someone posting a Substack article that made him mad (about... treatment for the mentally ill) by literally posting thinly veiled threats to physically assault the poster.
(I can no longer find the link. Possibly he came to his senses and deleted it.)
TBH, I only really said it because the accusation of deliberate obfuscation was thrown and I felt that that was even less charitable. Probably would have kept my suspicions to myself otherwise.
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Link seems to be dead for me, but yeah I'm aware, hence my reluctance to outright dunk on him or declare him a lolcow. I appreciate that he still speaks his mind (if nothing else, he is a useful weathervane for a person disconnected from American politics) and do not shame him for being mentally ill, but I reserve my right to call out shoddy logic, Darkly Hinting and uh, generous epistemic leaps even if they're partly caused by said mental illness.
Galaxy-brained deflections are not exclusive to Freddie, although he is a fine example of it, so I think the patterns are still useful to nootice before consensus or "consensus" starts forming in earnest.
Yeah, the software mangled the URL and @FtttG supplied an unmangled version. Have submitted a bug report.
I'm all for noting that his use of chaos theory is specious and unhelpful, because it is. My point is strictly that "he actually believes that his invocation of chaos theory is super-deep and meaningful" is pretty plausible, where it wouldn't be for a normal person - "drawing wildly-different things into a nonsense Grand Theory" is a textbook psychotic delusion - and hence your apparent conclusion that he's deliberately blowing smoke there was suspect.
There are certainly people blowing smoke. I'm not even saying that Freddie never does it. But this particular thing doesn't smell like it to me.
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I think this is the relevant link: https://freddiedeboer.substack.com/p/my-response-to-daniel-bergners-new
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