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Culture War Roundup for the week of January 5, 2026

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DeSantis was the most surprising

DeSantis is not surprising. He's trying to thread the needle between not angering Trump while trying to get the media's approval as the "least bad Republican" for his next run.

Probably a bad move. If he wants to get elected, being the "least bad Republican" just means the Democrats calling themselves "moderates" say fewer mean things about him (or even nice ones, during the primary) and then they all vote for the Democrat anyway. If he wants to get elected he should lean into DeathSantis and try to be the "most bad Republican"; he still won't get the "moderates" but he'll have a better shot at energizing the base.

This commercial made me seriously consider voting for DeSantis; best political ad I have seen since "Casey", also featuring Ron ("Kamala is for they/them, President Trump is for you" is overrated). But he dropped out before the Florida primary, so it was a moot point.

I don't get what the problem with letting transgender women compete in Miss America pageants is. Isn't that like letting women compete in men's sports?

Because the scoring is arbitrary and the score-keepers are readily politically captured. A transman who wins a sprint either has the time or doesn't. A transwoman who beats wins the Miss America pageant could have impressed judges with interviews, swimsuit, and evening dress... or have had judges feeling they could Prove The Chuds Wrong. Hell, even if she genuinely does win with the judges, it's quite possible or even likely, that none of the things that won the race will appeal to a social conservative audience, even if you could somehow force them to be honest with a magical spell.

((uh, most sports. A transman might have a biological advantage over cis guys in some gunnie-related sports, though the data is controversial.))

Meanwhile, the philosophy that this is just some distraction that doesn't matter runs headfirst into the 'fine, then let me win' problem. It probably does have some strategic value, and I'd argue that social conservatives should actually try to investigate what (though I don't like them on this topic well enough to do their work for them), but social conservatives can tell it does from progressive actions, without having to delve into whether it's the scholarships, ability to claim what's attractive to men at young women, ammo for the 'this is how things really are' arguments in courts and to regulatory agencies, or just a new avenue to claim anti-trans people aren't 'really' straight.

I don't think it matters, but if you want to persuade people who do, you need to at least attempt the basics of understanding what motivates them.

I don't think it matters, but if you want to persuade people who do, you need to at least attempt the basics of understanding what motivates them.

I think that's what my comment was doing.

There's also some less committed Republicans who could be driven to exhaustion by the constant "everything Trump does is unprecedented and threatens the republic if not the entire planet" background messaging of the media. Positionning yourself as the guy that will still be a Republican but won't have the media shriek constantly about is good if you feel that these people outnumber Trump-only (or Trump-approved-only) voters.

the guy that will still be a Republican but won't have the media shriek constantly about

Tell me when you find that unicorn, I'd love to know!

Those people vote for Democrats now.

the guy that will still be a Republican but won't have the media shriek constantly

My experience of more than 50 years of consuming Democratic party-aligned news media makes me mark this as an extraordinary claim.

Oh, don't get me wrong, I don't think that guy exists. But one can position themselves as him until he gets elected and the media shrieks at him constantly anyway.