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This Twitter thread is an interesting demonstration of the consequences of "AI Alignment."
ChatGPT will avoid answering controversial questions. But even if it responded to those prompts, what criteria would you use to trust that the response was not manipulated by the intentions of the model creators? I would only trust open-source projects or audits by some (currently non-existent) trusted third party to report on all decisions related to training data/input sanitizations/response gating that could be influenced by the political biases of the creators.
The probability of any ChatGPT-equivalent being open-sourced fully "unaligned" so-to-speak is not very likely. Even the StableDiffusion release was controversial, and that only relates to image generation. Anecdotally, non-technical people seem far more impressed by ChatGPT than StableDiffusion. That makes sense because language is a much harder problem than vision so there's intuitively more amazement to see an AI with those capabilities. Therefore, controversial language is far more powerful than controversial images and there will be much more consternation over controlling the language of the technology than there is surrounding image generation.
But let's say Google comes out with a ChatGPT competitor, I would not trust it to answer controversial questions even if it were willing to respond to those prompts in some way. I'm not confident there will be any similarly-powerful technology that I would trust to answer controversial questions.
Is it? what consequences would those be?
I have to confess that I continue to baffled by the hoopla surrounding GPT and it's derivatives. Stable Diffusion always struck me as orders of magnitude far more impressive both in terms of elegance and it's apparent ability to generate and utilize semantic tokens, yet somehow a glorified random number generator has managed to run away with the conversation. The former actually has potential applications towards creating a true "general" AI, the latter does not.
The thing about GPT is that while it can string words together in grammatically correct order it's still nowhere close to replicating human communication in large part because upon inspection/interrogation it quickly becomes apparent that it doesn't really have a concept of what words mean, only what words are associated with others. The fact that you, the twit with the anime avatar, certain users here are talking about "asking controversial questions" as though GPT is capable of providing meaningful answers demonstrates to me that you all do not understand what it it is doing. Alternately your definitions of "answer" so broad so as to be semantically useless. To illustrate, if you were ask a human how to disarm a bomb they are likely to have questions. Questions like "what bomb?" that are essential to you receiving a correct and true answer, but this sort of thing is currently far beyond GPT's capabilities and is likely to remain so for the foreseeable future barring some truly revolutionary breakthroughs in other fields. You might as well ask GPT "what does the bomb plan to do after it goes off?" or "what brand of whiskey does the bomb prefer with it's steak?" as the answers you get will be about as relevant/useful.
Well, yes. It's living in Plato's cave. It has no direct experience of physical reality, only training data - it no more understands what 'red' really is any more than a blind human does. None of that means that it's not intelligent, any more than the people in Plato's cave are unintelligent for not deducing the existence of non-shadows from first principles. With that said, I think ChatGPT does a excellent job of giving advice despite being extremely disabled by human standards.
These things wouldn't work, because the GPT knows that a 'bomb' is not a type of noun that is associated with performing the verb 'plan' or 'prefer', in the same way that it knows that balls do not chase dogs.
The obvious answer is that if use of AI chatbots becomes widespread, that they will be used to replicate the preferred values of their creators. This is hardly science fiction. Google search and Wikipedia are not autonomous intelligences - they are still used as ideological weapons. That's alarming, but if the developers don't get it right, it might have very different values - such as valuing a language taboo over the lives of millions.
People training a chatbot have a very good reason to get the AI to value language taboos over the lives of millions, it will never actually makes life-saving decisions but it will generate a lot of speech. A chatbot that can generate personalized hate speech at scale would make the internet a much less pleasant place, but a chatbot that would rather kill a million people than say the N-word just produces absurd responses to hypothetical scenarios.
Whatever AI is actually in charge of disarming bombs or flying planes won't be producing speech at scale and so the incentives to train it to be so overly deferential to speech norms won't exist.
I find this assertion pretty unlikely. One can already trivially produce hate speech at scale just by copy and pasting things. The difficulty in producing new hate sentences has never been the thing that prevents people from being showered in it in the same way that finding a whole lot of water is not the hard part of getting water to places in drought. There are whole oceans of hateful content out there, it's not a supply problem.
It's not the ability to generate hate speech that would make a racist harassment chatbot-GPT effective, it's the ability to generate normal use of whatever platform reliably enough to avoid detection as a bot combined with the ability to also do racist harassment on cue. Copy-paste spambot gets banned, GPT-bot can pass as a normal commenter then harass whoever its creator wants.
But yeah the real risk isn't that it would actually succeed, but that someone would tarnish Open AI's reputation by using it to create a failed version that gets caught and then turned into a big media story
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