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Do we have any reasonable estimates how many cruise/ballistic missiles China will be able to produce and how fast they could scale it if they put their minds to it. Right now Russia and Ukraine seems to be able to push production rates to single digits per day, but they obviously don't have the china automation and scaling capacity. Or China money.
Not really... I tried to look into this and there's a huge continuum of 'missiles'. ATACMS is a missile, Tomahawk is a missile, GMLRS is a missile all in that general ballpark but wildly different to eachother in quality and performance, let alone PRSM or the air launched stuff... Same with their Chinese equivalents. So when this random Chinese factory says 'oh we can produce 1000 a day' nobody really knows what they're talking about. Are they talking about missiles or just components? Probably the latter.
The Chinese military is pretty secretive and there's also a deadening layer of propaganda.
But there's also been a huge build-up in production capacity in the last few years, so maybe high tens of thousands per year once the new factories all come online? As for scaling, producing advanced missiles is quite difficult in terms of machining, it's a bit like advanced engines which are hard for anyone to produce at scale. But China does have an enormous industrial base so they should be capable of making the cheaper sort at phenomenal scale.
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Are you asking about tactical ballistic missiles like the Iskander?
Yup. Conventional warheads. If they just want to flatten Taiwan for example.
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