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Notes -
A tiny note on the war
In the previous thread, I got some pushback for suggesting that not only did the US strike the Iranian school in Minab, killing 170 children or something like that, but perhaps it did so intentionally (or at least without remorse for the possible consequences of erroneous targeting). I admit that wasn't fully sincere. I realize that, even morals aside, there is no perceived military value in bombing children, at least not for the US (I do think Israelis may target children of IRGC officers out of their usual Bronze Age blood feud sentiment, Oct 7, Gaza and all, seen enough of their remarks to this effect; but then again they don't operate Tomahawks).
Well now the question on it having been an American strike appears settled. As for the intent – it's not so straightforward:
Does it matter if there was no intent if the United States, as of now, also has a revealed preference to not bother with minimizing such risks, in favor of «lethality» and some zany Judeo-Christian nationalism courtesy the power-tripping macho TV host Pete Hegseth? I believe it does, but marginally; about as much as those girls matter to Lethal Pete. I rest my case.
More to the point. It's remarkable that there's so little discussion of contemporary historical events on here. I won't criticize anyone, be the change you want etc.; but what we are seeing is pretty astonishing from the culture war standpoint. Could someone like Pete be imaginable as the Secretary of War – no, Defense – in 2023? 2019, even? 2016? It looks as if the politically dominant culture of the United States changed overnight. Does everyone just like it too much to find the change worth commenting on?
War is hell. Mistakes happen.
It is not America's job to protect civilians.
Only 8 US dead so far. The campaign is not reckless.
At this point I think that the US doctrine should change to using many dumb bombs. And just say - we don't have the capacity to ensure civilian safety in one kilometer away from a military target and let the other government sort it out.
Why not do some victim blaming though - first putting a school next to military base is stupid, operating the school when knowing war is imminent is stupider. Treating it as just another day in paradise is stupider still. Putting a school in former barracks is once again not a smart move. And it is not as if Iran makes sure to give US information where the real juicy targets are.
here are quotes that are from Al Jazeera article (hardly us friendly outlet)
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/3/questions-over-minab-girls-school-strike-as-israel-us-deny-involvement
At some point the best way to keep civilians from harm is not to entangle civilian and military infrastructure together. And what kind of evacuation is sitting in place waiting for parents to pick kids up. Evacuation is get the fuck out of the building and run away.
There should be investigation, and people should be demoted - but it should be for wasting valuable asset and putting the pilot's life and plane at risk for no good reason.
Smart bombs like JDAMs are so much more effective for hitting most targets that I think it would actually cost us significantly more to do this, or we would have to accept a massive reduction in combat effectiveness.
What I meant is that if the average US missile was not 400kg of tnt, but 4 tons clustered and the smallest impact was flattening quarter square mile, then people would not have to complain about imprecise targeting.
Maybe I am having a moment of idiocy, but I am not quite sure I follow.
The death of a person is a tragedy, the death of a million is statistics.
Small precision weapons lead to PR nightmare when not hitting the target, or hitting something else or any other failure modes. MOABs don't have that problem.
If you are paying the same price no matter the bodycount, why bother reducing it?
Well, I mean, collateral damage isn't ideal and, all things being equal, it's good to kill fewer noncombatants.
But also, it's not equal - smaller precision-guided weapons are much more effective and efficient than large, inaccurate ones.
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