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Notes -
I fell like much of the current discourse around social trends, such as birth rates & loneliness, need to do a better job at taking the current environmental constraints into consideration. My favorite video surrounding this topic of how environments produce cultural outcomes comes from the now defunct 1791L. (Honestly it sums up my views of current society)
So, what might help if people are beginning to engage in actions that (I personally would consider to be) bad. Is finding a way to effect environmental structures. If one is a conservative , who values marriage & children and general human connections, you'll probably want to do this. I've talked about some solution previously. But not really targeting the environmental variables enough. I've also taken various other past critiques into consideration.
First
There needs to be a massive reconsideration of the current technological advancements. Here is a women falling in love with an AI. In Japan, this is notably worse - people paying for companion ship, and marrying dolls. Im gonna sound authoritarian here, but this shit needs to straight up be banned. There is no social positive for computers and humans to emotionally intermingle in this way. Its only emotionally harmful, for basically all involved. Same deal with "Only Fans" and any other technology that seeks to make an easy way out of human face to face interaction.
Second
Get men, especially those without a degree, into a decent paying job. I've been on the market, I Have a degree, Its fucking brutal. Ive only been able to secure a Network Engineer Internship (Paid with benefits) and a 21 an Hr job with no benefits, after about 7-8 interviews. I havent gotten an full time job with benefits offers yet. Its not fun. I can't imagine what the men who lack my experience & degree are going through. There are two sub problems with this one, mainly:
Actually getting an interview to begin with
Getting a good, well paying job after that
Both of these can be discussed at length. But im gonna give what I think is a good course of action. Make more vocational schools cheaper, and perhaps even free. Many states have done this. There also needs to be a cultural push to get men & boys to actually stay in these programs, and ensure an internship or entry level job after training is complete. I've been made aware of legislation to increase these jobs, Id like to see more of it.
Third
I think a lot of past discussions I've had miss an important piece by not really examining how incentives are affecting women differently.
There’s been some talk about shifting incentives away from women’s education:
Unfortunately, that framing skips over a few structural realities:
Housing has become a much higher barrier to entry. Access to good housing in good neighborhoods is significantly more expensive than it used to be. That raises the threshold for economic stability. In this environment, the college wage premium matters more, not less—it’s one of the most reliable ways to clear that bar. This also makes single-income households harder to sustain, regardless of preferences.
Women have fewer viable non-degree paths to stability. As the economy has shifted away from industrial and physical labor toward knowledge and service work, many of the historically male-dominated “no degree required” paths (e.g., trades, manufacturing) haven’t translated as easily for women at scale. That makes higher education a more central route to security.
The modern economy rewards the traits women are, on average, better positioned to leverage. The college wage premium exists for a reason: today’s economy places a high value on a mix of cognitive ability and social/interpersonal skills. As demand has shifted in that direction, women—who on average tend to score higher on certain social skill dimensions—are relatively well-positioned to benefit.
It’s not that education is arbitrarily driving behavior. The causality runs the other way—economic and environmental changes have increased the returns to education, and women, given the available pathways and comparative advantages, are responding rationally to those incentives.
The easiest way around 1 is to just, well (clears throat): BUILD MORE FUCKING HOUSES. Yes, politically difficult, but If I had it my way, I'd adopt a similar housing policy on the state level, like Japan does.
I'd love for someone to add Ideas for how to deal with points 2 & 3. I'm not a well versed economists, so solutions are lost on me. Feel free to add your own thoughts, please!
House prices and number of houses aren’t really as correlated as most people think. Look at the Chinese housing boom for example. Look at New Zealand. Look at the US - where housing prices collapsed in the Sun Belt in 2008/2009 by 50% in many places like Arizona even as the population broadly rose (yes, there was a very brief fall in 2009, but that was after the crash and the population returned to growth long before house prices recovered). In New Zealand, property prices have collapsed recently despite continued population growth. In Seoul in South Korea, house prices doubled between 2015 and 2022, even though the overall population of the city actually fell (according to many estimates) or at least stagnated. China spent many years building housing as if its population was growing at a tfr of 3, and yet prices continued to go up, up, up even as urbanization started to slowly turn the corner and birth rates plummeted (both objectively bad for house price speculation if you think the central driver of prices is demand). Here in London, prices in many desirable neighborhoods have fallen by ~20% in nominal terms in the last couple of years, even though the population continues to rise and unemployment remains low.
There are individual reasons for all of this, and you can handwave each singular datapoint, but the overall dynamic is harder to avoid - the reason houses are cheap in some places and expensive in others usually has very little to do with how many houses are available or even how much money people have except in some time-limited sudden dislocation events. It’s much more about culture, like stock market valuations (the same sector with the same margins in two countries of similar stability trading at vastly different multiples, for example, can be handwaved by talking about liquidity or local investment dynamics or blah blah, but really, it’s because in some countries people believe that stonks always go up, so they do, and in others they don’t, so they don’t).
The housing market has not magically found a way around supply and demand.
What happened in the US in 2008/2009 was destruction of demand through the end of cheap and easy loans.
The loss of cheap loans is also a very large part of current affordability issues.
Yes, but the contrast was much greater in 2008/2009. We're not talking going from 3% to 6% (in fact, 30-year-fixed interest rates actually dropped), we're talking entire classes of (very bad) loans essentially disappeared. No income, no job, no down payment? No house for you!
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Didn't that happen partly because a bunch of new houses were built?
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