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Notes -
Before I waste any more of my time thinking about this, is there any evidence that the degradation of the new reflecting pool coating was caused by vandalism as opposed to run-of-the-mill incompetence?
I don’t really care about the algae. That seems like a fixable problem.
I personally think it's incompetence. And even worse, it's incompetence due to corruption.
But in an effort to be charitable: somebody certainly made "giant ‘8647’ markings on National Mall" and that's vandalism, so can't rule out the same for the pool as well.
Here's CNN reporting that the water in the pool has elevated phosphate. My understanding is that one of the more straightforward ways you'd get elevated phosphate in the water is by dumping phosphate fertilizer into the water. Given the other evidence of deliberate vandalism, I'm not sure why incompetence or corruption are supposed to be the leading hypothesis here.
I'm open to being corrected if there's some other explanation.
Why do we need a conspiracy here? Hasn't there been algae in this pool all the time?
Also, I assume the national mall is covered in security cameras. Surely they would have caught someone dumping bags of fertilizer in there if that was what happened?
Because it's not just the algae, it's the water having elevated phosphate levels feeding the algae, per CNN, at the same time that people are definitely intentionally vandalizing the nearby green, and also definitely intentionally damaging the new liner material. Again, I'm open to other explanations, but those explanations really ought to account for the observable evidence.
The phosphate levels are elevated compared to what? To ordinary water, or to this pool that's had algae issues for apparently a hundred years?
You don't have to posit a novel explanation when the phenomenon in question is not novel.
....I think one of us is misunderstanding something here.
My understanding is that algae eat phosphate to grow, and therefore an algae bloom should reduce phosphate levels, not elevate them. Algae do not need elevated phosphate to bloom, but will bloom a lot more in the presence of elevated phosphate. further, my understanding is that the most common source of elevated phosphate in water is from fertilizer runoff.
Again, this seems like a pretty straightforward question of fact to me. CNN is reporting elevated phosphate levels in the pool; it seems a reasonable inference that these levels are elevated versus the water that's being pumped into the pool, but if I'm wrong about that, I welcome correction. If the water in the pool has more phosphate than the water being added to the pool, then phosphate is being added to the pool somehow. Given that there is an ongoing vandalism campaign being conducted with relation to the pool and its surroundings, it seems logical to me that the phosphate is being added by the vandals.
The simple point I'm trying to make is that unless the phosphate levels have been measured during past algal blooms and found to be normal, we can't conclude that currently elevated phosphate levels represent any change at all. It's a mistake to reach for a unique explanation for this particular algal bloom unless we're sure that the conditions that led to this one are not the same as the conditions that have been leading to algal blooms for a hundred years.
"Fertilizer has been running off the grass and elevating phosphate levels, and causing algal blooms, since 1922" appears to be fully consistent with all the facts. Of course, I have not checked if previous phosphate readings were normal.
This assumes that there has never been elevated phosphate in the pool previously. Is that the case?
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