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My sense is that there is growing anti-Israel sentiment in the Democratic Party. If I were Iran's current leadership, I would want more Democrats in power in the US. Possibly it's won't help the situation, but I think Iran's leadership is pretty desperate at this point.
I don't think either of those things make much sense. If Iran were desperate, they'd probably be directing their appeals to the disillusioned young men of the country who might be able to make something happen, rather than to Karen (43 ans) who would've voted blue anyways. The anti-Israel Dems have proven themselves pretty toothless on a very consistent basis, to the point where Trump's support of Israel has met more intra-party opposition than Biden's.
Keep in mind that everyone insisting Iran's desperate and on the brink of collapse has been insisting exactly that since the first week of the war. My best guess is that the messaging is the product of some high-level leader's daft, out-of-touch cousin who got appointed Secretary of American PR because he's too incompetent to put anywhere else.
If Iran cared about the US midterm elections, what exactly would Iran be doing or not doing, in your view?
Well do you agree that anti-Israel sentiment has grown significantly in the Democratic party even in the last few years?
I'm not sure what your point is here. I'm certainly not trying to argue that Iran is on the brink of collapse.
What? My position is that they do seem to care, and are wrong to care.
Sentiment and policy outcome are two very different things. In the GOP, the populists are strong and fighty enough to occasionally force an issue they care about. In the DNC, they're either too unagentic (in the case of migrant anti-Israelism) or too thoroughly 'buckbroken' (in the case of redditor anti-Israelism) to meaningfully contest the party establishment. AOC being made to vote in favor of an Israel aid bill that was already going to pass by a massive margin is a pretty useful case study.
Ok, and in your view, what are they doing to influence the outcome of the elections? And what would they do differently if they were desperate?
I guess that means your answer is "yes"?
Aside from all of the recent moves that can conceivably be dismissed as having some other motivation, they penned a 24 page "letter to the American public" in which they explicitly stated that they wanted to influence the midterm elections in favor of the Democrats and that voting for them was what they wanted Americans to do.
I'm not joking, by the way, you can Google this. It's utterly baffling that that's the message they'd write to the dozen or so Americans willing to read a 24 page letter from the Iranian government in full, but it is indeed what they wrote.
Well you don't seem to deny that as of late there has been growing anti-Israel sentiment in the Democratic party. Nor do you seem to deny that the Iranian leadership is desperate. (Not desperate in the sense of being on the brink of collapse, but desperate in the sense of being extremely squeezed financially.) Those two facts offer a reasonably good explanation for this letter you cite.
I think the problem is that writing that letter is basically guaranteed to backfire -- if competent, the GOP could probably force a Dem opponent to denounce it (and the Iranian regime's human rights record), weakening their anti-war stance/creds. I'd imagine, at least.
I wouldn't go that far, because you never really know what will happen, but yeah, certainly it may be a Hail Mary play.
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