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birb_cromble  4d ago (text post)   627 thread views

Qeekly Finance Thread - 2026-10-17

A weekly thread to discuss financial matters - from personal all the way up to global.

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It's so dumb how the entirety of the 2026 AI rally was compressed into 4 weeks between April-May . The Nasdaq has otherwise been flat. This meant changing my strategy to selling long-dated covered calls.

I did this for space-x and then for other tech stocks. This was 3 months ago. This has worked well given that market has done nothing since then. If you sell a long-dated at the money cash covered SPY call (expires in 800-900 days) you can capture most of the upside in a rally and gain 1%/month of theta decay in flat market.

I would have expected a stronger and more consistent rally given all the AI hype.

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Honestly I put up big numbers when that ended. I suck at momo trading. But once AI stocks quit going up you started seeing big moves in every other name. It’s a function of how indexes affect the market.

Markets just price new ideas faster today. It’s possible we see another crazy rally in AI stocks but things like Micron went firm 300-1200 in that time period. You can’t have sectors 4x every 2 months.

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