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My best guess is that there isn't going to be a major shift any time soon. There have been reports for decades of Jews switching from Democrat to Republican and it's never really snowballed. I think that (1) Jews (and especially AIPAC) still have quite a lot of influence over the Democratic Party in the US; (2) the latest freakout over Israel will very likely die down in the next few years once progressives switch to the new Latest Thing; and (3) once that happens, the anti-Jewish elements in the Democratic Party will end up marginalized.
I think the other thing to keep in mind is that in the next few years, it is very likely, perhaps virtually certain, that there will be advances in technology which have major impacts on nearly all aspects of geopolitics. So that the question of Jewish Republicans is kind of pissing in the ocean.
Democrats no longer hating Jews would require a complete ideological shift in Democrats. If I think of the last 10 years of progressivism the core principle seems to be oppressor-oppressed lens of the world. Jews are far too rich to find their way back to the “oppressed” side of the equation.
As of now at this moment the average Democratic politician is pro-Israel. Biden and Kamala gave Israel all the weapons they wanted for Gaza and offered no criticism. The anti-Israel activists were not able to significantly hurt Kamala with it. Even if many people loudly online proclaimed that they wouldn't vote for her. Things might shake out differently in the coming primary. But the Democrats in congress are still very pro-Israel. Even AOC only votes "present" on aid for Israel not against.
This is factually wrong. Biden did withhold weapons Israel requested. And criticized Israel and weapons.
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You underestimate the power of hypocrisy. Wave a magic wand, say "Holocaust" three times backwards, mumble something about Hitler, and pretend Jewish wealth isn't a problem as you're cashing the checks from Jewish donors. The Hamasniks will have to be brought to heel for this to work, but that's not impossible.
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Yes, and I almost want to preface all my comments with that, but I hope its implied.
The space of possible outcomes post ASI is so unknowable that sometimes its better to just ignore it. Of course, that's like dividing infinity by infinity and saying it equals one. But without this simplification, how can these discussions even take place?
That's a good question. Because discussing culture war issues almost necessarily entails questions of trends and predictions. And the speed of technological development throws pretty much all of those trends and predictions into question. But yeah, it would be pretty boring to discuss nothing but AI all the time. So yeah, I see your point. Carry on.
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