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Culture War Roundup for the week of March 20, 2023

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In such a world, what is the point of writing on The Motte?

I think this analogizes pretty closely with the question "in a world with ample free pornography and sex toys, what's the point of having sex with another person?"

For some subset of the population the answer is "there is no point, I get the same dopamine release in either case, and the porn is easier and cheaper."

For others, there's some clear value-add for having another fully realized human with their own history, volition, likes, dislikes, and, I might suggest, element of unpredictability in the mix. An LLM may create an utterly convincing simulacrum of a given person, or even the interaction of many persons... but we cannot actually know what those people would do in the actual situation unless we have them actually interact.

I, personally, have come to think of this as the concept of "authenticity." I want to believe that I am interacting with someone in the 'real' world who is expressing their actual beliefs, and exchanging raw, unfiltered arguments with the particular rhetorical flourish that is unique to that person.

This ultimately implies that I should start favoring face-to-face interactions in person over any kind of digital communications, which are much more likely to be mediated by AI in some form.

And... that's the approach I'm taking. I'm actually very glad that themotte split off Reddit so that it is now substantially less likely that bots will overwhelm the discourse.

But... it is now officially impossible to tell if the text you're reading on a given forum is the direct result of human cognitive processes or not. So my days of 'suspending my disbelief' and assuming everyone reading these very words are human minds and all the responses are genuine statements made by someone who can be convinced via argumentation or at least may modify their own beliefs are numbered. And that number is probably in the double digits, at best, now.

So I'll retreat to even more restricted/gatekept forums, or groupchats, and eventually only personal, face-to-face interactions will satisfice my preferences.

So what's the point of posting on themotte? Eventually there won't be one, unless we achieve a way to technologically 'fingerprint' all the comments with a 'proof of humanity' or something.

This reminds me of the parable of the dick-stretcher, and now I wonder if all humans will be in a race-to-the-bottom of adopted weirdness just to try and prove they're authentic.

In the future, we will all be dick-stretchers.

"in a world with ample free pornography and sex toys, what's the point of having sex with another person?"

Well, sex is about power, so the point is a reward and demonstration of your ability to get someone to do it with you.

So what's the point of posting on themotte?

Increasing one's personal understanding and theorycrafting abilities about the operations and emergent behavior of the most dangerous megafauna that has ever evolved on this planet. Younger men tend to prefer more physical Leviathans to the abstract ones; which is why they show interest in other large animals (and dinosaurs), along with the largest and loudest vehicles (fire trucks, fighter jets, etc.). When the only heuristic one has of the power and threat of a thing is physical size (and to a point, rank) it makes sense that one would study the largest and most powerful; it's a survival instinct.

The interactions between posters, and what gets posted here, have been foundational to my own personal political theories (and, somewhat troublingly, religious ones); I don't get the chance to talk to many people who are particularly interesting in those regards (or who I trust enough). And I don't think the most otherwise-capable of LLMs measure up because their output is indistinguishable from the standard progressive or young adult contrarian, so if I ever want to hear those takes I can talk to the bot instead.

and all the responses are genuine statements made by someone who can be convinced via argumentation or at least may modify their own beliefs are numbered

LLMs still can't read technical drawings and likely won't be able to for a very long time; it'll be worthwhile for much longer to hang around people and forums built around doing actual work. South Park's recent episode had it right, but that show is not equipped to make this point.

LLMs still can't read technical drawings and likely won't be able to for a very long time.

Who knows?.. Multimodal GPT-4 is imminent.

The easy and reactionary answer to 'what is the purpose of sex, and relationships' is: 'the same as always, creating children' (and also doing the signals, commitments, and complex processes involved in the relationship necessary to raising the children, plus that being coextensive with all the emotional and aesthetic things most people care about).

But just as that becomes less convincing if technology can produce children better than a biological pregnancy can (which is far off) - and similarly, if the language models/AIs are generally more capable than us - why listen to humans when AI are smarter than, and more economically influential than, humans? And more generally, what's left for people?

That's about where I was going with this point.

The most 'meaningful' and tangible thing you can achieve via sexual intercourse is producing another human being.

I think you can similarly argue that the most meaningful thing you can achieve via any dialogue is changing other humans' minds, which may influence their behavior in the real world, so as to produce an actual tangible effect.

To the extent that AIs become extremely skilled at stating persuasive arguments, but are themselves functionally immune to persuasion or changing of their opinions, then having a dialogue with an LLM is almost definitionally a waste of time and effort unless you yourself are seeking to be persuaded.

If AIs are actually better at doing the persuading (as seems to be likely to happen) then it comes down to just how easily persuadable you, as an individual are, and whether you consider conversations with other actual humans to be a terminal value or not. Just how in a world where technology can produce children efficiently without intercourse, you might still consider 'natural childbirth' to be a terminal value (or irreplaceable part of the human experience).

why listen to humans when AI are smarter than, and more economically influential than, humans? And more generally, what's left for people?

To sit around being persuaded to do things that the AI deems to be useful, I guess. Assuming we haven't been completely subjugated to the point we have no volition of our own to exercise.

One thing I've been doing in recent years is trying to leave as much data about my own personal preferences lying around for a potential AI overlord to capture as possible. If a smarter-than-human AI is going to take over and (one hopes) try to maximize people's preferences, I don't want it to have to guess at what I enjoy. Every youtube video I like or dislike, every good or service I willingly pay money for, I try to think in terms of some future AI using this information in it's training data.

And that includes me stating things like "I vastly prefer to engage in discourse with other humans" and "I prefer actual sex with another person to pornography" in comments.

So perhaps, in a galaxy-brained way, holding the preference of "I want actual discussion with actual human beings" and doggedly pursuing this preference makes it more likely that a future AI will try to optimize for that value.