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Notes -
I think you're largely correct.
There will be no recognizably right-wing government or establishment in Germany for at least another two generations. The well has been too thoroughly poisoned. And anything that may come later is more likely to be islamic than nationalist.
You're forgetting that what causes the right to rise is the left, and (just one example) in Austria the communist party is about to get seats in parliament for the first time in generations
If the recent fortunes of the German communists are any indication, then it won't take any involvement by the right for them to falter and slide back into oblivion.
In case this means Die Linke, my understanding is that it's arguable that their bad fortunes are the direct result of power moving from the old East-German, SED-successor parts (who at least had a certain history of governance) to the anarcho-liberal West German radicals.
That's certainly one partial cause of their malady, but hardly the only one.
IMO it's important to keep in mind that the vilification of all things right-wing is probably stronger in Germany than in any other democratic country in the world. By far. By orders of magnitude. I suppose I needn't explain why or how. The German moral compass consists of "nazi" on one end and "good" on the other, and any political activity will attempt to place itself right on the good end, moving away from it only so far as practicality demands, and such practicality must always be accompanied either by a certain amoral or asocial streak, or by extensive burden of justification.
What this means is that it's trivially easy to just be an uncritical, perfectly fanatical, purity-spiralling ever-more-extreme leftist in Germany, and even in establishment Germany. By being maximally distant from the moral pole of all evil, and pushing further away from it, you automatically have the moral high ground and you can rightly consider yourself beyond reproach, and no reproach will come to you from polite society.
This in turn has the consequence of the left being absolutely loony, and there being no mechanism to reign it in. And naturally this effect is strongest in the nominal Left party, Die Linke.
In my view that's the strongest cause for their misfortunes - their increasing disjunction from reality, which can only increase over time due to the German moral compass.
Unrelated: The German right is also insane, also due to this moral compass, but in different ways. It takes madmen to go and occupy the moral pole of all evil.
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