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Notes -
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/shows/meetthepress/blog/rcna90023
Apparently there’s been a big drop in conservative support for gay marriage, all in the space of a year.
I think this says a lot, mainly because it’s a point I see brought up by a lot of the blackpillers in this community “look, look - even conservatives support gay marriage now, there’s no stopping progressivism”.
Well, what now? Apparently the left has pushed too hard and too fast and it’s turning the GOP away. Being LGBT isn’t seen as some harmless thing anymore, especially when it seems being “tolerant” means accepting gay drag nuns on crucifixes. The parodies are no longer a parody, and grooming children to accept gender ideology seems rife in schools even in deep red states.
Recently I read about a Muslim city in america voting to ban the pride flag. This is just one example of the incoming shift and realignment being forced by progressive extremism becoming more forcibly mainstream
I don’t buy it.
Other topics in the poll:
92% -> 88% for birth control
81% -> 78% for divorce
76% -> 72% for premarital sex
Et cetera. There are 19 questions in total, many of which shifted towards the right, but the only “statistically significant” changes are same-sex relations and…increased support for the death penalty. Are those two really the front lines of the culture war?
I think the poll numbers are consistent with a general lean right, but that any specific issues are going to be green jelly beans. Sway general opinion enough, such as by a bad economy under a Democrat, and a couple of the issues are going to come up as significant.
In fact, look at the breakdown by party. Independent support for same-sex relations actually went up. That’s not what I’d expect from a progressive fringe alienating the center.
A green jelly beans result would be all the colors having a normal distribution centered on 0, with Green an outlier reaching the arbitrary "95% confidence" threshold (and presumably Blue reaching 95% confidence for preventing cancer).
All the results pointing one way but some more than others means it's not P-hacking to produce a result out of noise.
I was thinking normal distribution centered on something nonzero (right-drift). These two claims happened to be significant, but any of the propositions could have been.
But you're right that it's not the xkcd version.
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