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Small-Scale Question Sunday for January 14, 2024

Do you have a dumb question that you're kind of embarrassed to ask in the main thread? Is there something you're just not sure about?

This is your opportunity to ask questions. No question too simple or too silly.

Culture war topics are accepted, and proposals for a better intro post are appreciated.

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After occasionally reading NHI/UAP posts on X and 4chan, and of course in here when it comes up, I’ve had a thought that I’ve not seen expressed.

The conventional take is that any disclosure will have earth shattering ramifications for the religions of the world. That evidence of NHI would result in people doubting their faith, their religious leaders, and their belief that humans have some primacy in the universe. Basically that it would have catastrophic results for religion.

I expect the exact opposite would happen. I expect that materialists, “Scientists”, the “IFL Science” crowd, debunkers, and Atheists would be the ones that will be least likely at accept a new paradigm.

Religious people by definition are more open to metaphysics and they’re also quite used to a world where we have beliefs in opposition to the mainstream. I have no doubt that any NHI as a concept would be integrated into existing religion without all that much trouble.

As for the Science crowd, the existence of NHI would necessarily mean that the story they’ve defended for their entire lives is either wrong or incomplete. We’ve seen how that’s worked out on other topics recently. I expect no amount of evidence presented would ever be enough. I supposed that this would depend on exactly what is being disclosed and what beliefs are violated. Learning that FTL travel is possible would be quite different from the inter dimensional travel that’s been suggested lately. It would also depend on the exact mechanism of disclosure. If TPTB were to get the prestigious journals and community influencers on board first and in a systematic way, people would just get their normal software update so that’s they’re on the right side of The Current Thing. No different than if the Pope told us Catholics that NHI were fully in communion with the Church.

Long story short: I believe the conventional thinking that NHI would kill religion is severely outdated. Perhaps this was true at one time when religion was the dominant societal meme. No longer.

NHI

We had LLMs show up with comparable-to-human levels of intelligence and the religious don't seem to particularly care.

At any rate, unless we discover a reason why traveling interstellar distances, at close to relativistic speeds or even FTL, is possible without obvious signatures, or a source of energy that accounts for the most abundant one (all those stars freely dissipating their energy into the void without doing useful work with it), I have no reason to think that UAPs are convincing evidence of extraterrestrial, advanced intelligence.

The fact we have twinkling stars in the night sky is sufficient claim against that, and if all our telescopes and space surveys are lying to us, I don't care what a bunch of sensors on a fighter jet or grainy videos claim.

I’m suggesting something beyond the status quo. A continuation of more videos being released, more government officials making statements, perhaps a formal declaration by states.

That’s my whole point. I suspect that there is perhaps no sequence of events that could happen that would convince the Science crowd that NHI exists.

Do you expect "the Science crowd" (i.e. the majority of Westerners) to not believe aliens exist even if they literally Show Us The Aliens?

That’s my whole point. I suspect that there is perhaps no sequence of events that could happen that would convince the Science crowd that NHI exists.

A Russian family that had cut all contacts to civilization and lived in the woods as hermits figured out Sputnik from seeing a new "star" that moved very fast across the sky. There's a lot of very observable new things you can make happen if you want and have the technology for it.

I suspect that there is perhaps no sequence of events that could happen that would convince the Science crowd that NHI exists.

That sounds more like a failure of imagination than anything else. I can imagine several thousand different things that could convince me, or anyone with half a brain, to take the possibility of contact by aliens with interstellar capabilities seriously.

They could hijack terrestrial comms. Shoot lasers from the moon or Jupiter. Submit proofs of a dozen unsolved mathematical conjectures. Land a million drones in every major city. Detonate gigaton antimatter explosives in interplanetary space. Targeted surgical strikes on every nuclear silo. Drop a blue whale on the White House lawn. Overload our neutrino detectors and graviton wave observatories with waves encoding pi in base 10. Or just display the drive signatures of their ships slowing down from relativistic speeds, as would be obvious to any backyard astronomer unless they have a means of propulsion that doesn't emit visible radiation.

What leaves me entirely unconvinced is weird artifacts on sensors or even competent eye-witness footage. Interstellar aliens would need a very perverse and specific modus operandi for that to be their first way of making themselves known, let alone lack the competence to be so obvious.

IIRC- and take this with a grain of salt because my most advanced science class was geology for nonscience majors- every hypothesized FTL drive leaves some kind of telltale signature at the end, too. So even aliens that figured out how to make an alcubierre drive work give off a telltale signature that we should have picked up if they’re anywhere in the neighborhood.

An Alcubierre Drive has a nasty tendency to accumulate all the space dust/debris the vessel encounters along the way, which is eventually liberated eventually, as you need to smooth out the bubble of warped space-time at the end of your journey.

So the braking resembles the blast from a relativistic shotgun, I don't recall figures on the magnitude of the energy released, or carried by the projectiles, but it's probably not a good idea to point it at anything inhabited. Maybe dumping it into a star might work. Either way, I suspect we would notice if it happened anywhere important within the orbit of Pluto.

Yeah, that’s what I was referring to, but I think krasnikov tubes and the fringe-but-math-works hyperspace theories also suggest there’d be some weird anomalies at the exit- and wormholes are a weird and noticeable anomaly.