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Culture War Roundup for the week of March 4, 2024

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I wanted to write about the WPATH leaks: the cancers and the shrinks debating over how many of a 12 year old's "multiple personalities" need to be transsexual before they should give them hormones and surgery.

I wanted to write about a woman I know who just got a $90,000 government grant for her instagram hobby farm, alongside hundreds of other fake businesses like "the Black farmers collective." Taxpayers gave her more money than her business will ever have in revenue to play upper-middle-class status games while the few remaining real farmers around her are going out of business.

I wanted to write about watching my friend once again change all the grocery store tags because prices keep skyrocketing as talking heads insist we're imagining it all and everyone's actually getting super rich.

I wanted to write about my state banning non-"cage free" eggs and claiming it won't increase prices... because they negotiated a kickback deal with the remaining suppliers to eat the cost until after the '24 election, after which they can harvest their monopoly rents and some lobby group can release an official report claiming the price increases were unrelated.

I wanted to write about how my state house just banned natural gas hookups and enabled pressuring companies to drop service to existing customers.

I wanted to write about the people chanting "glory to the martyrs by any means necessary" while insisting nobody could possibly suspect them of supporting Hamas, with every leftist somehow getting an identical memo about how to provide cover for them.

But what's the point? Seriously, why even talk about this just to get gaslit by the people who are celebrating it at the same time as denying it's happening?
You could spend your entire life writing tens of thousands of words explaining and analyzing this insanity, and all it does it give the perpetrators the satisfaction of gloating about getting away with it.

What are we even doing here? Are we just going to keep doing it forever as the country goes completely insane?
Why? What possible good will it do? Is this whole place just a safety release valve to stop any pressure building up against the overton window slamming left faster than the eye can see?

Does anyone actually get any pleasure out of this? Does anyone think it's doing any good? Can anyone point to an example of it doing any good in the past? Has culture war discussion on the motte ever actually led to anyone solving culture war problems? The closest thing I can come up with are TracingWoodgrain's exposés, which while incredible have hardly moved the needle on public awareness.

Virtually all the energy expended here seems to be vented straight into the void, almost like it's deliberately set up to do so, keeping people arguing in circles until it's too late to do anything about it. And it's been going on for over a decade! When will it stop?

Edit:
I hope this example might get across what I mean. A few weeks ago I wasted time finding out about "multiplicity" (the new social contagion of kids who spend too much time on discord deciding they're all "plural systems" of different personalities). Did a bunch of research, got on a bunch of discords that use the "pluralkit" plugin, found examples of psychologists taking it seriously, started writing a post.
It turned out Gattsuru was already talking about it last year like it was just a normal thing that normies will learn to accept soon.
Yesterday we found out a bunch of WPATH associates all treat it like a legitimate and uncontroversial diagnosis that lots of their "trans kids" mysteriously have. It hardly made a splash in the news. Pretty soon people will be mocking anyone who cares about it.

I realized that any discussion I started on the motte would be pointless. It would just run the same circle of "noticing, denial, minimization, celebration, resigned acceptance" that literally all culture war events go through here.
What good would bringing it to anyone's attention do? Even the most bizarre event that would have been considered unimaginably stupid until the second it happens will just be rationalized away like it's no big deal.

I am truly beside myself, like you, these days. And every smarmy "You just need to touch grass" remark sends me further over the edge. Because the insinuation is that I'm only this fucking destitute because I'm extremely online. When the reality could not more manifestly be the opposite.

I'm trying to raise a daughter in a world that already hates her. I have a school system that wants to tell her she's evil (I'm sorry, privileged, not like there is much meaningful difference). It wants to promulgate "queer theory" at the earliest age they can get away with. I live in a state where the school system will secretly transition children, no matter who is elected. The increasingly blue state legislature keeps creeping closer and closer to just defacto taking custody of children who's parent's won't "affirm" their identity. Which isn't to say they don't do it anyways already. The paranoia I have whenever I'm forced to expose my child to these systems is off the charts. You cannot tell me it's not justified.

I often reflect how I could possibly explain to my child all the freedom we used to have. How easy air travel used to be. Or how fun it was to wait in the terminal to greet family as they stepped off the plane. How there didn't used to be security guards and metal detectors at theatres. How there weren't transients destroying every public work constantly. And literally nobody was murdered more often than not, under any circumstances, in the town I grew up in. I went back and checked the old FBI statistics, because I had one of those "Did I just not notice as a kid, or what?" moments, and it turns out, wouldn't you know, there was actually infinitesimal amounts of murder back then after all. That I had free reign to bike 10 miles to town, maybe 12 years old, along a busy parkway with zero reason to believe anything could possibly happen to me. And I find myself especially at a loss to explain what happened to all that.

No, touching grass is not the answer. Unless it's in a prone position at a shooting range.

I don't liking making old arguments that didn't stick the last time I made them, but progressivism, trans 'ideology', being 'anti-white', all spread much more potently over the internet or through peers and popular media than through teachers. When you say that schools tell kids they're privileged or that they secretly transition kids, this gives off an extremely strong impression that the school's physical custody of or social power over the children is a significant force in actually causing the children to be trans. I am really confident this isn't true, just by observing the trans people (including kids) around me, and talking to trans adults and "might've decided to transition if my life had gone another way" types. The problem isn't that The State is using it's power to oppress you, the actual problem is that a lot of smart people are, without any particular malice or plotting, coming to severely incorrect conclusions and spreading them to others.

I often reflect how I could possibly explain to my child all the freedom we used to have. How easy air travel used to be. Or how fun it was to wait in the terminal to greet family as they stepped off the plane. How there didn't used to be security guards and metal detectors at theatres.

This does suck, but I think it's minor.

How there weren't transients destroying every public work constantly

This is less minor. Not civilization-destroying, but not minor either. I don't think this one is inevitable though. I don't know much about eg the "sf dems for change" and the recent win in SF, but that seems very positive for fixing the worst excesses within the progressive framework.

I don't liking making old arguments that didn't stick the last time I made them

Speaking of moving the conversation forward, if you know you're repeating an old argument, and you know it didn't stick the last time, can you try addressing some of the counter arguments when bringing it up again?

this gives off an extremely strong impression that the school's physical custody of or social power over the children is a significant force in actually causing the children to be trans. I am really confident this isn't true

The problem with your argument is that without the support of the education and healthcare systems "children being trans" wouldn't mean much more than "children being emo". That's without touching on the fact that the Internet itself is far from a neutral meme melting-pot, and has several thumbs on the scale built into it, including by the state. The problem isn't people coming to the wrong conclusion. People come to these conclusions, because our institutions deliberately stifle debate, and put propaganda on a pedestal.

This does suck, but I think it's minor.

Every once in a while, you express confusion about people not realizing you're "far-right" even though you have explicitly declared yourself to be such, and reactions like this would be one of the (but far from the only) reasons why this happens. Reacting to "my country used to be safe and high-trust and it's not anymore" with "this sucks but it's minor" will, at best, get you pegged as a Hlynkaesque alt-right progressive.

The problem with your argument is that without the support of the education and healthcare systems "children being trans" wouldn't mean much more than "children being emo"

I agree that the healthcare system is in a direct sense harming every trans kid (and adult) who transitions*! That said, (based on contestable personal inferences) most children who transition as kids (distinct from most children who identify as trans as kids) would've transitioned as adults anyway in the current social environment. I don't think the education system is doing anything at all similarly impactful. Even in the case of the healthcare system, they're doing it with the consent of parents in almost all cases, and it all basically reduces back down to 'it's happening because everyone involved believes in the trans stuff and people want to transition', not 'institutions are forcing themselves on unwilling people'. The only way to stop the healthcare system from doing that is to win on the main issue.

I think saying 'education and healthcare systems' isn't right, because it's just healthcare.

Responding to more points OP made:

"The state taking your children away to transition them" ... just doesn't happen that often, and every case of that I remember was something more like 'a custody battle where one parent wanted the kid to transition and the other didn't' and 'the child was trans but the state claimed the reason for taking the child away was abuse and a severe eating disorder'.

That's without touching on the fact that the Internet itself is far from a neutral meme melting-pot, and has several thumbs on the scale built into it, including by the state. The problem isn't people coming to the wrong conclusion. People come to these conclusions, because our institutions deliberately stifle debate, and put propaganda on a pedestal.

I'd like for you to justify this more? I don't see any plausible mechanism here. Trans stuff spreads exactly as quickly among kids in private discord groupchats or on 4chan, places where I don't think the thumb is particularly likely, as it does on reddit or tiktok.

Reacting to "my country used to be safe and high-trust and it's not anymore" with "this sucks but it's minor" will, at best, get you pegged as a Hlynkaesque alt-right progressive

I do not think this makes sense. America was much more violent in the past than it is today, even if it's also lower trust today. Flying being annoying is an attempt to compensate specifically for violence, not lower trust generally. So it's much more an example of a pointless, poorly executed regulation than it is of violence getting worse.

  • I understand it's philosophically complex to claim something like this

That said, (based on contestable personal inferences) most children who transition as kids (distinct from most children who identify as trans as kids) would've transitioned as adults anyway in the current social environment.

Well, if contestable personal inferences are a valid argument, than based on mine you're wrong. From what I've seen kids that decide to transition do so due to a mix of autism and puberty blues. Chances are that if you get through puberty, "dysphoria" turns out to not be such big deal after all. That's pretty much what past research was showing.

Even in the case of the healthcare system, they're doing it with the consent of parents in almost all cases

"""Consent""". Yeah they argument-from-authority the parents until they sign the paper, and most of them think the guy in the lab-coat knows better.

I don't think the education system is doing anything at all similarly impactful.

I know, you keep asserting it, but it's hard to respond to it, if you don't bring anything beyond the assertion. I, and I think others, brought it up before, it's about legitimacy. We all went through some goofy phase during our adolescence, and a big part of growing out of it was most adults being bemused with our antics. If my parents were freaking out about my acting out, but my school was yass-queening me all the way, I can guarantee I'd never adjust.

just doesn't happen that often,

So what? Should we bring back Primae Noctis, because it just won't happen that often? I'm over that whole numbers argument.

and every case of that I remember was something more like 'a custody battle where one parent wanted the kid to transition and the other didn't' and 'the child was trans but the state claimed the reason for taking the child away was abuse and a severe eating disorder'.

There's at least one recent case where they took the kid from both parents, and the "abuse" was misgendering, and another one when the kid ended up sex trafficked twice while in state custody.

Trans stuff spreads exactly as quickly among kids in private discord groupchats or on 4chan, places where I don't think the thumb is particularly likely, as it does on reddit or tiktok.

Out of the 2 I might give you 4chan, because truth be told, I don't know much about what's going on there. Private Discord groupchats rely on there being an ecosystem where like-minded people can meet, if you places when one sort group gathers, but not the other, you're still placing thumbs on the scale.

I do not think this makes sense. America was much more violent in the past than it is today,

It's fine if you disagree, it just doesn't sound like a particularly right-wing thing to say, let alone "far-right". As to the fact of the matter - which America? The big cities, or OP's home town, and all the towns that acted as a refuge for crime for a couple decades? I don't even have a dog in this fight, but I heard this conversation enough times that I know what the right-wing response is. Someone who is "far-right" should be at least familiar with it as well, even if you ultimately disagree with the argument.

From what I've seen kids that decide to transition do so due to a mix of autism and puberty blues.

I should've said "medically transitioned" not "transitioned", those are often used differently, and that was a mistake. Medical transition is a lot more of a commitment than wearing the other gender's clothes. I know a lot of people who "realized" they were trans as teens, and didn't transition until much later.

Chances are that if you get through puberty, "dysphoria" turns out to not be such big deal after all

Medical transition filters for the most committed.

"""Consent""". Yeah they argument-from-authority the parents until they sign the paper, and most of them think the guy in the lab-coat knows better.

I think in the typical case the child's opinions are a more significant driver, and the parent is themselves bought into it. I agree that in some cases the doctor persuades a reluctant parent. But, still, the problem in general is that everyone believes this stuff. The parents believe it and the doctors believe it and so does everyone else.

If you are a parent, you can just say 'no you aren't getting your breasts cut off until 18' and that's that. Even for hormones, in the US I don't think kids can get them without parental consent. (Apparently they can for hormones in canada though ... lol) In the US the risk is more them ordering hormones online from ukraine or something, which does happen.

Out of the 2 I might give you 4chan, because truth be told, I don't know much about what's going on there. Private Discord groupchats rely on there being an ecosystem where like-minded people can meet, if you places when one sort group gathers, but not the other, you're still placing thumbs on the scale.

The theory here is ... that by banning nazis discord increases the number of trans kids? It's not wrong, but. More seriously, the size of the effect there is just going to be very small. Discord doesn't ban that many topics, and for small groupchats they struggle to actually ban any of the banned topics, including the ones everyone including you agree are bad (malware, cp, grooming). It's not really plausible that that measurably increases the frequency of trans. And 4chan is still a strong example, a whole lot of trans stuff there. The trans culture there certainly has a different character than the more popular trans cultures, but it doesn't seem to be less popular as a % of people there.

I, and I think others, brought it up before, it's about legitimacy. We all went through some goofy phase during our adolescence, and a big part of growing out of it was most adults being bemused with our antics. If my parents were freaking out about my acting out, but my school was yass-queening me all the way, I can guarantee I'd never adjust.

This is certainly the most plausible version of the argument so far. That's definitely a nonzero effect. It's just ... the effect doesn't seem so large. Like, the school allows the child to use their chosen new name instead of not. Maybe it assigns them a counselor they meet with a few times. I think this is a much smaller effect than the approval of their online and real-life peer group, and the large procession of celebrities, influencers, etc they see on tiktok or in media being trans accepting. I don't think it justifies the focus on schools as places that are harming kids with trans.

It's fine if you disagree, it just doesn't sound like a particularly right-wing thing to say, let alone "far-right". As to the fact of the matter - which America? The big cities, or OP's home town, and all the towns that acted as a refuge for crime for a couple decades? I don't even have a dog in this fight, but I heard this conversation enough times that I know what the right-wing response is. Someone who is "far-right" should be at least familiar with it as well, even if you ultimately disagree with the argument.

I don't even mean black violence, there was significantly more political violence from white people in the past too, which is the right class for airport security. It's just kind of a non sequitur. I would agree that crime, or even black crime, is not the same kind of dismissible minor issue. I just don't think airport security is particularly related to black crime.

I should've said "medically transitioned" not "transitioned", those are often used differently, and that was a mistake.

Don't worry, that's how I understood you meant it.

Medical transition filters for the most committed.

No it doesn't. Your kid comes to you and says "dad, I think I'm trans", you say "oh shit, I don't know anything about it, better go to the doctor", your family doctor says "oh shit, I don't know anything about it, better refer to a specialist", and the "specialist" is someone like Michelle Forcier who thinks puberty blockers are a magical pause button. The kid doesn't even know what they're committing to, the parents trust the person in the lab coat, and the person in the lab coat is nuts / completely ideologically captured. If there's a filter in this process, I'm not seeing it.

I think in the typical case the child's opinions are a more significant driver, and the parent is themselves bought into it.

The child's opinion is probably why they ended up in front of a doctor, but most of the time parents don't know what the hell is going on, and defer to authority. Often against what their instincts are telling them.

If you are a parent, you can just say 'no you aren't getting your breasts cut off until 18' and that's that.

Yeah, except you have to be terminally online to know what's going on, and have balls of steel to go against every authority figure in your way. Most people have neither.

The theory here is ... that by banning nazis discord increases the number of trans kids?

You're the one saying that trans kids come from Discord, I gotta work within the constraints you set.

Discord doesn't ban that many topics, and for small groupchats they struggle to actually ban any of the banned topics, including the ones everyone including you agree are bad (malware, cp, grooming).

I also don't know so much about Discord, but I'm much less inclined to concede that one. We even talked about this before, the Distributist had not 1, but 3 of his Discord servers banned. Don't tell me he's a grroming, malware-spreading, cp gooning Nazi.

The small groupchats are irrelevant to the argument. Once you ban the big places, you disrupt people congregating on the platform.

That's definitely a nonzero effect. It's just ... the effect doesn't seem so large. Like, the school allows the child to use their chosen new name instead of not. Maybe it assigns them a counselor they meet with a few times. I think this is a much smaller effect than the approval of their online and real-life peer group, and the large procession of celebrities, influencers, etc they see on tiktok or in media being trans accepting.

This might work under your "medical transition filters for the most committed" assumption, but I dispute it. Like I said, without reinforcement from serious institutions there's no reason to believe this would be anything more than an emo phase, it had peers, influencers and celebrities backing it too.

there was significantly more political violence from white people in the past too, which is the right class for airport security.

I don't want to get into esoteric arguments about Saudi's whiteness, but surely it was 9/11 that was the relevant event here? I doubt OP was wistfull for the days you could escort someone directly onto a plane like Humphrey Bogart. In any case OP also specifically brought up "How there didn't used to be security guards and metal detectors at theatres. (...) And literally nobody was murdered more often than not, under any circumstances, in the town I grew up in.", so plain old fashioned violence fits perfectly well into that (which I was referring to geographically, not racially, BTW).