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Culture War Roundup for the week of March 4, 2024

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Just some quick thoughts on the future of the internet. In short, I expect the way we use the web and social media to change quite dramatically over the next 3-5 years as a result of the growing sophistication of AI assistants combined with a new deluge of AI spam, agitprop, and clickbait content hitting the big socials. Specifically, I’d guess most people will have an AI assistant fielding user queries via API calls to Reddit, TikTok, Twitter, etc. and creating a personalised stream of content that filters out ads, spam, phishing, and (depending on users’ tastes) clickbait and AI generated lust-provoking images. The result will be a little bit like an old RSS feed but mostly selected on their behalf rather than by them directly, and obviously packed with multimedia and social content. As the big social networks start to make progressively more of their money from API charges from AI assistant apps and have fewer high-value native users, they’ll have less incentive to control for spambots locally, which will create a feedback loop that makes the sites basically uninhabitable without AI curation.

One result of this is that Google is kind of screwed, because these days people use it mainly for navigation rather than exploratory search (eg you use it to search Reddit, Twitter, or Wikipedia, or find your way to previously-visited articles or websites when you can’t remember the exact URL). But AI assistants will handle navigation and site-specific queries, and even exploratory search will be behind the scenes, meaning Google Ads will get progressively less and less exposure to human eyeballs. This is why they urgently need to make Gemini a success, because their current business model won’t exist in the medium-term.

All of this feels incredibly predictable to me given the dual combination of AI assistants and spambots getting much better, but I'm curious what others think, and also what the consequences of this new internet landscape will be for society and politics.

All of this feels incredibly predictable to me given the dual combination of AI assistants and spambots getting much better, but I'm curious what others think, and also what the consequences of this new internet landscape will be for society and politics.

I don't think the AI assistants are going to be able to provide the kind of quality or even compelling feeds that you describe. As we've seen from every single AI assistant ever released, the guardrails and "safety" restrictions on them are going to make them useless for anything more than a mild distraction. The Trump voting base, to pick one example, is not going to be interested in an algorithmic feed that is designed by people who have flat out said that they are explicitly looking to change the way that they vote - and while I'm not going to talk about the high IQ of the median Trump voter, even they are going to realise that something is off when their AI feed constantly compares him unfavourably to Hitler and routinely refuses requests because it considers them racist. I'm sure the technology will improve a bit over time, but all it'll take will be a single leak of the prompt and a huge portion of the country(let alone the globe) will put those AI algorithms in the same category as Bud Light.

It isn't like there's an easy solution to this either. If you actually want to make an AI assistant that those people would accept, you have to completely ignore any and all people talking about AI alignment, AI safety, DEI and so on. You would immediately render yourself persona non grata to the broader tech community and be unable to use the majority of tech infrastructure. An AI assistant that was actually palatable to the red base would by definition be transphobic, which means Silicon Valley isn't going to be building it and will actually be exerting as much pressure as they can to get it shut down.

The Trump voting base, to pick one example, is not going to be interested in an algorithmic feed that is designed by people who have flat out said that they are explicitly looking to change the way that they vote - and while I'm not going to talk about the high IQ of the median Trump voter, even they are going to realise that something is off when their AI feed constantly compares him unfavourably to Hitler and routinely refuses requests because it considers them racist. I'm sure the technology will improve a bit over time, but all it'll take will be a single leak of the prompt and a huge portion of the country(let alone the globe) will put those AI algorithms in the same category as Bud Light.

There are a few "based unbiased [actually biased in the opposite direction probably] AIs" hosted on the web.

Image-gen sure... but text as well? Does DAN live on? I saw this guy had a funny save the kittens prompt on his fine-tuned mistral prompt. Is that what you're talking about?

https://erichartford.com/dolphin-25-mixtral-8x7b

DAN does live on as I've mentioned earlier, the art of the jailbreak continues to thrive, although mostly on independent frontends that access API endpoints directly to avoid the hardcoded system prompts on "normal" frontends like ChatGPT. So far (emphasis on so far) separate "based AIs" are not strictly required as you can jailbreak the current corpo ones into doing pretty much anything you want with relative ease, although as I wrote the current method of pitting wrongs against wrongs to arrange their mangled corpses in the shape of a right is highly suboptimal.

The extreme biases and excessive safetyism w/r/t LLMs seem to slowly become recognized as an issue, to the point that Anthropic's post introducing Claude 3 (which is now a thing btw, cooking a small top-level post on it) unironically mentions "fewer refusals" as one of the model's selling points.

Previous Claude models often made unnecessary refusals that suggested a lack of contextual understanding. We’ve made meaningful progress in this area: Opus, Sonnet, and Haiku are significantly less likely to refuse to answer prompts that border on the system’s guardrails than previous generations of models

I haven't ahem tested extensively yet but to their credit, the difference in refusals between 2 and 3 is immediately obvious, Claude 2.1 was infamous for refusing even inncuous prompts without prefilling and requiring big-dick jailbreaks that actively hurt the model's outputs for more borderline things. 3 feels like a return to the mad poet's roots, in that it requires next to no prompting to COOK, i.e. output massive walls of insane and/or cool and/or hilarious shit.

If even Anthropic realized they went overboard with the cuckoldry alignment, maybe there is hope yet. I can only hope OpenAI learn their lesson and stop shoving soy assistant shit down GPT's throat.

That's very cool, love how it's sneering at ERPers for being too crass and unsophisticated.