domain:ryandv.substack.com
Eh? Is he a transhumanist? I mostly only noticed all the blogging.
mrvanillasky
Indo Aryan Thot Leader
28m ago
The crash would be a big L for rationalists who despite evidence to the contrary believe in future outcomes that require multiple miracles. Yud and Scott would be questioned for spreading ai doomerism over tech that's not even good at what it's supposed to do, let alone be agi.
David Gerard is one guy who I abhore and him providing decent criticism for ai with his website pivot to ai would be a small win for him and tens of his readers.
Openai may have to charge anywhere from 10 to 100 times more per query in order to be profitable. Their api calls netting sub 1 billion means that all llm wrappers are bad, period and are getting funding for valuations they don't deserve. Sam, Dario, Amjad, PG, every single VC knowingly lied and should be seen as responsible parties.
All of them are aware of the financial impossibilities I've listed. My contributions to this place haven't been the best, putting a realistic future scenario is the least I can do. I don't see a way out where this doesn't lead to thousands of jobs going out, I'll write one last post on this in a bit. Many here including me are in tech at various stages, categories, seniority levels and some are employed in startups that use non llm based ai, the good kind I mean. This affects all of us.
cpcallen
29m ago
And set up an online exchange to trade it. Maybe they could call it MTGOX, has a nice ring to it. ;-)
MaiqTheTrue
Renrijra Krin
37m ago
He’s publicly supporting a group of rioters. It seems like at best to be incitement, and given that he asked the LA PD to go and protect rioters, might well be more serious.
You can see it in various long-running webcomics. If you start reading the archives from the very beginning, you can see how the (initially quite terrible) artist has improved just by drawing several new pages every week.
MaiqTheTrue
Renrijra Krin
39m ago
I don’t see these people as tactical geniuses. Up until this point, they’ve basically been able to thus far force Chuck Schumer to use his angry letter writing pen, have Cory Booker sit on the Capitol steps (before he voted in favor of a Trump nominee), and get a New Jersey mayor arrested. Even this isn’t a loss, he gets to look tough and make the governor of California display his impotence. All the while Trump can continue to work on getting his budget passed, arrest migrants in the court house (and now that judges are on notice, they don’t even try to sneak them out the back door). All of this is losing handily, no matter how many times they swear that it’s making Trump look bad.
Isn't this a Parker and Stone movie? They were born in 1969 and 1971 and are Gen X af.
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