AnonymousActuary
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User ID: 2163
AnonymousActuary
18d ago
The West Freeway one is the one that comes to mind - dude had 3 seconds and was done. I hadn't even heard of the Wayne Michigan one until just now, but seems to have also ended quite quickly.
AnonymousActuary
18d ago
I used to be in this camp, but I think if you chain together enough quick police/bystander responses it will go away. It is a heavily social contagion based phenomenon and if the median outcome is a few minutes and then the perp quickly taking the room temperature challenge, it will lose a lot of its glory.
Honestly, some of this is due to the media flogging these stories less if they have lower casualty counts (if it bleeds it leads) not just the shorter period of the spree, but the end result is the same.
AnonymousActuary
21d ago
Captain America Voice: I understood that reference
AnonymousActuary
26d ago
every year sooner you had kids is an extra year you get to spend with your children/grandchildren before you die
AnonymousActuary
2mo ago
then the tradeoff of federal dollars is even more direct?
AnonymousActuary
2mo ago
I don't think you are thinking of this right - you aren't adequately considering the costs of a job vs being a stay at home parent.
Let's say you have two kids and are trying to send them to even a decent quality daycare. That's $2k a month easy (vast understatement in a lot of cities). Then there's gas and depreciation on the car you drive to work as well. And all of that is net dollars you are spending. So let's call it $24k plus $3k gas/depreciation a year to get to your job.
Now maybe you make ok money, $50k or something. Now that gets taxed, and if your spouse makes similar it's hitting the highest marginal rate of the two of you, but if you qualify for this it isn't getting taxed a whole lot, let's call it you net $42k a year. So even with all the daycare and everything you are making a bit of money, $15k a year, minimum wage ish. This is a pretty shit deal, but you are at least net positive.
Now if a $9k subsidy comes along, suddenly instead of netting 15k to have your kids sick all the time, get poor quality care particularly <1/2/3 (depending on the study), spend your days sitting in traffic and working a meh job, you can net 9k to do none of that. That's a pretty tempting offer.
obviously all numbers approximate, but hopefully it gets the idea.
Now in some ways this subsidy already exists, it's called "married men make more money than anyone else" for a variety of reasons and let their wives stay home".
AnonymousActuary
2mo ago
I have seen exactly 0 people convinced anytime anywhere by an argument via someone else saying they are committing a psychological fallacy. It's nice to have them labeled but I'd put the real world impact as pretty de minimis
AnonymousActuary
2mo ago
sidetracking here - what makes you think PPD/psychosis was not to blame here?
AnonymousActuary
3mo ago
Those who consider themselves religious and yet do not keep a tight rein on their tongues deceive themselves, and their religion is worthless. Religion that God our Father accepts as pure and faultless is this: to look after orphans and widows in their distress and to keep oneself from being polluted by the world
AnonymousActuary
3mo ago
not sure why you wrote this column when Pangram exists? copied the first 2000 words in and 100% human generated
AnonymousActuary
4mo ago
De-Solv-It. Worked on gum in hair, should work on gum in jeans
AnonymousActuary
4mo ago
kids?
AnonymousActuary
4mo ago
yep it's all fun and games until we remember we live in a society with mandated health insurance with no pre-existing condition exclusions that socializes costs.
AnonymousActuary
4mo ago
correct - regardless of subsidies there are no economies of scale to having more kids if you work. Whereas if you have a stay at home parent each kid gets progressively easier. You are still adding net difficulty but the difficulty/expense added goes down, indeed, in some cases the work in total decreases once kids get old enough - they play with each other more and can start to help out around the house.
AnonymousActuary
4mo ago
I'm not sure changing culture is hard and slow as opposed to perhaps poorly understood? Culture sure changed fast in March 2020, and against in May/June 2020.
AnonymousActuary
5mo ago
I guess people are upset that it is more blatant than the obvious stock running that has been going on forever, but it seems straightforwardly of the same kind to me.
AnonymousActuary
5mo ago
This is such an odd perspective on insurance and damages that I'm sort of at a loss for words
AnonymousActuary
5mo ago
We're risk averse and generally nerdy, so the odds of ending up in a better situation after divorce if we already got lucky enough to outkick our coverage once are not great ;)
AnonymousActuary
5mo ago
yeah the correct statement is "trump probably wins if COVID doesn't tank the economy" the late 2019 economy was legitimately awesome, and it's a real bummer it got nuked because once again, we must always do what is best for old people.
AnonymousActuary
5mo ago
Shades of this classic essay: https://mattlakeman.org/2020/03/21/against-dog-ownership/
I think dogs if you have a sizable piece of land (or even big yard) are totally fine. Or if you already have kids. I absolutely have some internal judgement towards any couple I see that has a dog and no kids (probably should go to confession)
AnonymousActuary
6mo ago
I would say my personal politics are that a combination of well-meaning regulations that scope-creeped plus just general regulatory accumulation over time (way easier to add than to subtract) is the general answer to "what changed in 1971"/"Why is growth not 1-1.5% higher annually"/"why can't we do things in the world of atoms", so that influences my opinion on BS jobs.
AnonymousActuary
6mo ago
I should've written more than a sentence - most of the time people see something that looks like a bullshit desk job that doesn't actually create value (or are in a job they feel like doesn't create value), that job needs to exist due to regulation, and often is positive sum due to regulation.
I am very well compensated to do a job that creates lots of monetary value for my employer and others, but it only exists due to Government regulation, and arguably, a world where I spent my time teaching kids or doing some kind of research would be better.
AnonymousActuary
6mo ago
this is exactly it and the part of bullshit jobs people miss. Bullshit jobs exist almost entirely because of regulation - the job may seem useful, but it is only useful because regulation requires it/makes it worth paying for.
AnonymousActuary
6mo ago
I'd like the secret to pull 100-hour days seems quite useful.
Yeah I was going to say this sounds like a snoo situation. Have not used it personally but in laws did exactly this
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