ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
No bio...
User ID: 626
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
8mo ago
have you seen orbital launch graphs?
Yes, most of them are for themselves. If Starlink doesn't cover their costs, and there's not data to show that either way, this number doesn't mean anything. Though there's a wildcard here, where the whole Starlink thing might turn out to be a front for some Pentagon and/or CIA black-op, which would money is not an issue, but there's no way to tell with publicly available information.
launch cost graphs?
I straight-up don't believe them.
reducing costs with reusable rockets was a joke before spaceX
I think it still is.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
10mo ago
Since I'm not American my only two options are to go with the official numbers or give some credence to other people's subjective reports. At the end of the day this is a purely intellectual exercise for me.
I think you're making a mistake by saying this is political. Haven't surveys been showing pretty handy majorities concerned about inflation?
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
29d ago
I never seen somoeone get under your skin quite so much.
I understand the frustration, but you don't need the explicit hostility to make your point. Even if your every word was coated in pure sugar, it would be hard not to reach the same conclusion as you did.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
5mo ago
If it's so simple, howcome literally no sense be died that until now?
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
8mo ago
Well... in other countries we rely for an official electoral bodies to call the results. But if it works for you...
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
9mo ago
I don't know how to compare these, when the books for one are public, and for the other are not.
And if it's so much cheaper, where is the new era of space exploration? Weren't we supposed to be well on our way back to the Moon by now? Do you think we'll get there any time soon?
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
10mo ago
Mostly justified, quite frankly, unless they pick civilian non-elite target.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
30d ago
Sure, they shouldn't be completely discounted.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
1mo ago
Correct, that definitely does not count as “my life sucks” in anywhere near the same way as Oliver Anthony style “I’m personally oppressed and downtrodden, and it’s my outgroup’s fault” populism.
I wish I knew who the hell that was. Anyway, since we agree it's not about Trump, looks like w agree OP's thesis can be dismissed.
I don’t think so. I think there’s an important qualitative difference between populist “rage and vengeance” grievance on the one hand — which is what the OP is attributing to Anglophone conservatism — and the technocratic/futurist “we’ve identified the problems, and it’s time to let smart and successful elites determine how to fix those problems” institutionalism of the factions I identified.
How can I determine that this is, in fact, the case, rather than it being a Russell's conjugation?
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
3mo ago
It might be part of being well suited for someone, but I don't think it has much impact on whether it's good in itself.
I thought in the US context it usually refers to residential construction (hence "NIMBY cities") and was a way of saying "the real estate prices are too damn high" (which they are) but polluting it with his preferred policy.
I freely admit to letting local news fly in one ear and out the other, so maybe I missed the phenomenon, but I also haven't noticed particular shortage of solar and wind farms, and a local railway construction is currently adding half an hour to my commute.
Though he's being held in prison in El Salvador? Because the US said so?
Oh god, now I can't get the image out of my head, where he's getting locked up, and then hears a familiar voice from inside the cell saying "welly, welly, well... look who's here!".
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
3mo ago
That's both not true in a meaningful sense, most of our meaningful trade partners have only limited tariffs on a small number of industries or businesses which is not anywhere near equal to large tariffs on everything and not true because the US economy is substantially stronger and better than most every other country in the world
So howcome I have never seen a "made in USA" label, and why is the local agribusiness periodically shiitting bricks at the prospect of dropping tariffs on food?
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
3mo ago
Embezzling funds sounds like something that should be relatively easy to tell if someone did it, or is being railroaded, so I'll wait for the opinion of our local Frenchmen (I think we have at least one), before forming mine.
Elon is an asset just through owning Twitter so I agree he has more weight to pull around than millions of ordinary Joes, though I don't think it's quite at the "I do whatever the fuck I want" level - his position is being propped up by the masses in a more direct way than that of any democratically elected politician.
What exactly does Vivek have to offer?
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
6mo ago
In the meantime, he came out pretty strongly on we need competent people which signals a willingness to confront H1B fraud/abuses but not a desire to end skilled immigration entirely.
The online-right overplayed their hand here.
I don't know how you derive the second line from the first. Let's see what happens with Elon / Vivek, but they might be the ones that end up burned from this.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
6mo ago
What's even "the education system" in a notoriously poor and fractured country?
When you've pushed 2 trillion dollars into it? It's whatever you want it to be.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
6mo ago
Don't forget that the 'angry goat herders' i.e. the Taliban are the last group of young men that the US armed, organised and trained (to fight Russia).
So? As you say they were armed to fight the Soviets, and they were trained to fight as well - not trained to hold a western belief system.
Bismark managed it eventually, but it took a while and the Germans mostly got on all right already, and same with the French
Sure, but I'll repeat, it was 20 years, and with the amount of money that was spent, they could literally start buying young boys to propagandize them 24/7 in boarding schools.
Split the difference? I think the US strategy was bonkers from the start, but I also think it would be very difficult to do even if you tried properly.
Sure, that seems fair.
My model for how Elon's companies work is something like:
- Create hype for
$thing - Investors get hyped and shower Elon with money
- Deliver
$thing - Thing does not bring enough profit to justify investment
- Create hype for
$new_thing - ...
This worked well enough until now, but there are signs things are starting to break. I don't think they'll be able to repeat the same thing past Starship, so to answer your question - if Starship becomes their workhorse, or they'll bin the program, but it won't end the company*, I'll concede.
*) Modulo the shady stuff he can potentially do with a direct line to Trump, but I don't know how to explicitly factor that into my prediction.
At any rate, its important to keep in mind just how pre-modern this country was. It was not, for most average people, a country of cars driving through cities the way Nazi propaganda films made it look. It was a country of people living in rural farms, where they didn't have electricity or radios, and had to take a train to the nearest city if they wanted to watch a news reel.
If someone is basing their view of the German tech-level on propaganda and WWII Hollywood action films, I can see why you might want to correct that. But if you fight propaganda with propaganda, you're not going to end up with a more accurate picture of the world, you're going to snap right back around to something just as inaccurate, but from the other side. Like, yeah, people don't understand how pre-modern Germany was, but that's not because of anything specific to Germany, it's because they don't realize how pre-modern the world was at the time.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
10mo ago
You'll have to point me to where I denied this is biased along partisan lines. I'm saying that even taking the bias into account, you'll still get results implying a number quite a bit larger than 3%.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
11mo ago
"Hunting him down" would require an intent to kill him when he was posing no threat. The way they acted was extremely dumb, but their behavior does not match yours or MadMonzer's description.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
11mo ago
Could be, I just brought it up as an amusing idea. What are you going to say if it does happen, though?
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
16hr ago
So your only issue with what Trump did is that he didn't pack the court yet?
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