No_one
Underemployed Slav. Likes playing Factorio.
User ID: 1042
No_one
6d ago
The moment attitude to China changed from "how do we keep them in eternal poverty and civil war" to anything else, Americans lost.
It's that simple. They're mostly one people, they were backward for historical reasons. They are 1/2 of the world's high average IQ population.
Had US presidents read more Lothrop Stoddard, this would never have happened.
Fuck propping up the USSR to keep Chinese down would have made sense.
No_one
4mo ago
"We already leak, so what's the harm in helping adversaries create a more complete organizational map of IC employees."
Entire OPM database of personal data on secret clearances was stolen not just once but allegedly twice. Your CIA network in China got pwned because people thought what fools sand people can fool the dastardly orientals. Dozens of dead, allegedly.
So your 'IC' community is probably the laughing stock of the world and at this point, can hardly look any worse. Oh yeah, and didn't some set of NSA hacking tools got leaked too ?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Office_of_Personnel_Management_data_breach#Data_theft
And god knows what was stolen, hacked and then hushed up.
Way too late to worry about your 'IC employees'. That's like Europe worrying about their competitiveness or economic dynamism. About twenty years too late, more like 30 at this point.
No_one
5mo ago
That's not true. Over at DA and many other places, people are posting essentially edited LLM chat logs as short stories and it's being met with an enthusiastic welcome by readers.
No_one
6mo ago
They have always been naive, but this behavior is new.
I recall a '40s born writer in a novel describing toilet sex between people who met themselves on a trip as utterly disgusting and low class.
Now sex on first date is allegedly common.
No_one
7mo ago
Now that Russia has torn itself asunder
100,000 dead or so the Russians have isn't the end of the place. Arguably the 300-500K dead isn't perhaps even the end for Ukraine, as they're largely older people and they'll be able to preserve their independent western/central Ukraine without a doubt.
No_one
10mo ago
https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/book-review-how-asia-works
Protectionism is essential for building up an economy. See the section on Korea in the link ..
No_one
11mo ago
I don't think they'd bother tbh.
Canada has always been a 'fake' country of sorts, and after 1945 it has existed purely on US sufferance, as a place where Americans can do shady shit like illegal experiments on people and US courts have no jurisdiction.
They'd simply fix the Chinese influence problem and return things to how they were before.
No_one
11mo ago
Yes, 'right twitter' is every random guy even if his bio gives zero indication of being right wing. List of the followers on that guy is absolutely not 'right twitter' either, it's 3 guys who are RW and the rest are various randos.
Most of the comments on twitter on the stocks issue are braindead and notice how I referenced not a single one except the guy who posted the terminal who isn't that bad.
It looks like though the date on the original filing was 6/30.
No_one
11mo ago
She's several layers of hierarchy above Trump's security detail head.
If she was 'past caring' that wouldn't mean much for how his detail was being run.
No_one
3d ago
I meant things such as not being aware that combatants in a war release constant lies and assuming their press releases are not almost straight bullshit.
No doubt this piece of information is somewhere in there but unless reminded to it's happily oblivious.
No_one
3d ago
OP wishes you to know that he knows LLMs will write whatever if allowed to do so and this whole thing was neonazis ( they started the Stancil trolling) figuring out that if you contaminate grok's context enough it's going to say silly crap.
No_one
7d ago
That's what I am saying.
But the only way to do it is thermonuclear weapons.
20*20 kilotons on Israel would be catastrophic but it'd be survivable for Israel.
It'd not be survivable for Iranian government.
100*400 kilotons would destroy Israel, possibly even partially prevent retaliation.
That's the moment when Iran would have true deterrence and MAD with Israel.
Being able to wound the enemy and then assuredly die is not deterrence.
No_one
1mo ago
If you want sources you can spend hours reading, same as I once did, I recommend this article in 'The Diplomat' (US state dept rag)
https://thediplomat.com/2021/03/how-asian-drug-trafficking-networks-operate-in-europe/
For the drug situation. Czech lands have the highest amount of meth metabolites in wastewater.
https://www.euda.europa.eu/publications/eu-drug-markets/methamphetamine/use-in-europe_en
Homicide data (one of the lowest in Europe):
https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/cze/czech-republic/crime-rate-statistics
Alternatively, you can read what the finest wholly made in America LLM wrote:
||The Czech Republic stands as a principal European nexus for methamphetamine production, though its methodology defies the common image of industrial-scale super-labs. Instead, the landscape is characterized by a diffuse, atomized network of small, clandestine "kitchen labs" (varny), often run by independent local producers. This decentralized model is sustained by a prolific cross-border smuggling operation which funnels in the requisite precursor chemicals—chiefly pseudoephedrine extracted from over-the-counter medications—sourced in vast quantities from neighboring states with more lenient regulations, particularly Poland. The resulting crystalline product, known locally as Pervitin, is renowned for its exceptional purity.
The sheer volume of this production substantially outstrips domestic demand, cementing the trade's status as a primarily export-oriented enterprise. The primary beneficiary of this illicit commerce is Germany, with the bordering states of Bavaria and Saxony serving as the main entry points and consumption markets. A considerable flow also moves into Austria and, to a lesser extent, other neighboring nations. The product's high purity, coupled with its comparative affordability against narcotics from other global sources, ensures its persistent demand across Central Europe. The architecture of this trade is sophisticated, with a distinct division of labor between production and logistics. While Czech nationals typically oversee the chemical synthesis, the overarching trafficking operations are dominated by Vietnamese organized crime syndicates. These groups function as the logistical linchpins, orchestrating the procurement of precursors, consolidating the finished product from the myriad independent producers, and then managing its intricate and highly effective smuggling into foreign markets. This bifurcated structure creates a resilient criminal ecosystem, where the disruption of individual labs does little to impede the larger trafficking network.
Perhaps the most striking paradox of the Czech meth trade is its detachment from high-level violence. Contrary to the violent archetypes associated with large-scale drug trafficking, systemic, gang-related homicides are conspicuously absent. The country maintains one of the world's lowest homicide rates, and the narcotics enterprise does not significantly perturb this statistic. While isolated acts of violence intrinsic to any criminal milieu do occur, the operational structure of the trade—which minimizes direct turf wars between rival syndicates—and the broader societal context of low violent crime mean that the Czech case utterly defies the conventional, blood-soaked narco-state narrative.||
No_one
1mo ago
Humanity as a whole wants good AI, but the attempts are split several ways and don’t individually have the ability to capture profit to sustain high burn rates when cheaper or free alternatives exist.
Guess what, governments exist to solve coordination failures. Even if yankees cannot solve the problem of 'how develop AI if it's going to cost billions and capturing the profit is hard', you can bet the Chinese Communist Party is going to bite the bullet, commission another few nuclear power plants and let the Huawei Ascends that they can't export bc US banned it be used for this purpose by the most promising companies.
Because they need AI. US needs it to and they'd probably also be able to
The rest of your comment is basically irrelevant fluff.
If we knew how good AI will be, the conversation would be a lot clearer. If AI plateaus at 2x human intelligence, then I doubt most people would claim it could trivially solve everything.
How do you even 'define' intelligence. If we go by IQ estimates, 2x human intelligence is von Neumanns by the server rack. And you can experiment on such much more easily to figure out how to organise them.
I'd say that would solve a lot of problems, if not majority of them, and create a few new ones.
Say a devops AI that auto-pushes code assumes humans will follow best-practices, but they don’t, and this results in a bug in a critical piece of infrastructure that causes a power outage for 12 hours.
With AI you can do an arbitrary amount of testing pretty easily so no, that won't happen.
All in all, I am not convinced at all.
No_one
2mo ago
Oh yeah, this argument. You of course pretend to know this is .. I dunno, tunnelling, and not a contest between two almost equally matched sides out of which one can replenish its losses and the other cannot.
Do you truly believe the 30 million population of Ukraine can keep sustaining an attritional warfare with Russia ? Note that Russians could basically keep this war going forever, mortality wise- they're losing maybe 70k people a year at worst, meanwhile they have 600k births of boys per year.
No_one
2mo ago
The US has the same (perhaps better) apparatus to kill Chinese missile launchers that China does to kill carriers, do
- Ok I'm going to reply in depth later but you shuold familiarize yourself with how well the 'Scud hunt' went during Gulf war
- the estimates for breaking through into an static, decades prepare air-defense grid (it's weeks in case of Russia)
- the multiple methods for detecting stealth planes (multilateration, undoubtedly networked parabolic microphones and more!
Also that China does have satellite dazzlers ready. In short US wouldn't be likely to acquire these launchers, wouldn't have much to hit them with - cruise missiles aren't great at following moving targets and also planes wouldn't be able to get near.
No_one
2mo ago
European and American shell production is crap. So is Air defense. There simply isn't the material they need.
No_one
7mo ago
Elon is very intelligent, so he likely learns way faster than other people.
No_one
8mo ago
You think small police departments around the US are going to get much value out of fucking MRAPs.
Bullshit.
You think Gaza experience will help American police oppress Americans - ignoring that Americans are far more heavily armed and have far, far less police officers than say, Europeans.
What are we even talking about?
I would agree that intentionality isn't easy for them and is outpaced by their verbal ability, but it's not easy for us either. It's not clear even if it's optimal to represent the world accurately. (We are all at war, after all )
E.g. basically every ideological person in my opinion believes untrue things about the world for instrumental reasons and is unaware of it.
Being strategically wrong about the world, that is, to misrepresent the world in the mind is advantageous. Horrifying conclusion yet if you look at e.g. the discussion about tracking and educators..
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