Recursive_Enlightenment
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User ID: 791
On average no, if what you consider "you" includes people with the exact same brain who live in different parts/branches of the multiverse.
Two Tweets from OpenAI's Sam Altman: "eliezer has IMO done more to accelerate AGI than anyone else. certainly he got many of us interested in AGI, helped deepmind get funded at a time when AGI was extremely outside the overton window, was critical in the decision to start openai, etc." "it is possible at some point he will deserve the nobel peace prize for this--I continue to think short timelines and slow takeoff is likely the safest quadrant of the short/long timelines and slow/fast takeoff matrix."
Eliezer Yudkowsky thinks that the rapid development of AGI will likely kill us and he has devoted his life to trying to stop this from happening, and Sam Altman almost certainly knows this. My personal guess is that quantum immortality means regardless of who is right, some branches of the multiverse will survive AGI, and the survivors will have enough computational power to know what percentage of the branches survived, and consequently whether Altman or Yudkowsky were right.
Edit: Eliezer's response Tweet, which I don't understand.
If I keep a lion caged on my property but a freak lightning strike causes the cage to open and results in my lion killing someone, I should go to jail. Owning a lion is an ultrahazardous activity, and to reduce the social risk we should make lion owners strictly liable for all the harm their lion causes even if, given that the person had a lion, he behaved with proper caution. Aiming a gun at a person and pulling the trigger is also an ultrahazardous activity.
technically there's a third option where unintelligent people have more value than intelligent people, but that's pretty niche
If you believe in the Eliezer school of AI existential risk, than you should think this as high IQ people are about to destroy the light cone.
I bet he will soon "resign" from Oxford and this incident will be linked with SBF in attacking EA. Bostrom deserves some credit for not taking the Joy Reid route by claiming he never wrote the text and it was a hack. Of course, from a utilitarian viewpoint given Bostrom's influential work on EA and AI risk, should he have made such a lie?
Me as well, so I don't live in a city.
The key difference between big city housing and traffic is that you are worse off the more other drivers are on the road (the externalities are just negative) while the reason you want to live in a big city is because of the net benefits (net positive externalities) of living near the other people.
Could be that history classes are useless for the median student, but a country greatly benefits from its elites knowing a bit of history.
Soft corruption. Twitter sells extremely expensive advertising to candidates and parties. It is known that if just one side pays for this advertising the algorithm overall greatly favors them.
Try "Create a new SCP monster with....". There is lots of SCP Internet content on which, I suspect, the chatbot has been trained.
Remember, for Google you are the product not the customer. Give the searcher what he wants is probably an OK but not perfect proxy for maximize ad revenue, and as Google's search algorithm has improved (from the viewpoint of profit maximization) it has moved away from the former.
But political Twitter has some power (hence the FBI's interest), and it should be possible to translate that power into money.
The warrant is strong evidence that he actually stole stuff and the whole story isn't a troll.
Conan: Total war, might makes right, population replacement through violence. Post WW II anthropologists: Everyone lived in peace. What Hitler tried to do never, ever happened in the distant past and if you think differently you are a Nazi supporter.
I've been told by a knowledgeable source that Conan the Barbarian (minus the magic) had a more accurate description of pre-history Europe than post-WW II anthropologists do.
But what if I want to discuss why we will be lucky if we are just exterminated. That's not fun.
We should have a regular nerd talk thread.
Robin's view makes sense if we consider ourselves in the reference class of sentient beings experiencing a Fermi paradox. Robin's theory explains why we exist very early in the universe given our reference class. I think if we take our reference class to be sentient beings we should assume we are in a computer simulation run by Hawking radiation since for the vast majority of the time the universe will be capable of sustaining life we will be in the black hole era where the only source of free energy will be Hawking radiation. In the black hole era, the expansion of the universe will have made being a grabby civilization obsolete.
SBF ends up in North Korea running North Korean cyber-crime.
It should occur to Apple that Elon plus a president DeSantis could enact horrible revenue on Apple if Apple too obviously joins The Cathedral.
I think the media usually downplays the value of self-defense in mitigating mass murder.
Thanks!
Katie Hobbs, the Dem candidate for governor in Arizona, is the current Secretary of State of Arizona and so is in charge of administering the election. I'm guessing lots of voters are going to be turned off of Hobbs because of this election screwup. Hobbs's opponent is ultra-MAGA so-called election denier Kari Lake who won the Republican primary in part with the help of Democrats who believed that Lake would be a weak candidate. Lake has turned out to have lots of charisma and is skilled at going on the offensive so if she wins should would be an obvious choice for the Republican Vice Presidential nominee.
I have raised a genius. Other than genetics, the key is finding something intellectual the kid really likes (math and programming in my kid's case) and keeping the kid's education in flow meaning giving him material that is challenging but not too difficult.
I think the US could afford for Ukraine to lose because so few Americans care about Ukraine. Even if Russia gains territory, the US will be able to rightfully claim that Russia is weaker because of the invasion because of the economic, military, and diplomatic costs it has suffered.
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