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Notes -
When vaccinating your kid (a US citizen) what vaccination schedule should you go with?
The standard US one
The standard of a different country which you think is better run (I picked Denmark)
Something else
I had a discussion with Grok 3 about this, and it seemed like it wanted to defend the US schedule (35 shots) until I pressed it about the Danish schedule (11 shots). Then it claimed that US schedule is necessary in the US because of different socioeconomic conditions. It seems like the US recommendations are based on helping the underclasses. For example, Hep B. My wife doesn't have Hep B. My kid won't get Hep B as a child. But a kid whose mom is a prostitute very much needs to be vaccinated for Hep B at birth.
In any case, after the censorship and disinformation promulgated by the US health agencies during the pandemic, I don't trust them. And clearly there is a corrupting profit motive here too. In this corrupted epistemic environment we simply don't know what the effects of giving kids 35 vaccine shots (plus annual flu and Covid shots) will be. I make no strong claims about vaccine injuries, and I think most vaccines are net positive. But I think, for my child, the Danish schedule + chicken pox is sufficient. At a minimum, I am deadset against any Covid vaccines. Can't say I look forward to arguing with nurses about this.
I’m also going to ask you to reconsider.
I realize I may have little credibility with you. Maybe this comes across like those cave diver signs. But I seriously think there’s nothing on this hill worth dying for. You’re accepting a mild risk for literally zero benefit.
The main differences between our and Denmark’s schedules appear to be COVID, Hep A and B, rotavirus, and varicella. I could make cases for most of those. Rotavirus is vaccinated in most countries; I don’t know why Denmark declined. Varicella has lower uptake, either because of cost or because it’s risky when only children are covered. On the other hand, I had it as a small child. It sucked, I still have a couple minor scars, and I get to be at risk for shingles in the future.
We’ve given ~84% of children immunity to Hep B worldwide. Between that and Universal Precautions, your child will probably be fine without such immunity. Though it’ll still be wise if he or she goes into medicine, works with the less fortunate, or wants to visit Africa or Southeast Asia. And it’s generally better to be prepared.
These vaccines aren’t novel. Everything except the COVID shots has been on our schedule since 2001. We have had decades to learn about potential side effects. We’ve also had significant political shifts. Assuming that it’s all fake and gay because of the Current Thing is a mistake. Assuming such because of a chatbot’s medical opinions is worse.
Skip the COVID shots if you want, especially if you don’t have any old or obese relatives watching the kids. But please stick with the rest of the standard schedule.
Excellent comment. One thing I'd like to add is that opting out of vaccination is, to an extent, mooching off the commons.
Herd immunity doesn't work, if parents look at the existing vaccination rates, reasons that their kids will be fine without vaccination as "everyone else" does it, and thus defects.
More than the commons mooches off of us? Citizens don't owe the commons one damn thing by default, and the balance seems tipped pretty far in the other direction lately what with all the accomodations we're expected to make around "living in a society".
If you think that citizens have no positive obligations towards improving the commons, I don't see why you'd want to make them worse off.
I don't know what you're pointing at when you say something like:
Hence I can't really engage with it.
At the very least, KMC's stated reason for opting out of vaccinating their kids, namely because other people are doing so too, and because of a minor drug reaction are terrible on merit alone. The COVID vaccine? I'm well past caring about it, or asking people to, but most others are recommended for very good reason, even for a person who doesn't care about the well-being of others.
I'm talking here about vaccines that are on the schedule with no clear benefit to the recipient -- COVID for kids, HPV for boys. 'Society' wants these administered for herd immunity reasons (I guess); 'society' also taxes us to the bone and provides pretty marginal access to services that we do want. (ADD drugs, for instance)
What has society done for me lately, that I should bend to its will?
I won't defend covid shots for kids. Marginal risks for marginal benefits.
HPV for boys? Infection with high risk strains can increase risk of anal, oropharyngeal and penile cancers. I have no idea if the risks are particularly high in absolute terms, at least not without doing more work than I want to this late. But unlike covid vaccines in kids, it strikes me as plausibly a good idea, even if I suspect that a lot of the net benefit is spreading herd immunity and protecting girls, where HPV actually is a big deal to my knowledge.
Total incidence rate of those I'm getting something like 1/100k/a (https://www.mcgill.ca/hitchcohort/hpvfacts) -- no idea what percentage of those would be HPV related, but that is already well, well within the OOM that I'd find plausible for unnoticed/rare serious adverse vaccine side effects.
You and @Throwaway05 may have some new news on these rates -- but then the question is raised as to why anyone would believe doctors about this sort of thing after having seen how fast & loose the relationship with facts has been, once public health gets on some hobbyhorse.
I don't know what McGill is smoking.
https://www.cdc.gov/cancer/hpv/cases.html
The rate changes are a bit odd as sexual habits change (go men on finally eating women out!) and at the same time its getting a bit more controlled as more people are vaccinated. However some of the other causes (like smoking) are going down.
You believe doctors because it's retarded to throw out the entire field of medicine because of one misstep.
I could respect it if it was "okay fine I will never listen to a doctor again, clearly everything they say is wong" but the situation is very clearly picking and choosing what things to be mad about purely depending on how someone feels about it.
General vaccinations are already different enough from what happened with COVID, but now you are saying "lets just not listen to any public health recommendations in general," "why anyone would believe doctors about this sort of thing?" <- your own quote.
Great now go light up using somebody with Ebola's vomit as bong water.
No? That doesn't seem reasonable? Well it's also a public health recommendation!
At best people are using uninformed opinions and intuitions as laymen without doing any research at all to decide when to listen to expert advice, and ignoring it otherwise, and as we see elsewhere in this thread those opinions and intuitions are absolutely trash and often can be invalidated with the slightest, minimum possible research. See in other subthreads here the comically ill-informed takes on hepatitis, chickenpox.
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