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ulyssessword  1d ago (text post)   957 thread views

Canada Federal Election 2025

Today is the day!

Poll aggregator: https://338canada.com/

Live results: https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/federal/2025/results/

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Polls closed in Newfoundland two hours ago, and it's not looking good for the pollsters. CBC has called two seats for the Conservatives and they're leading in a third, while three have been called for the Liberals and they're leading in a fourth. The prediction was 7-0 Liberal (two "toss up", five "Lib. Likely").

The Maritimes are closer to the prediction, with the Conservatives leading/called in 8 ridings vs. the prediction of 7.

I'm confused about how Canadian regions are divided. Which ridings are you counting? Central Newfoundland, Terra Nova, Avalon, Long Range, Labrador...what am I missing?

Roughly, Canadian regions are divided as follows:

  • Quebec (Lower Canada)
  • Toronto-Montreal (Upper Canada)
  • Maritimes (Atlantic Canada- they'll argue they have distinct identities, and they do, but they're too small to be relevant here)
  • West (Everything Else)

Take US politics, remove all the checks and balances that prevent SF/NYC/DC from turning the US into a one-party state, and you have Canadian politics. It's a very simple country to understand.

  • fake france
  • fake NY
  • fake midwest
  • fake seattle

If you're going to do it this way you need to include fake Texas.

Probably helpful to keep in mind that a big chunk of the population operates under an even simpler system: World Class City and Rest Of Canada.

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