Transnational Thursday is a thread for people to discuss international news, foreign policy or international relations history. Feel free as well to drop in with coverage of countries you’re interested in, talk about ongoing dynamics like the wars in Israel or Ukraine, or even just whatever you’re reading.
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Notes -
Israel says UN undercounts aid entering Gaza by almost 3x.
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Reuters: African Union backs campaign to end use of Mercator projection
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Stuff I'm looking at this week:
Geopolitics
Americas
Court paves way for Trump to yank billions of dollars worth of foreign aid, concluding that aid groups lacked standing to bring the case.
US offers $5m bounty for Haitian warlord 'Barbecue'
Terrible health conditions at Alligator Alcatraz prison
US appeals court says Trump administration can cut billions in foreign aid
Europe
Musk chatbot Grok says it was 'censored' after suspension from X over Gaza posts
Children dying of hunger in Darfur's el-Fasher city
Attempted coup in Mali
Russia Has an Arsenal of New AI Drones Built with Smuggled Nvidia Chips (old news tho)
Zelenskyy: Ukraine won't cede land for peace amid US-Russia summit
European leaders unite behind Ukraine as Trump-Putin meeting nears
Europe says U.S. and Russia cannot decide on Ukraine land swaps at this week's summit
Migrants swim from Morocco to Ceuta as officials say enclave 'overwhelmed'
Middle East
Ireland intends to pass bill to ban the import of good from Israeli settlements despite US pressure
Iran
Where Next for Iran's Supreme Leader? Another review of his unstable grip on power.
Iran arrests 20 Mossad spies, executes nuclear scientist for providing classified information.
WWIII: Palantir CEO Alex Karp Says 3-Front War With Russia, China And Iran 'Very Likely'
Gaza
Israel strike kills Al Jazeera journalists in Gaza due to allegations of his leadership of a Hamas cell involved in rocket attacks.
Benjamin Netanyahu reportedly in talks with South Sudan to take Gazans
Gaza Sees Five Starvation Deaths in 24 Hours
11 more die from malnutrition in Gaza, Hamas-run health ministry says
Israel faces growing global condemnation over its plan to take over Gaza City
Gaza terrorists caught using emblem and vests of the World Central Kitchen.
'It's a horrible picture': Gaza faces new threat from antibiotic-resistant disease
Gaza health system 'catastrophic' with hospitals overwhelmed and medicines running out, WHO warns
Yemen
Yemen's Houthis say they launched 3 drone strikes inside Israel
Asia
Morning Brief: US Coast Guard Commissions First New Icebreaker in Over Two Decades; US, China Trade Accusations Over Panama Canal at UN Security Council
China's Chikungunya Outbreak Surpasses 10,000 Cases, Spreads to Taiwan
Chinese Authorities Mandating Blood Tests, Releasing Lab Mosquitoes to Fight Chikungunya Outbreak (although Epoch Times is not generally a reliable source)
A U.S. destroyer illegally entered the territorial waters of China's Huangyan Island; the Southern Theater Command lawfully and according to regulations warned and expelled it.
Bangladesh Braces For Potentially Devastating Dengue Outbreak As Cases Surge. The country has documented 101 deaths and over 24,183 infections so far this year
India/Pakistan
Australia To Recognise Palestinian State At UN In September
Germany invites Trump, Zelenskyy, NATO, EU leaders to virtual meeting before Trump-Putin summit
Indian court orders removal of thousands of stray dogs from Delhi region, responding to concerns about rabies. India is facing the highest rabies toll in the world, with approximately 5,700 deaths annually according to government statistics, while some estimates suggest numbers could be as high as 20,000. The stray dog population in Delhi has surged, increasing from 60,000 in 2012 to close to 1 million.
Africa
Over 2,500 cholera cases, 103 deaths recorded in Sudan's North Darfur
Nigeria Emerging As Hub For 22 Islamic Terror Groups
40 dead in Darfur as worst cholera outbreak hits Sudan
FYI there was a pretty terrible famine in Darfur in 1998
US approves potential $346 million weapons sale to Nigeria to bolster security
US imposes sanctions on Congo armed group, mining firms over illicit minerals
Tech and AI
OpenAI gold at the IOI
This is the PRC government line.
Back in reality, this is one of the many islands in the South China Sea that the PRC claims but is not recognised as owning. A day prior, two Chinese ships had attempted to physically obstruct a Philippine Coast Guard ship from approaching the island. Fortunately, they only crashed into each other. Then, as often following these kinds of incidents, a US ship sailed into the waters that the PRC insistently claims belong to it (to demonstrate that the US disagrees, to show its support for others ignoring the claim, and to make the PRC look weak when they invariably do not, in fact, enforce their claimed territory).
I'm not going to follow a .cn link due to the Great Cannon, but I've heard that the Chinese media is censoring the fact that two PLAN ships crashed into each other, presumably because it's a massive pratfall. And, well, of course they're parroting the insistent PRC line that "this island belongs to China and how dare anyone else go near it". They're also falsely claiming they "expelled" the US destroyer, because they're trying to save face.
Here is an Australian article about the incident. Here is the Wikipedia article about it.
Yes, I'm quoting Chinese military news
My point is that uncritically quoting propaganda like this might mislead people.
This is a good point. I consider the above an early draft, with fewer signposts, mostly pointers to the primary sources I'm using, because The Motte can take it. Maybe you might derive other interpretations from the primary sources than what I am getting out of them. The final polished version, read by about 3K people, is here.
The link under "claimed" links to a more neutral source, because in this case it remarks:
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Corrected headline: Israel strike kills a Hamas leader and his subordinates, engaged in active warfare with Israel, and those people have been also employed by Al Jazeera.
Corrected headline: Leftist activists who have consistently opposed every single thing Bibi has been doing since he became Prime Minister now are opposing yet another thing Bibi is planning to do. People who have consistently condemned Israel for every single thing Israel has been doing since its establishment are now are condemning Israel for this thing too.
We launched three drones in the general direction of Israel. They have been shut down, as usual, before they got anywhere near anything interesting in Israel, but hey, we got a headline!
As a context/reminder, here's what kind of "journalists" Al-Jazeera is hiring: https://nypost.com/2024/06/09/world-news/gaza-journalist-held-3-hostages-in-his-home-with-his-family-israeli-military-says/
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Thanks.
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Likely none of them are actual Mossad spies, and now they have one nuclear scientist less (and probably a lot less people willing to become one). Keep going, guys, you're doing great.
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I wish to register doubts concerning the "Europe" headline of some items.
XD, thanks
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Reuters:
Interesting piece, and honestly, probably a better outcome for the Haitians than they previously might have realistically expected. Thanks again for doing these writeups!
I'd guess they're going to be shooting people who try to challenge their hold. What's the argument why they should not be doing this?
...I am not a fan of Eric Prince or his variously-named corporate entities, but I would be intrigued by an explanation, in detail, of why they would be less trustworthy than Haiti's security forces.
I have not been following recent events in Haiti closely. My uninformed bet would be that the place has been a notably dysfunctional hellhole with little meaningful rule of law and much chaos and illegitimate violence. Even under my least-charitable assessment of Prince and his cohort, rule by competent, efficient mobsters with an unquestioned monopoly on force is almost certainly better than living under ceaseless gang warfare by crazy slum warlords.
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Wait, I am confused - does this have anything to do with Trump or journos are so addicted that they are just unable to report any news, no matter what they are, without mentioning Trump somehow?
Setting that aside, I think that's pretty much what Russians, including the infamous Wagner, had been doing in Africa for a while? And in general some state hiring mercenaries to keep the order - this seems to be a common picture for millenia (Carthage did something like that, and probably more ancient examples exist) though I guess it has been out of fashion for a while, but never really went away.
The article does mention some connections with Trump specifically and with the US government in general.
"Since Trump's return to the White House" is a temporal mark. Since Trump's return to the White House I've lost five pounds, but Trump didn't really help me do it. The assumption that Trump personally controls every Prince's operation is quite ridiculous. Which is par for the course for an "expert" from "Geneva-based" NGO, but including this nonsense in the article is on Reuters. And of course no private business needs prior "consent" of the government - that's the opposite of how this works, the government is only supposed to intervene if something is wrong, and if nothing is wrong, the "consent" is implied. US govt, undoubtedly while rolling their eyes very hard, confirmed that they had absolutely nothing to do with it, as expected. Overall it looks like Reuters went to ridiculous length to mention Trump here.
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