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Notes -
Anthropic just gutted their safety policy.
(Note that this is entirely unrelated to the Pentagon drama which is grabbing headlines.)
Anthropic has explicitly removed unilateral comittments to not deploy advanced models without first developing effective safeguards.
It's hard not to read this any other way than, "we will deploy Clippy if we think someone else will deploy Clippy too." Great "safety-focused" AI company we have here. Holden is getting roasted in the LessWrong comments, but I agree with Yud that Anthropic deserves a significantly less polite response.
"So y'all were just fucking lying the whole time huh?"
In the context of actually existing AI development, "safety" means "how hard do my reporters have to work to get it to say a racial epithet we can publish." If we're doomed, we were already doomed.
"How robust are our publicly-available models against deliberate misuse?" is a valid question for both real safety and fake wokesafety. A model which can be jailbroken into using a racial slur its developers didn't want it to use can probably be jailbroken into providing a plausible DNA sequence for extensively drug-resistant Y pestis.
If you think Yudkowskian paperclipping is the only AI doom scenario that matters, then worrying about deliberate misuse of the model by humans is a distraction. But it is an obvious real risk.
But both of those are different from 'hackers can insert stuff into emails to reprogram the email-checking bot'.
To me both of your doom scenarios boil down to 'our naughty customers want to do something that we benevolent overlords forbid, tsk tsk' rather than 'our customers' bots aren't doing what our customers intend it to do'. The first is faux-benevolent bullshit that is marketed as 'we are stopping terrorism' and ends up being 'you will have our corporate HR living in your tools and you will like it', the second is doing your best to provide good service to your customers.
To quote Hegseth 'when we buy a Boeing plane, Boeing doesn't get to tell us where we fly it'.
Hey, I'm quite libertarian, but there's good reason to believe that our comfortable society would not survive long if small groups had the ability to make deadly, highly infectious pathogens. We're at least lucky that there's not an easy, cheap, undetectable way to make nuclear weapons.
Yes, "we overlords need to prevent you from doing X for safety" CAN BE and IS abused all the time, and I'm with you in beating that drum as often as I can. Unfortunately, that does not mean that there aren't a few Xs that the overlords really do need to prevent us from doing.
Is not really possible, knowledge isn't the major bottleneck, its process, materials, equipment, and skillset. This is just a confusion that some more knowledge oriented profession have about difficulty in other fields.
Please do not try to bait people into explaining in detail why this particular thing is easier than it looks.
Is it really baiting? For the majority of nitro chemistry - you take something organic, some nitric acid, some sulfuric acid as catalyst and the resulting thing will probably make a nice boom. The tricky part is getting the the stuff to make boom when you tell it to. Which requires reagents with high purity. And the guys in Merck do know what to look for if someone starts making purchases. And it is not field in which you can learn from your mistakes - both in production and procurement.
We have had total synthesis of cocaine for more than a century. The market is huge - and yet it is cheaper and easier to be grown in bolivia and shipped to Europe and US, than to be made domestically with high purity and untraceable.
Making whatever terrorist related is easy. But it is often a many step process with complicated supply chain. And every step is one where you could draw some unwanted attention. Or kill yourself.
Any man that is able to lone wolf a terrorist attack of the kind safetists fear, won't be on that will need chat gpt guidance.
Yeah I'm not at all concerned about chemical weapons.
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